Purdue +8.5 - This is a lot of points for 2 very competitive teams at this point in the season. I think Purdue will slow the game down and limit the production of Duke's big 3. Everyone seems to have written Purdue off, but they are still a very solid team. Purdue does have a significant size disadvantage, but as long as Johnson doesn't get into foul trouble, I like Purdue to cover.
St. Mary's +5 - I know everyone is on Baylor, because of Dunn, Carter, and their size/length inside, but I like the fundamental team in St. Mary's getting points in this spot. They shoot well from beyond the arc, make their free throws, and don't turn the ball over often. I think Samhan will have a big game and if he gets doubled he's got McConnell (52%), Dellavedova (41%), and Allen (39%) to knock down 3's. This will be a close game with Baylor maybe winning, but I think it's closer than a 5 point differential.
Tennessee +4.5 - Tennessee has proven they can play with and beat any team in the nation (Kansas, Kentucky). If they show up and play to their ability as they should in a big game like this, they will win. I think Tennessee gives Ohio State matchup problems in this game with Chism, Prince, and Hopson. Ohio State does have probably the best player in the tournament in Turner, but he can't do everything. Another close game, I'm taking the points.
St. Mary's +5 - I know everyone is on Baylor, because of Dunn, Carter, and their size/length inside, but I like the fundamental team in St. Mary's getting points in this spot. They shoot well from beyond the arc, make their free throws, and don't turn the ball over often. I think Samhan will have a big game and if he gets doubled he's got McConnell (52%), Dellavedova (41%), and Allen (39%) to knock down 3's. This will be a close game with Baylor maybe winning, but I think it's closer than a 5 point differential.
Tennessee +4.5 - Tennessee has proven they can play with and beat any team in the nation (Kansas, Kentucky). If they show up and play to their ability as they should in a big game like this, they will win. I think Tennessee gives Ohio State matchup problems in this game with Chism, Prince, and Hopson. Ohio State does have probably the best player in the tournament in Turner, but he can't do everything. Another close game, I'm taking the points.
