Without Hesitation I Pulled the Trigger On... Kentucky -8.5 & 146.5 OV

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  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #1
    Without Hesitation I Pulled the Trigger On... Kentucky -8.5 & 146.5 OV
    3 Units Kentucky-8.5
    1 Unit 14.65 OV


    At least a 12 pt win


    And the amount of points scored will fly ov the total

    Stat that stuck out for me is Cornells shooting in the first two games...

    The combined FG & 3PT in the first two games...

    60-102 FG 59%

    17-38 3PT 45%

    But through the regular season Kentucky's defense allowed.. 38% FG & 31% 3PT. Kentucky will be suffocating the three point line, and Cornell will not have an answer for Kentucky's offense.

    I'm calling regression to the means, and the stiff competition from Kentucky will be able to slow that down

    In final, another stat that caught my eye was what Cornell is allowing their opponents to shoot... Temple 52% & Wincy 49%.

    Kentucky's stats through their first two game are irrelevant. They played terrible teams, and treated them as such.

    If yall bet Cornell you better get a 6/7pt tease, b/c you will need them.
  • iceminers26
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-13-08
    • 15600

    #2
    I hope it flies over 14.65, if not that is going to be a boring game to watch and Whatsgood might fall asleep at the game

    Good luck with the plays Houly
    Comment
    • KingKolzig
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-02-10
      • 5550

      #3
      I just look at some of cornells games and they just look so good. Of course the Kansas game sticks out, they outrebounded Kansas by a ton but Kansas went to the line waaaaaaaaay more. Total home cooking on that one, neutral court Cornell wins that game by 10. I think cornell is a special team i really do, but i have them in a 7pt teaser at +16.5 just to be safe...........i think they win this game and its not based on hunch. i hope not cause i have a critical future on UK to win the region but Cornell will be hanging around i just know it
      Comment
      • THE PROFIT
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-27-09
        • 17701

        #4
        I dont think vegas offers a teaser big enough to help cornell backers.
        Comment
        • talnted
          SBR MVP
          • 02-11-09
          • 1664

          #5
          I think I will pull the trigger also on kentucky.
          Comment
          • Shane
            SBR Sharp
            • 02-28-10
            • 466

            #6
            Think I'll be backing Kentucky, as well.
            Comment
            • HoulihansTX
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-12-09
              • 30566

              #7
              Wow line just dropped to -8 at pinny. It should drop across the board then. I really am indifferent to any sort of line movement, as I was going to lay -9.5 +108 at 5Dimes. Could really care less about the line, anything below 12.5 is laughable.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                Wow line just dropped to -8 at pinny. It should drop across the board then. I really am indifferent to any sort of line movement, as I was going to lay -9.5 +108 at 5Dimes. Could really care less about the line, anything below 12.5 is laughable.
                You're not worried about heavy sharp money coming in on Cornell? Public's backing Kentucky, yet the line is dropping.
                Comment
                • HoulihansTX
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-12-09
                  • 30566

                  #9
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  You're not worried about heavy sharp money coming in on Cornell? Public's backing Kentucky, yet the line is dropping.
                  Where do you see public backing Kentucky?

                  no percentages from any site say that, and every person I asked at School/Sportsbooks is on Cornell ML.
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #10
                    K St, and SYR are the games with heavy Public action. Also SYR has some crazy RLM. OVER 60% on SYR, but line is dropping.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                      Where do you see public backing Kentucky?

                      no percentages from any site say that, and every person I asked at School/Sportsbooks is on Cornell ML.
                      54% on Kentucky according to Sportsbook.com. Kentucky is the third most popular public bet on that site.
                      Comment
                      • No coincidences
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-18-10
                        • 76300

                        #12
                        What do you think about the K-State line, Houli?
                        Comment
                        • HoulihansTX
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-12-09
                          • 30566

                          #13
                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                          54% on Kentucky according to Sportsbook.com. Kentucky is the third most popular public bet on that site.
                          You have SYR/App St/K St. all with over 80% of bets on their side. That would scare me.

                          54% is pretty much even money. Also their are only 7(NBA/CBB) games tomorrow, and the trends is a Top Ten list. Not many games for people to bet on.

                          If you fade the list: Fade only the top bet, fade teams that have their spread, and ML show up on the list.

                          SYR is a FADE as of now, as they are top on the list with their ML on it as well. But their is heavy RLM. Sharps are banging Butler. I said that earlier this week... dont waste your time betting against Butler.

                          You cant FADE the whole list. Its not that easy.

                          But let me reiterate the fact that there are not many games to bet on tomorrow. So teams that show up on a Top Ten list, when there is only 7 games(14 side to bet) in that day is fairly irrelevant. Except SYR, that should be on everyone's radar, with the Heavy RLM on them
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #14
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            What do you think about the K-State line, Houli?
                            IF I bet it I would take Xavier +5. You could either wait close to gametime, or just buy the Half.

                            All the Dogs are live tomorrow with the exception of Cornell
                            Comment
                            • Eagle1958
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-23-10
                              • 577

                              #15
                              Cornell will win this game outright by more than 7 points. Take it to the bank. They totally trashed two of the countries best defenses in Temple and Wisconsin. They can score inside and outside and are difficult to stop. I think when Cornell grabs a lead, the inexperience and youth on Kentucky will cause them to implode. Frustration will cause them to fall further behind leading to an easy Cornell victory. Kentucky is expected to win and there is no pressure on Cornell.
                              Comment
                              • tealish
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-02-10
                                • 3386

                                #16
                                Great to see you on Kentucky too. Perfect spot here for a big win and I agree with your analysis one hundo
                                Comment
                                • THE PROFIT
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-27-09
                                  • 17701

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Eagle1958
                                  Cornell will win this game outright by more than 7 points. Take it to the bank. They totally trashed two of the countries best defenses in Temple and Wisconsin. They can score inside and outside and are difficult to stop. I think when Cornell grabs a lead, the inexperience and youth on Kentucky will cause them to implode. Frustration will cause them to fall further behind leading to an easy Cornell victory. Kentucky is expected to win and there is no pressure on Cornell.
                                  Hook me up with your dealer bro, I want some of that shit!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • French Tickler
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-25-10
                                    • 817

                                    #18
                                    Where can I find what side everyone is betting on? And how do I put a picture on my name like everyone else has
                                    Men get fifty dollars for a sperm donation. I've got a towel at home thats worth $250,000. It's leaning up against the wall in my bedroom
                                    Comment
                                    • THE PROFIT
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-27-09
                                      • 17701

                                      #19
                                      ancient chinese secret


                                      in your menu tab, where you jump to forums, go to control panel. There is also a newbie forum that will explain all this
                                      Comment
                                      • danrman
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-30-08
                                        • 2696

                                        #20
                                        i all over cornell.. waiting till gametime for 9 pts.. i think syracuse is the fav. that will cover.. the house will make money off of k st. bettors and kentucky bettors.. just my opinion
                                        Comment
                                        • Shortstop
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 01-02-09
                                          • 27281

                                          #21
                                          I love the Over, won't be touching the spread.
                                          Good Luck!
                                          Comment
                                          • bigbank
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-19-09
                                            • 464

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                            You're not worried about heavy sharp money coming in on Cornell? Public's backing Kentucky, yet the line is dropping.
                                            Biggest fallacy of all time. If I had a penny for every time someone mentions what sharp money is doing..blah...blah..blah. Nonsense. Cornell gets their ass kicked tomorrow. Has nobody watched the Wildcats? This team is very talented and the youth will not be a factor. Cornell is a good team, it's been a great story, but the ride is over. The Wildcats have Ashley Judd, oh and some kid named Wall
                                            Comment
                                            • Chi_archie
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-22-08
                                              • 63182

                                              #23
                                              good luck
                                              Comment
                                              • sportsguy04
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-21-08
                                                • 11885

                                                #24
                                                Has cornell faced a athletic team like UK all year? Please dont say Temple or Wisconsin. Kansas, perhaps, but not more athletic than UK.

                                                Cousins, John Wall, Patterson, all going to get their fair share tonight.

                                                Still saying UK by 16.
                                                Comment
                                                • mojomaker11
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-05-09
                                                  • 286

                                                  #25
                                                  I really like the over and like Kentucky in this one. They are playing like they want to win a championship.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • HoulihansTX
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                    • 30566

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by sportsguy04
                                                    Has cornell faced a athletic team like UK all year? Please dont say Temple or Wisconsin. Kansas, perhaps, but not more athletic than UK. Cousins, John Wall, Patterson, all going to get their fair share tonight. Still saying UK by 16.
                                                    They played the Cuse at the Carrier Dome.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • beerman2619
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-24-09
                                                      • 7752

                                                      #27
                                                      Kentucky is strong they beat Carolina by 2 at home this year come on they are a lock.
                                                      Comment
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