Sunday

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • iceminers26
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-13-08
    • 15600

    #1
    Sunday
    Week To Date - 22-24-1 +16.40U

    I got MLs, spreads, totals, teasers, etc. all included in that record, could care less just care about the units but feel obligated to post a record weekly for potential followers.

    Sunday Plays

    Missouri +6 10U

    I will more than likely have 2-5U plays as well and that's it, have to finish capping the 2 other games I like.
  • iceminers26
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-13-08
    • 15600

    #2
    Missouri Write-Up

    Missouri Tigers Plus the Points


    Week To Date - 22-24-1 +16.40U (MLs, ATS, and Totals)

    The record is not great this week because I took a descent number of dogs on the money line and some of my regular plays have not came through how I would have liked, but can't complain when the units are up and the big plays are coming through. In addition, the 8u play (loss) in the WTA is included in the weekly figure, so up +24.40 in the college postseason thus far and hopefully going to reach that 100 unit mark I set for the college post season tourneys. I included the tennis play into my total because its my weekly figure and I like to know what I gain or lose in each given week but going to try and keep the college post season separate to see if I reach my set goal.

    Alright, off of the solid winner with Wofford, we hit both big plays yesterday on Kansas State and Northern Iowa and picked up just under 17 units for the day. Hoping we have similar success today and close out our sixth winning week in the past seven weeks. Enough about the past, time to move on to today.

    Sunday's Play: Missouri +6 10U

    Its sitting at 6 at some shops and 5.5 at others, if you are one of the ones that have it at 6 I would go ahead and pull the trigger on it and if you're one of the ones sitting at 5.5 you could wait and maybe get 6 at some point throughout the night or early morning. I really don't think it will matter in the end but you always try to get the best number because you never know when it could be the difference between a win, loss, or push.

    I'm probably only going to have 3 plays total for today because 1. I have been playing far too many games per day the past week or so and 2. there are 3 I really like for Sunday and I'm going to try to build up these units. I'm looking at 1-10U play and 2-5U plays for Sunday but will get to the 2-5U plays in my daily thread which can be found in the NCAAB Forum.

    Missouri

    The 10th seeded Tigers went 23-10 overall this year and 10-7 in the difficult Big 12. Away from home they went a combined 6-8 between true road contests and neutral site games, not wild about the losing record away from home, but giving it the benefit of the doubt because as I mentioned before, I feel this conference is head and shoulders above the rest.

    Offense

    On the road this season they averaged just over 70 points per game on 39 percent shooting from the field, 37 percent from deep, and 74 percent from the line. The 39 percent from the field is low but when you can still manage 70 per game just shooting under 40 percent imagine what the final output will be when you have a game where you shoot in the mid 40 percent range, mid to upper 80s. I'm not playing this because I'm hoping their offense starts to shoot better from the field, I'm playing this because I am confident it will because I strongly feel they will be able to get easy looks off their press and this will allow them to set up each time after a made basket. In addition, they shoot a solid 74 percent from the line on the road and I really can't say that about their counterpart, who has shown they mightily struggle from the line.

    Defense


    The Tigers allowed an average of 71 points per game on the road on 42 percent from the field, 33 percent from deep and 72 percent from the line. I used true road stats for two reasons, 1. they give up 4 more points per game in true road tests than neutral sites (worse of the two) and 2. the Big 12 competition on the road is tougher than the combined neutral schedule they played or for any matter, what any team would have played this season. I expect the Tigers to cause a good number of turnovers in this one off their press and as I stated above, the made baskets will allow them to setup their press after each made bucket.

    West Virginia

    As for the Mountaineers, they are coming off a 77-50 opening round win over Morgan State where aside from an early 10-0 deficit, they didn't have any trouble getting over on this poor Morgan State squad. I don't want to talk much about the Mountaineers, but two stats I will mention are they only shot 29 percent from deep in away games this season and only shot 70 percent from the line in away games this season. The 70 percent seems very high to me because in my memory I just remember them constantly struggling from the line of late and if they are not getting the free points from the line in this one, they could have a long night. In road games this season, the Mountaineers also gave up an average of 75 points per game on the defensive end and as we all have witnessed, the Big East is struggling this tourney.

    Finally, throw out all the stats because I am just not a believer in this Mountaineer team and in addition, feel Huggy is not going to lead them to the promise land. In addition, the legs may be a little tired from that Big East Tournament run but again I am not playing the fatigue factor because after all these are 18-22 year old kids and they should be able to regroup. Its just an added factor we have on our side and I will always include any angle I can into capping a game. I know the Mountaineers have won 7 straight, but lets look who they beat, Morgan State (no comment), Georgetown (we all witnessed what they were about), Notre Dame (2 point victory and again we saw what the Irish did against ODU and how ODU fared against Big 12 competition yesterday), Cincy (3 point win against the NIT Bearcats), Nova (2 point win on the road, impressive at the time but again we saw what Nova was all about), Georgetown (read above), and Cincy (read above). A 7 game winning streak is impressive because you have to show up and give the effort, but lets not go over board with this 7 game winning streak. I just feel Missouri will be too quick for the Mountaineers and would not be surprised to see the Tigers win this straight up, but I'll gladly take the 6 points.

    Sunday Play: Missouri +6 10U


    Good Luck

    ICE
    Comment
    • jboy4
      Restricted User
      • 02-18-10
      • 1950

      #3
      Thanks for the pick. I was thinking Mizz
      Comment
      • Wolf40
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-09-10
        • 954

        #4
        excellent Ice! I agree we have a fraud on our hands!
        I am so curious what your other two games are? I'm hoping one of them in A&M!
        Comment
        • iceminers26
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-13-08
          • 15600

          #5
          I waited until after my write-up to put in my play and it dropped to 5.5 at my book, regardless I will be on this for 10 units but I'm going to wait and see if it creeps back up to 6 at my book. Like I said earlier, don't think it will matter, but if I can get a better number I'll take it.
          Comment
          • iceminers26
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-13-08
            • 15600

            #6
            Originally posted by Wolf40
            excellent Ice! I agree we have a fraud on our hands! I am so curious what your other two games are? I'm hoping one of them in A&M!
            No not looking at the A&M game at all, I have interest in the Xavier/Pitt and Michigan St/Maryland games but have to give them each one more solid look.
            Comment
            • jaymac82980
              SBR MVP
              • 01-08-09
              • 3416

              #7
              nice write up. In actually feeling wv is the better play, but I like some of your stats
              Good luck. I know your plays are usually pretty solid.
              Comment
              • iceminers26
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-13-08
                • 15600

                #8
                I keep forgetting to include these future plays I made at the beginning of the week in my other thread.


                Future Plays

                Kansas State +330 to win West Region - 2U

                Baylor +575 to win South Region - 1U

                Kansas State +2250 to win National Championship - 1/2U
                Comment
                • iceminers26
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-13-08
                  • 15600

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jaymac82980
                  nice write up. In actually feeling wv is the better play, but I like some of your stats Good luck. I know your plays are usually pretty solid.
                  Which ever way you decide to go in this game good luck buddy and thanks for complimenting me on the write-up and wishing me luck
                  Comment
                  • Wolf40
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-09-10
                    • 954

                    #10
                    Originally posted by iceminers26
                    No not looking at the A&M game at all, I have interest in the Xavier/Pitt and Michigan St/Maryland games but have to give them each one more solid look.
                    you don't mess around man... going for the pk games! I'll tell you with no research I like Xavier and Maryland. not sure I'l' play that maryland/mich st game but I'm excited to watch it! I have xavier beating pitt in both my brackets but Pitt is that team that fuks people...lol

                    what does tradition say? PITT AND MICH ST! what does the future say? Xavier and Maryland! LOL
                    Comment
                    • iceminers26
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-13-08
                      • 15600

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Wolf40
                      you don't mess around man... going for the pk games! I'll tell you with no research I like Xavier and Maryland. not sure I'l' play that maryland/mich st game but I'm excited to watch it! I have xavier beating pitt in both my brackets but Pitt is that team that fuks people...lol what does tradition say? PITT AND MICH ST! what does the future say? Xavier and Maryland! LOL
                      good stuff, to make it even more messed up, I am from Pitt and have to put all that aside when capping this match-up
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        hope your right as id love to see Mizzou win, havnt decided if ill make my usual fan bet on it or not.....man the rebounding edge WVU is gonna have scares me and although they dont have a real point they do have guys that handle the rock pretty well and they dont turn it over a bunch....doubt they have played a team that will press them like Mizzou so im just not sure how much the press gets to them and damn they get to the offensive boards about as good as anyone and Mizzou rebounds like shit
                        Comment
                        • Rbyrne
                          Restricted User
                          • 02-10-10
                          • 3054

                          #13
                          exactly...WVU will out rebound mizzou all game long and get 2nd and 3rd chance points...wvu def wins this game...they do love missing free throws down the stretch so they may or may not cover 6 points
                          Comment
                          • hugh4310
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-10-10
                            • 2302

                            #14
                            THAT a BOY ICE, YOU THE MAN! UP 5,000 so far lets keep it going tomorrow!
                            Comment
                            • mdk02
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-26-10
                              • 358

                              #15
                              i dunno which side to play on the game yet.. i think mizzou or nothing
                              Comment
                              • iceminers26
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-13-08
                                • 15600

                                #16
                                FINAL CARD

                                Missouri +6 10U

                                Michigan St +1 5U

                                Pitt +1 5U

                                I'm leaning towards Georgia Tech plus the 6/6.5 but not sure if I am going to play it, if I do it will only be a regular 2 unit play, will post if I do end up playing it but as of now not playing it.
                                Comment
                                • tylerguy02
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-29-09
                                  • 1987

                                  #17
                                  Man...I wish you were on the other side of the Michigan St. game. I do like the Missouri pick as well as the Pitt a bit.
                                  Comment
                                  • iceminers26
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-13-08
                                    • 15600

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by tylerguy02
                                    Man...I wish you were on the other side of the Michigan St. game. I do like the Missouri pick as well as the Pitt a bit.
                                    In all honesty, I left all my personal views out the window when I capped the X/Pitt match-up and still came up with a strong feel for Pitt in this one.

                                    As for the Terps/Spartans, are you on the other side of that one?
                                    Comment
                                    • tylerguy02
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-29-09
                                      • 1987

                                      #19
                                      Yeah. I haven't placed a play yet, but my initial pick is Maryland. Tomorrow looked super easy the first look at the spreads and then it got really hard once I dove into them.
                                      Comment
                                      • iceminers26
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-13-08
                                        • 15600

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by tylerguy02
                                        Yeah. I haven't placed a play yet, but my initial pick is Maryland. Tomorrow looked super easy the first look at the spreads and then it got really hard once I dove into them.
                                        go with what you like bud, don't ever let me talk you out of a play, I would feel like shit if you backed off it or switched sides and your original play won, good luck today.
                                        Comment
                                        • iceminers26
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-13-08
                                          • 15600

                                          #21
                                          Might us well get the day rolling

                                          9:30 AM ET - EPL

                                          Man U/Liverpool Over 1 1H +110 2U

                                          I think the worst result in this play is a push, but think they find a way to squeak out 2 in the 1H
                                          Comment
                                          • iceminers26
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-13-08
                                            • 15600

                                            #22
                                            1-0 Pool less than 5 minutes in, got our push now got 40+ minutes to get the win
                                            Comment
                                            • iceminers26
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-13-08
                                              • 15600

                                              #23
                                              1-1 11 minutes in

                                              winner +2U
                                              Comment
                                              • Wolf40
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-09-10
                                                • 954

                                                #24
                                                nice early hit Ice! People seem to think these NCAA games are too easy today and that never really goes well for the public. Should e a great day of bball... I'm going to try to pick my play's wisely as not to take a hit if public does!
                                                Comment
                                                • ExposingLines247
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-25-09
                                                  • 1001

                                                  #25
                                                  had a feeling you were gonna be on sparty and i have to agree with you here, line now +1 and i will continue to watch maryland struggles more with the defensive minded squads only one big 10 game early this year handled by wisky on a neutral court
                                                  Comment
                                                  • stingray14
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 02-12-10
                                                    • 188

                                                    #26
                                                    Good luck Ice...with you on Pitt......but i am pplaying WVA and Mary....but what do I know.....Football (NCAA) is my strong suite
                                                    Comment
                                                    • iceminers26
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-13-08
                                                      • 15600

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ExposingLines247
                                                      had a feeling you were gonna be on sparty and i have to agree with you here, line now +1 and i will continue to watch maryland struggles more with the defensive minded squads only one big 10 game early this year handled by wisky on a neutral court
                                                      I've been down this road in the past in the NCAA Tourney with Sparty, hardly anyone gives them a chance and they end up showing up with their defense and making the other team look awful offensively. In years past, can't remember the exact year but they were like 7 point dogs in the tourney and no one gave them a shot, ended up winning the game by double digits and I cashed ATS and ML. I'm always a big fan of backing the better defensive club in match-ups like this one today and lets be honest, Maryland is an entirely different team away from home, they are God awful IMO away. Good luck today, hope you have a winning day.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • iceminers26
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-13-08
                                                        • 15600

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by stingray14
                                                        Good luck Ice...with you on Pitt......but i am pplaying WVA and Mary....but what do I know.....Football (NCAA) is my strong suite
                                                        thanks sting, good luck to you as well buddy
                                                        Comment
                                                        • iceminers26
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-13-08
                                                          • 15600

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Wolf40
                                                          nice early hit Ice! People seem to think these NCAA games are too easy today and that never really goes well for the public. Should e a great day of bball... I'm going to try to pick my play's wisely as not to take a hit if public does!
                                                          yeah probably the easiest one I will have all day but always good to start the day with a winner.

                                                          I hear ya, I know the play is Purdue but I cannot get myself to lay money on them in this spot.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gmoney45
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-09-09
                                                            • 312

                                                            #30
                                                            Dang the public is slamming Pitt. My book has it all the way to -1 now. I'm definitely on Mich St +1, Texas A&M -1.5, and waiting for Missouri to get to +6 if possible. Good luck today!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ExposingLines247
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-25-09
                                                              • 1001

                                                              #31
                                                              izzo's crew tends to always show up for these type games bol man
                                                              Comment
                                                              • iceminers26
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-13-08
                                                                • 15600

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by gmoney45
                                                                Dang the public is slamming Pitt. My book has it all the way to -1 now. I'm definitely on Mich St +1, Texas A&M -1.5, and waiting for Missouri to get to +6 if possible. Good luck today!
                                                                In the same boat, if you read one of my earlier posts in this thread, I missed out as well because of writing the write-up, line moved to 5.5 from 6, don't know why I didn't put it in first then write, dumb move by me.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gmoney45
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 01-09-09
                                                                  • 312

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Went ahead and grabbed Pitt at -1. I think they are going to win anyways. Like Gonzaga +6.5 as Syracuse Onuaku and will only have a six man rotation. Zags will pound the high-low on the 2-3 zone. Any thoughts?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 36mafia
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-08-09
                                                                    • 2389

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by iceminers26
                                                                    FINAL CARD Missouri +6 10U Michigan St +1 5U Pitt +1 5U I'm leaning towards Georgia Tech plus the 6/6.5 but not sure if I am going to play it, if I do it will only be a regular 2 unit play, will post if I do end up playing it but as of now not playing it.
                                                                    pitt moved to -1, any value in that ice
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • darkenergy
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-08-09
                                                                      • 4013

                                                                      #35
                                                                      BOL today Ice
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...