NCAAB Hoops
Old Dominion vs Baylor
A) Old Dominion remain in ATS ruts of 8-18 at neutral sites (3-14 last 17), 3-7 in non-conference action, 6-14 against winning teams & 2-6 as an underdog....
B) Old Dominion are now 3-9 all-time in the tourney, but the Monarchs have never made it past the second round.
C) Baylor is on ATS upticks of 6-1 in non-league action, 8-3 on Saturday 19-8at neutral sites, 4-1 as a favorite and 8-4 as a neutral-site chalk.
D) Baylor has won nine of 11 overall, but it has followed up a three-game ATS surge with consecutive non-covers.
This is a very good Baylor team. The Bears have a good inside outside game going and the key here will be the play of big Ekpe Udoh. With Tweety Carter and LaceDarius Dunn on the outside and Udoh on the inside, that combination gets it done for Baylor. Old Dominion will have trouble keeping up with the scoring. Old Dominion found a favorable match up with Notre Dame as the Irish played a slow down grinding style. Baylor doesn’t.
-4.5 **** 2.5 units
St Mary's (27-5, 21-9-1 ATS) vs Villanova (25-7, 18-13 ATS)
A) St. Mary’s is now 4-1 SU and ATS in neutral-site games, winning and cashing in the last four in a row....
B) St Mary's are on pointspread hot streaks of 20-5-1 in non-conference games, 16-7 after a victory and 13-4 after a spread-cover....
C) Villanova started the season 15-4 ATS but it has now failed to cash in nine of its last 12.
D) Villanova are also in ATS slumps of 1-4 versus winning teams, 0-6 after a SU victory, 2-7 as a favorite, 2-7 as a favorite in the Tournament and 0-4 on Saturday.
Villanova may be 15-6 ATS versus offensive teams scoring 77 or more points a game, but 10-seeds have won outright 40 percent of the time against No. 2’s if they average better than 72 points a game and if they outscore opponents by at least five points per contest (St. Mary’s at 13.5). The Gaels are 12-3 ATS on the road after scoring 80 or more points.
+5 **** 2 units
Ohio (22-14, 19-12 ATS) vs. (6) Tennessee (26-8, 13-17-1 ATS)
A) The Bobcats, tourney champions of the Mid-American Conference, are on a 6-0 SU and ATS tear and are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight outings.
B) Ohio has had just four neutral-site contests all season – its last four games, winning and cashing in all of them while outscoring foes by an average of 12 ppg (78.2-66.0).
C) Ohio are on a handful of ATS tears, including 12-1 overall, 6-0 after a SU win, 9-0 against winning teams, 7-0 as a pup....
D) Tennesseeare on ATS dives of 5-12 overall, 3-8 as a favorite, 3-8-1 in the Big Dance and 2-8-1 as a tourney chalk, though they’ve gone 4-1 ATS in their last five after a pointspread loss and 3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
+8.5**** 3 units (PLAY OF THE DAY)
-2 over New Mexico****1.5 units
Texas Tech-4.5 with Kansas St (pk) (tease) **** 4 units
Will have a play on the Wake/Kentucky game later....
A) Old Dominion remain in ATS ruts of 8-18 at neutral sites (3-14 last 17), 3-7 in non-conference action, 6-14 against winning teams & 2-6 as an underdog....
B) Old Dominion are now 3-9 all-time in the tourney, but the Monarchs have never made it past the second round.
C) Baylor is on ATS upticks of 6-1 in non-league action, 8-3 on Saturday 19-8at neutral sites, 4-1 as a favorite and 8-4 as a neutral-site chalk.
D) Baylor has won nine of 11 overall, but it has followed up a three-game ATS surge with consecutive non-covers.
This is a very good Baylor team. The Bears have a good inside outside game going and the key here will be the play of big Ekpe Udoh. With Tweety Carter and LaceDarius Dunn on the outside and Udoh on the inside, that combination gets it done for Baylor. Old Dominion will have trouble keeping up with the scoring. Old Dominion found a favorable match up with Notre Dame as the Irish played a slow down grinding style. Baylor doesn’t.
-4.5 **** 2.5 unitsSt Mary's (27-5, 21-9-1 ATS) vs Villanova (25-7, 18-13 ATS)
A) St. Mary’s is now 4-1 SU and ATS in neutral-site games, winning and cashing in the last four in a row....
B) St Mary's are on pointspread hot streaks of 20-5-1 in non-conference games, 16-7 after a victory and 13-4 after a spread-cover....
C) Villanova started the season 15-4 ATS but it has now failed to cash in nine of its last 12.
D) Villanova are also in ATS slumps of 1-4 versus winning teams, 0-6 after a SU victory, 2-7 as a favorite, 2-7 as a favorite in the Tournament and 0-4 on Saturday.
Villanova may be 15-6 ATS versus offensive teams scoring 77 or more points a game, but 10-seeds have won outright 40 percent of the time against No. 2’s if they average better than 72 points a game and if they outscore opponents by at least five points per contest (St. Mary’s at 13.5). The Gaels are 12-3 ATS on the road after scoring 80 or more points.
+5 **** 2 units Ohio (22-14, 19-12 ATS) vs. (6) Tennessee (26-8, 13-17-1 ATS)
A) The Bobcats, tourney champions of the Mid-American Conference, are on a 6-0 SU and ATS tear and are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight outings.
B) Ohio has had just four neutral-site contests all season – its last four games, winning and cashing in all of them while outscoring foes by an average of 12 ppg (78.2-66.0).
C) Ohio are on a handful of ATS tears, including 12-1 overall, 6-0 after a SU win, 9-0 against winning teams, 7-0 as a pup....
D) Tennesseeare on ATS dives of 5-12 overall, 3-8 as a favorite, 3-8-1 in the Big Dance and 2-8-1 as a tourney chalk, though they’ve gone 4-1 ATS in their last five after a pointspread loss and 3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
+8.5**** 3 units (PLAY OF THE DAY) -2 over New Mexico****1.5 units Texas Tech-4.5 with Kansas St (pk) (tease) **** 4 units
Will have a play on the Wake/Kentucky game later....
-9.5 over Wake (2 units)
like always.........you are quickly becoming one of my most favorite capper....keep up the good work and its nice that u share your plays with us 