Someone convince me not to make this teaser play...

[jmilacek]

Kansas St. -6
Ohio State - 7
Syracuse -7.5
West Virginia -7.5

(all teased by 10 points)

I just don't see how this doesn't happen. Looking for opinions before I pull the trigger.

[princesspolamalu]

Kansas St. -6
Ohio State - 7
Syracuse -7.5
West Virginia -7.5

(all teased by 10 points)

I just don't see how this doesn't happen. Looking for opinions before I pull the trigger.

Looks good on paper its just that its march madness. No real explanation but you know every year some top seed has to come up with some near escape to get out of the first round. Bound to happen just dont know who the unfortunate soul is going to be. GL though!!!

[jmilacek]

Yeah, that's the only thing I'm worried about. Past four years or so have seen every 1 and 2 win by at least 10. Whether we're due for another close 2/15 game is questionable, but these are all VERY solid teams. Last close 2/15 was Duke and Duke was very overrated that year IMO; many people picked that as a close game/possible upset.

[dknight734]

i think it's way too much chalk to put up

[Jive]

Since you asked to be talked out of it, I'll give it a shot...

Teasing favorites down without getting to within a basket of pick'em is usually dancing with fire. Teasing favorites down during elimination games is really asking for serious trouble. See the conference tournaments for proof. There will be close games this weekend that you'd never expect to see.

[jmilacek]

Yes, all dissenting opinions welcome. I'm not stuck on this, but it just seems very statistically likely.

[THE PROFIT]

How much does a ML parlay on the 4 #1 seeds pay

[jmilacek]

Don't know; I use Bodog (yeah, I know) and they don't have any MLs available for the tourney yet.

Well, I did it:

Date placed:
Mar 17, 2010 2:40a 4 Team Teaser #171480841 (Placed by Web)
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
NCAA TOURNAMENT - Opening Round @ Ford Center - Oklahoma City, OK
(726) Kansas State -6 Thu@2:50p
Competitor725) North Texas
Teased 10.0 points
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
NCAA TOURNAMENT - Opening Round @ HSBC Arena - Buffalo, NY
(828) West Virginia -7½ Fri@12:15p
Competitor827) Morgan State
Teased 10.0 points
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
NCAA TOURNAMENT - Opening Round @ HSBC Arena - Buffalo, NY
(824) Syracuse -7½ Fri@9:40p
Competitor823) Vermont
Teased 10.0 points
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
NCAA TOURNAMENT - Opening Round @ Bradley Center - Milwaukee, WI
(840) Ohio State -7 Fri@9:45p
Competitor839) Cal Santa Barbara
Teased 10.0 points
Risk US$ 480.00 to win US$ 400.00

Let's hope I don't look like a fool...

[jmilacek]

Double post.

[princesspolamalu]

How much does a ML parlay on the 4 #1 seeds pay

Prob not much the odds are brutal on the ML.....top seeds around -5K....Kansas some outrageous number like maybe -12.5K

[KingKolzig]

wv and syracuse could get real tests, especially wv

[TheCommish]

You never know, but it should hit.

Other games that might be more attractive to tease down (I have a 9 pt teaser in already)

Pending 3/18/10 7:25pm NCAA Basketball 706 Georgetown -4 * vs Ohio
Pending 3/18/10 3:00pm NCAA Basketball 718 Baylor -2 * vs Sam Houston State
Pending 3/18/10 9:50pm NCAA Basketball 734 New Mexico +½ * vs Montana

[phatgentleman]

looks good

[talnted]

I agree, too much chalk. One of those teams may just barely squeek out a win in a close game...

[jmilacek]

Woot.