GiveMeaBJ's Tournament Thread

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  • GiveMeaBJ
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-08-09
    • 8449

    #1
    GiveMeaBJ's Tournament Thread
    Sorry for making another but the other was just way to cluttered with all the brackets. All records are documented in the other thread. Going to keep this thread for strictly plays, discussion, and analysis.

    Conference Tourns Today: 2-0 (+6 Units)
    Conference Tourns Overall: 9-2 (+10.5 Units)


    Conference Tourn Futures
    Northern Iowa to win MVC Tourn +100 (3x)
    Portland to win WCC Tourn +600 (1x)
    Gonzaga to win WCC Tourn -175 (2x)
    VCU +400 to win CAA Tourn (1x)
    Northeastern to win CAA Tourn +250 (1x)
    Siena to win MAAC Tourn -250 (1x)
    Mississippi State to win SEC Tourn +1200 (0.5x)
  • GiveMeaBJ
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-08-09
    • 8449

    #2
    Syracuse to win Big East Tourn +200 (2x)
    Both teams got good draws in my opinion. Syracuse probably has to go through Georgetown and Nova to get to the final. I think they should do that pretty easily, the Nova game might be trouble but Cuse always has some magic at the Garden and to get to the final is definitley worth +190. If they get there it depends who they play but I may hedge. I was expecting them to be a bit more heavily favored then this.
    Comment
    • GiveMeaBJ
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-08-09
      • 8449

      #3
      Baylor to win Big 12 Tourn +500 (0.5x)
      I think they have the toughest road to the finals but someone has to win this tournament and I don't think Kansas really cares if they win or not. Baylor is a very good team and I think will not only show it in this Big 12 Tourn but also in the Big Dance. Tweety Carter is money from the outside and they can play any style of ball. They also got a little bigger inside then years past so every game they play in is no longer a layup line by the opponents. +500 warrants a bet even though the road is tough.
      Comment
      • GiveMeaBJ
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-08-09
        • 8449

        #4
        Conference Tourney Futures
        Northern Iowa to win MVC Tourn +100 (3x)
        Portland to win WCC Tourn +600 (1x)
        Gonzaga to win WCC Tourn -175 (2x)
        VCU +400 to win CAA Tourn (1x)
        Northeastern to win CAA Tourn +250 (1x)

        Siena to win MAAC Tourn -250 (1x)
        Mississippi State to win SEC Tourn +1200 (0.5x)
        Syracuse to win Big East Tourn +200 (2x)
        Baylor to win Big 12 Tourn +500 (0.5x)
        Comment
        • Powderguy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-18-09
          • 6939

          #5
          Good stuff man, what book are you placing these at?
          Comment
          • GiveMeaBJ
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-08-09
            • 8449

            #6
            Originally posted by Powderguy
            Good stuff man, what book are you placing these at?
            Mostly at TheGreek, some through a local who is giving me a couple better numbers.
            Comment
            • GiveMeaBJ
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-08-09
              • 8449

              #7
              Would be real nice for my future bet if Portland can make a comeback here.
              Comment
              • GiveMeaBJ
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-08-09
                • 8449

                #8
                William & Mary +9 (1x)
                Comment
                • GiveMeaBJ
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-08-09
                  • 8449

                  #9
                  Gonzaga -4 (1x)
                  The only reason this isn't a bigger play for me is because I have the future bet on them already pending a win tonight. There is value on the Zags in this game. They were favored by 4 at Saint Marys earlier in the year and then 6 at home. Both games they won, once by 7, and once by 19. It's hard to try and tell me that Gonzaga when they beat St M by 19 proved they were a much better team. You can't tell me that they shouldn't have moved the line up a little bit. They are implying now that if the game was played @ St. Marys Gonzaga would be -1 and if played at Gonzaga they would be -7. Not to mention that there is no team I feel more comfortable betting on. They do it all, cut to the hoop, play defense, play as a team, and have good shot selection. I love having Matt Bouldin and Steven Gray running the team I am betting on and when you throw in another stud like Robert Sacre it is all gravy. Not to mention they have a few other guys who could start almost anywhere in the country. I have read that people think the Zags don't really care if they win this tournament or not but SMC needs it. The Zags are a WCC team, if they don't win the tournament they lose a lot of respect across the country which has been the driving factor in establishing Gonzaga to what it is today. They play for respect, that is why they play a tough out of conference schedule every year and play tough teams like Duke this year and Connecticut last year. If they were going to sleep walk through this tournament they could have last night as 12 point favorites but they pretty much dominated that game. Now they get their rivals and are supposed to lay down again? I don't see it.
                  Comment
                  • GiveMeaBJ
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-08-09
                    • 8449

                    #10
                    Strong lean to WKU -4 but I think I am going to lay off.
                    Comment
                    • GiveMeaBJ
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-08-09
                      • 8449

                      #11
                      -Siena Prop Cashes
                      -Will & Mary Cashes

                      Conference Tourns Today: 2-0 (+2 Units)
                      Conference Tourns Overall: 11-2 (+12.5 Units)
                      Comment
                      • GiveMeaBJ
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-08-09
                        • 8449

                        #12
                        Conference Tourns Today: 2-1 (+0.9 Units)
                        Conference Tourns Overall: 11-3 (+9.4 Units)

                        Conference Tourney Futures
                        Mississippi State to win SEC Tourn +1200 (0.5x)
                        Syracuse to win Big East Tourn +200 (2x)
                        Baylor to win Big 12 Tourn +500 (0.5x)
                        Comment
                        • GiveMeaBJ
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-08-09
                          • 8449

                          #13
                          Big East Tournament Bets
                          So Fla/DePaul o123.5 (1x)
                          Very low number here and while I like most of the unders in the first round of the Big East tournament I think this one will find a way to sneak over. South Florida has been an over team all year mostly because they have found ways to push the ball up the floor quickly and create open shots for All-Big East selection Dominque Jones. The thing about a number this low is that we could see a ton of meaningless points at the end of the game. Both teams seasons are on the line especially South Florida and not many teams choose to just let the clock run out down 12. I don't think it will come too that but it's a nice security. I think this one will land around 130.
                          Comment
                          • GiveMeaBJ
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-08-09
                            • 8449

                            #14
                            Connecticut -4.5 (3x)
                            This line is nuts. How can it possibly be this low? We are talking about Connecticut against St. Johns. SJU is supposedly the home team but I don't expect the crowd to effect the Huskies too much. Uconn has won 9 straight against St. Johns and all of them came by 8 or more points. Guys like Kemba Walker, Jerome Dyson, and Stanley Robinson are too much for Johns to handle. I am not anticipating much of a contest.
                            Comment
                            • iceminers26
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-13-08
                              • 15600

                              #15
                              Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
                              Big East Tournament Bets So Fla/DePaul o123.5 (1x) Very low number here and while I like most of the unders in the first round of the Big East tournament I think this one will find a way to sneak over. South Florida has been an over team all year mostly because they have found ways to push the ball up the floor quickly and create open shots for All-Big East selection Dominque Jones. The thing about a number this low is that we could see a ton of meaningless points at the end of the game. Both teams seasons are on the line especially South Florida and not many teams choose to just let the clock run out down 12. I don't think it will come too that but it's a nice security. I think this one will land around 130.
                              Good luck BJ

                              I feel this one will be a struggle to get to 110 and pretty confident in the under, but the good thing is, at least one of us will be a winner.
                              Comment
                              • GiveMeaBJ
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-08-09
                                • 8449

                                #16
                                Northern Colorado +1 (2x)
                                Comment
                                • GiveMeaBJ
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-08-09
                                  • 8449

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by iceminers26
                                  Good luck BJ

                                  I feel this one will be a struggle to get to 110 and pretty confident in the under, but the good thing is, at least one of us will be a winner.
                                  Good call ice. Was a dumb bet on my part. Made mostly for action, can't do that shit if you want to win. You were on the right side and I'm glad you cashed it.
                                  Comment
                                  • GiveMeaBJ
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-08-09
                                    • 8449

                                    #18
                                    Seton Hall/Prov Under 166 (2x)
                                    Rutgers/Cincy Under 132 (4x)

                                    Small lean to Wright St +7. Rough day so far.
                                    Comment
                                    • GiveMeaBJ
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-08-09
                                      • 8449

                                      #19
                                      Worst tournament day in the past 4 years. Let's not talk about it. The only good news is St. Johns set me up for a HUGE play tomorrow. Will have full write up in a little. Just a miserable day.

                                      Conference Tourns Overall: 12-7 (+2.1 Units)
                                      Comment
                                      • GiveMeaBJ
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-08-09
                                        • 8449

                                        #20
                                        USF 2H +2 (2x)
                                        Comment
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