I decide which response is best, deadline is March 3, 11:59 p.m.
A blood bank is having a contest. If you give blood, you get 1 free bracket entry. If you predict 55-56 games correctly, you win $500. 57-59 games wins $5000 and 60+ wins $50000.
Assuming you select the likely favorite (spread favorites in round 1, and your best estimate of the favorite in round 2 and on), what is the EV of this promotion? Assume you were planning to give blood anyway, so there is no real cost to entering.
A blood bank is having a contest. If you give blood, you get 1 free bracket entry. If you predict 55-56 games correctly, you win $500. 57-59 games wins $5000 and 60+ wins $50000.
Assuming you select the likely favorite (spread favorites in round 1, and your best estimate of the favorite in round 2 and on), what is the EV of this promotion? Assume you were planning to give blood anyway, so there is no real cost to entering.