Am I missing something on the DET/VALPO total?

2daBank · 03-02-10, 10:55 AM

i actually was leaning over

2daBank · 03-02-10, 10:55 AM

but not as convinced as i would like to be

THE PROFIT · 03-02-10, 01:59 PM

Raw numbers show it should be in the 144-147 Range. What are you capping to get it 10 points lower than that?

Dukebluejms · 03-02-10, 02:17 PM

I've got it around 138, but thats not a big enough difference for it to be a play for me. Leaned under early, but I could see it being very close.

ScreaminPain · 03-02-10, 03:03 PM

Originally posted by THE PROFIT

Raw numbers show it should be in the 144-147 Range. What are you capping to get it 10 points lower than that?

Profit has this capped about right. I have very accurate data measurement models and this number is on 147 AT Valpo with no injuries. Pomeroy has it at 147, Statfox has it at 146..... I wouldn't want to deviate too far from those numbers unless you have "inside" info about the game or refs.

Good Luck on your action.....

THEGREAT30 · 03-02-10, 03:19 PM

if its gonna be a close game lean over, they will fool a lot more at the end to push the total over, u gotta think teams are gonna do everything in there power to try to extend there seasons, good day

EaglesPhan36 · 03-02-10, 06:01 PM

Valpo is an over machine. At home, that's the better play here but not by much since they set the total right where the two regular season meetings ended. Their defense has also been pretty flimsy lately.

2daBank · 03-02-10, 06:10 PM

it got down to 142.5 for a second and i hit the over up....figured it was closer than i wanted at 144 but 142.5 and the gact that its elimination time so whoever down will stretch the game as far as possible should be good

Glitch · 03-02-10, 06:17 PM

i got the under one time in a parlay, but totals are not my thing at all. im pretty much ALWAYS wrong on over/unders so thats not good for you. goodluck

suckerforparlays · 03-02-10, 07:12 PM

I just need Valpo to cover 2 points!