A couple of numbers the sharps might be attacking

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 04:39 PM

Those .5 point moves are insignificant. Once it moves 2 pts or more, than you should pay attention.

No coincidences · 03-01-10, 05:48 PM

Georgetown down to 136. 81% still on the over.

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 05:51 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Georgetown down to 136. 81% still on the over.

Where are you getting your percentages?

I have 50%.

vyomguy · 03-01-10, 05:53 PM

The total is a coin toss....lay it off guys.

No coincidences · 03-01-10, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Where are you getting your percentages?

I have 50%.

Sportsbook.

In any event, I like that it's dropping.

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 06:08 PM

Gl, I hope you hit.

No coincidences · 03-01-10, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Gl, I hope you hit.

The way things have been going since last Wednesday, I doubt it.

vyomguy · 03-01-10, 06:11 PM

Georgetown will come today with fire...it could go over....and the most important thing.....public wins 50% of times

.....and sharps win 60-65% of the times

.

I am not saying it wont go under...all I am saying is there are better games than this total which is a coin toss.

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 06:13 PM

Its going UNDER. Just capped it myself, and have it at about 132.

GL

Larrythelegend · 03-01-10, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Georgetown/WVU: the total was set at 137, and 92% at my book (so far) are on the over. Yet it's now at 136.5.

Fresno State: Vast majority of the public, again, is backing Utah State, yet the number went from -15 to 14.5.

Just some food for thought.

Much respect to you sir, good research. But this could also lead to believe thus is a head fake by the book to get action on the other side?

2daBank · 03-01-10, 06:16 PM

you know im pretty new to totals still(good though

)but from what ive noticed on totals i really dont give a shit about the percentages or movement ive had a bunch of overs i was on go down sometimes with more on the over other times with more on the under...of coarse some like fla st/clem i liked at und at 132 but let ppl bet it up all day before a took the under but basically unlike sides when i got the game going over or under i take it dont even stress about the rest and dont add totals to my card based off movement i either liked it or didnt

No coincidences · 03-01-10, 06:17 PM

Originally posted by Larrythelegend

Much respect to you sir, good research. But this could also lead to believe thus is a head fake by the book to get action on the other side?

Never know. Like I said, I'm on a cold streak, so it wouldn't surprise me.

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 06:21 PM

Percentages, are of more significance in accordance to side, than totals.

B/c totals are not as heavily bet on as sides. So a books handle on a game can be three times the size on the side, when compared to the total.

Totals less difficult to beat, and the lower limits that books will take on them is all you need to know.

2daBank · 03-01-10, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Percentages, are of more significance in accordance to side, than totals.

B/c totals are not as heavily bet on as sides. So a books handle on a game can be three times the size on the side, when compared to the total.

Totals less difficult to beat, and the lower limits that books will take on them is all you need to know.

im a quick learner i guess

didnt really know why i didnt give a shit about movement and percentages on totals as it a must on my sides, im good at knowing shit w/o knowing why...now i know why i didnt care as much

im learnig real quick totals may in fact be easier cant believe ive been betting college hoops for a few years and am just figuring this out

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 06:34 PM

betting totals is still tough, b/c you need to figure out a teams tempo, if they get to the FT line, and if they hit their FT's.

Use kenpoms website, and its all the stats you need.http://kenpom.com/rate.php

2daBank · 03-01-10, 06:36 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

betting totals is still tough, b/c you need to figure out a teams tempo, if they get to the FT line, and if they hit their FT's.

Use kenpoms website, and its all the stats you need.http://kenpom.com/rate.php

bro you know me im the truth...kenpom is my biggest resource for cappin totals

2daBank · 03-01-10, 06:37 PM

you think i just been throwin darts?

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 06:37 PM

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

you think i just been throwin darts?

Naw flippin coins... jk

THE PROFIT · 03-01-10, 06:44 PM

I'm going under because top guy sent home with flu & 2 others have symptoms. Under it is

vyomguy · 03-01-10, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Its going UNDER. Just capped it myself, and have it at about 132. GL

Houlihans...whenever I decide to tail your plays....I always loose....this has happened 5 times already. If you are saying this game is going under, I actually like the Over here...sorry bro...but tailing you has been burning money.

Jasonal_98 · 03-01-10, 06:46 PM

Check the series trends. This game hasn't gone over 136 since 2003 (9 games). I like the under.

2daBank · 03-01-10, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

Houlihans...whenever I decide to tail your plays....I always looses....this has happened 5 times already. If you are saying this game is going under, I actually like the Over here...sorry bro...but tailing you has been burning money.

you must really be picking and choosing and picking the only losers cause houli been doing quite well

2daBank · 03-01-10, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by Jasonal_98

Check the series trends. This game hasn't gone over 136 since 2003 (9 games). I like the under.

i hate trends...ive seen 4 or 5 real good ones over the years but this one imo means absolutely nothing....not saying i dont like the under thats the way i leaned but i cant play it as i feel like i should have got the better number or passed...just saying that trend is irrelevant on whether or not ths game goes under

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 06:54 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

Houlihans...whenever I decide to tail your plays....I always loose....this has happened 5 times already. If you are saying this game is going under, I actually like the Over here...sorry bro...but tailing you has been burning money.

Sry, you have to pick the ones I win.

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

Houlihans...whenever I decide to tail your plays....I always loose....this has happened 5 times already. If you are saying this game is going under, I actually like the Over here...sorry bro...but tailing you has been burning money.

FADE all my plays today.

vyomguy · 03-01-10, 07:10 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

FADE all my plays today.

I already faded you...

.

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 07:12 PM

Which plays?

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 07:13 PM

Because if you faded me in the past 4 days you would be sucking cock for rent money by now.

(22-15-2) Last 4 Days

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 07:15 PM

Whats the number on the total for this WV/GT game you have? b/c after this goes UNDER I want to to never talk about me in a post again.

2daBank · 03-01-10, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Because if you faded me in the past 4 days you would be sucking cock for rent money by now.

(22-15-2) Last 4 Days

vyomguy · 03-01-10, 07:25 PM

I got it at 135.5 from Bookmaker. Good Luck...one of us will win

.

HoulihansTX · 03-01-10, 07:30 PM

Originally posted by vyomguy

I got it at 135.5 from Bookmaker. Good Luck...one of us will win

.

I didnt bet this game. I only gave a recommendation to a fellow poster. I have a thread. obviously you have no idea, so how in the hell could you be fading me?

vyomguy · 03-01-10, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

(22-15-2) Last 4 Days

Its funny you mention just the last 4 days...what about last 2 months or so...or for the season?...I am not trying to bash you...you are a solid capper and wish you good luck....but dont say its going under just coz your system told so.....or dont say you are winning ridiculous amounts just based off past four days.