Rickjs handicapping picks wk of 02/22

RickJ · 02-24-10, 10:03 AM

wedn ncaa baskets

We lost our play on New Mexico -7.5 Tues. The end game didnt go our way...a few missed free throws, a 3 pointer, some untimely fouls by New Mexico all ended up in a failure to cover by a bucket.

Two overnights:

737 florida st +1
750 ohio -4.5

I just noticed that florida st should of been -1 ... my mistake...in any event the line is -2.5 at most books and I would not lay more then 1.5. Ohio is 5 at most books and I would still lay it.

Nothing else this morning.

But as always I will update my blog and twitter if anything new develops along with the overnights around 9 pm pst.

Good Luck today

RickJ

RickJ · 02-25-10, 10:06 AM

Thurs ncaa baskets

Wedn we went 2-1. Florida st jumped in the lead and lead by double digits the entire game, Ohio never really was in a position to cover, and we got a nice break with Marquette covering by 1/2 a pt in OT.

Today 4 games from overnight:

535 Wisc -11.5
543 Nevada +2.5
549 Long beach st -1.5
517 Wright St -9

Another mistake by me...Nevada should of been -2.5 ...2 mistakes in 2 days

I have made a mental note of this

The lines on all four are a little higher this morning but I would still
bet all 4 of these.

As always if anything else develops I will post on my blog and twitter. With overnights around 9 pm pst.

An email:

"Rick. The FSU line moved to -2.5 by the time I was able to get at it. However I felt like this line may have had the most movement behind it as any play of yours all season. Therefore I played it ML -140. That was obviously against your strategy but I saw value in it. Thoughts? "

My Response:

"I dont chase numbers. If I dont get a play in my parameters then I pass on the game. I usually like to fade the big moves since I give a lot of respect to the linemakers. Some very bright people set these lines. It worked out for you...but over the long haul I dont feel its a positive approach."

Good Luck Today

Rickj

RickJ · 02-26-10, 08:58 AM

Friday ncaa baskets

Thurs we went 3-1 in ncaa baskets. Wisconsin was an easy win as they blew out indiana by 29. Wright state never had a chance to cover. Our two small favorites both went our way in the last 30 seconds to cover in two very close games. Its always a nice feeling when those close games go your way at the end.

Today 1 overnight:

827 Princeton +11

You can still get +11 at most books this morning.

Nothing else I can see. But as always I will update my blog and twitter if anything else develops. And with over 120 games tomorrow should be some overnights around 9 pm pst.

Good Luck Today

RickJ

RickJ · 02-27-10, 09:53 AM

Sat ncaa baskets

Friday we went 1-1. Our college play Princeton +11 was an easy win. But our nba play clippers +9.5 slipped away in the final 5 min.

Today there are 6 overnights:

691 coll of charleston even
621 Drexel -1.5
581 florida +1
571 akron -2.5
557 wright st -3
547 missouri st even

The lines this morning are Missouri st -2... the most I would lay would be 1
Wright st -3.5 I would still lay that
akron -3.5 I would lay up to 3
Florida +1.5 still a play at a better line
drexel -2 still a play
Coll of charle -1.5 still a play

Nothing else yet this morning. But I will update my blog and twitter if anything new develops. And overnights around 9 pm pst.

Good Luck today

RickJ

RickJ · 02-28-10, 09:16 AM

Sunday ncaa baskets

Saturday ended up 4-4. Of the 8 games Towson was the only easy win and
Pepperdine was the only game that didnt really have a chance to cover.
The rest were close.

1 overnight:

845 Weber st even

The line this morning is -1.5 to -2 on weber st.
I would still wager on the game.

Nothing else yet I can see but as always I will update my blog
and twitter if anything new develops. Also overnights around
9 pm pst.

Good Luck today

RickJ

BigMama · 02-28-10, 09:27 AM

Good luck