Will jayhawks cover

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  • spankadank
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-20-10
    • 182

    #1
    Will jayhawks cover
    I think so. Ok sucks, especially on the road. I see kansas getting up big early and never looking back. KU by 26 tonight.
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    Ku has a way of just barely not covering these big spreads, see Colorado on Sat.....i see another 20 point win just enough to give you hope but come up short......gl
    Comment
    • scottdills
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-02-10
      • 135

      #3
      I stay away from lines this big. It's not hard to imagine KU will get up by 24 with a few minutes left then put in the walk ons. Oklahoma scores a few late buckets against the scrubs and KU ends up winning by 18. Pretty easy to get screwed on a line like this.
      Comment
      • spankadank
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-20-10
        • 182

        #4
        I hope not 2DA, i believe Col and Ok are equally bad. I just don't see the Hawks letting the Sooners hang around like the Buffs did.
        Comment
        • spankadank
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-20-10
          • 182

          #5
          I see KU up by 15-20 at half. At least thats what i'm betting on.
          Comment
          • 1UP
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-20-10
            • 356

            #6
            Just cap the total. It's too easy to go either way on this one.

            Oklahoma can keep it close in the 1st, but get completely blown out in the 2nd and barely cover. Or they can just be dominated the entire game and then you have to deal with how dumb the college game is. Kansas can have a 26 point lead with a minute left, and Oklahoma will trap and press, force a few quick turnovers and only lose by 20.

            This feels like it can be one of the latter, even though I have it at +17.
            Comment
            • gwiz
              SBR MVP
              • 02-09-10
              • 1790

              #7
              I looked over oklahoma's past schedule and thought kansas was a mix of baylor and gonzaga and decided to see what they lost by to them as an average

              the number I came up with was 21

              I thought that was interesting

              baylor being the conference game and the one they lost by 29

              13 to gonzaga

              makes me lean to saying YES they can

              I have it as a small watch the game action play
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #8
                i feel ya im mean there no reason they shouldnt but something tells me they wont....i thought i was burnt with the buffs on Sat but luckily skated by with that one...okla got that 1 kid (forget his name, not warren the younger one) who can ball...on tv it wouldnt surprise me if he showed out and warren being out i think helps okla even more...the only thing i think you got going for you is it seems Ku never covers these(could be wrong dont know the exact numbers just seems this way) so i guess they bound to at some point
                Comment
                • Wilforth
                  Restricted User
                  • 05-10-08
                  • 16309

                  #9
                  Originally posted by scottdills
                  I stay away from lines this big. It's not hard to imagine KU will get up by 24 with a few minutes left then put in the walk ons. Oklahoma scores a few late buckets against the scrubs and KU ends up winning by 18. Pretty easy to get screwed on a line like this.
                  Exactly.
                  Comment
                  • spankadank
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-20-10
                    • 182

                    #10
                    I don't know about Baylor Gonzaga Mix. KU scores more points and gives up less with a tougher schedule than both.
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                      i feel ya im mean there no reason they shouldnt but something tells me they wont....i thought i was burnt with the buffs on Sat but luckily skated by with that one...okla got that 1 kid (forget his name, not warren the younger one) who can ball...on tv it wouldnt surprise me if he showed out and warren being out i think helps okla even more...the only thing i think you got going for you is it seems Ku never covers these(could be wrong dont know the exact numbers just seems this way) so i guess they bound to at some point
                      Mason-Griffin.
                      Comment
                      • chiliv5
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-16-10
                        • 1273

                        #12
                        As cold as I have been running I am taking the points.... should mean an easy cover for KU! I am also on WV. Lets see how it shakes out gentlemen! Need these 2 plays to get me back to .500.....
                        Comment
                        • spankadank
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-20-10
                          • 182

                          #13
                          I know Wrren is out, but is Gallon out as well.
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            Mason-Griffin.

                            yea that the 1, kid can ball....thanks
                            Comment
                            • Ralphie1412
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-29-08
                              • 13963

                              #15
                              Dr. Bob likes oklahoma at 23.

                              Oklahoma (+21 1/2) over KANSAS
                              Rotation #713 - 6 pm Pacific
                              Kansas applies to a very negative 20-83-1 ATS big home favorite letdown situation that continues to work (won an opinion against New Mexico versus Air Force on Saturday), but my ratings favor Kansas by 23 points with top scorer Willie Warren out and Oklahoma has a tendency to struggle on the road. I'll lean with Oklahoma based on the very strong situation (a 3-26 ATS subset of that angle applies to Kansas), but I'd only take the Sooners in a 2-Star Best Bet at +23 points or more.
                              "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                              Goat Milk
                              Comment
                              • gwiz
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-09-10
                                • 1790

                                #16
                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                i feel ya im mean there no reason they shouldnt but something tells me they wont....i thought i was burnt with the buffs on Sat but luckily skated by with that one...okla got that 1 kid (forget his name, not warren the younger one) who can ball...on tv it wouldnt surprise me if he showed out and warren being out i think helps okla even more...the only thing i think you got going for you is it seems Ku never covers these(could be wrong dont know the exact numbers just seems this way) so i guess they bound to at some point

                                yup their 10-13 and okie is 9-14

                                colorado and nebraska both played kansas tough at home so they came into kansas with a little more confidence

                                added to the fact that kansas took them lightly just trying to win the game and you get 2 non covers

                                I just get the sense we haven't seen that ridiculous win that we think they are capable of and a team that lost by 29 at baylor and 15 on their own floor in the last game won't have the same mental framework that Neb. and Col. had

                                oklahoma scored 46 in lincoln
                                (90) Nebraska L, 63-46 58 Away

                                I don't give em any chance of hitting 60 tonight and when you can't score it can be hard to keep your head in the game

                                I acknowledge this is a total gamble ,, as you noted kansas has a way of sticking it to ya when the number is this high

                                but no way am I backing the sooners, and I want to watch it with a vested interest so this is the only choice for me
                                Comment
                                • gwiz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-09-10
                                  • 1790

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                  Dr. Bob likes oklahoma at 23.

                                  Oklahoma (+21 1/2) over KANSAS
                                  Rotation #713 - 6 pm Pacific
                                  Kansas applies to a very negative 20-83-1 ATS big home favorite letdown situation that continues to work (won an opinion against New Mexico versus Air Force on Saturday), but my ratings favor Kansas by 23 points with top scorer Willie Warren out and Oklahoma has a tendency to struggle on the road. I'll lean with Oklahoma based on the very strong situation (a 3-26 ATS subset of that angle applies to Kansas), but I'd only take the Sooners in a 2-Star Best Bet at +23 points or more.

                                  is anyone getting 23 or more in this game

                                  I have only seen 21 range
                                  Comment
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