Does UCONN have value at +2.5??

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  • Mr. Peepers
    SBR MVP
    • 09-22-09
    • 1425

    #1
    Does UCONN have value at +2.5??
    When seeing the lines last night i was initially on WV -1. When the line began to move my idea for the best play did so too. Uconn is 14-3 at home and are fresh off two huge wins. I also think they have alot more to play for being on the bubble. On top of this you are spotting them another 2.5 pts and I could see it going up to +3.5 before tipoff....A win tonight will put them in a great position to make the tourney. Any thoughts?
  • Glitch
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-08-09
    • 11795

    #2
    "value" at moneyline not plus a meager 2.5....i think they should lose and not cover but can win and can cover. gonna exercise some discipline and stay away from this contest.
    Comment
    • philswin
      SBR MVP
      • 04-18-07
      • 1279

      #3
      I like the 3 factors you mention Uconn at home, off 2 strong wins, and fighting to get in. Think I am going to split my bet half on the moneyline +135 and half plus the points.
      Comment
      • Mr. Peepers
        SBR MVP
        • 09-22-09
        • 1425

        #4
        sounds like a good plan..135 a little low for the total??
        Comment
        • 1UP
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-20-10
          • 356

          #5
          UConn sucks this year, but I don't think they should be dogs at home. So yeah, I'd say it has some value.
          Comment
          • iceminers26
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-13-08
            • 15600

            #6
            Yes, anytime you can grab points at home in the B.E. its value IMO, especially when a team is playing desperate basketball
            Comment
            • sdtrader
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-23-09
              • 536

              #7
              I like the play myself and they have had two big wins before this game.
              Comment
              • jasonw
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-03-09
                • 214

                #8
                i want to cap this game but everything about says stay away. If i were to play it take WV minus the points.
                Comment
                • iceminers26
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-13-08
                  • 15600

                  #9
                  I just grabbed it at 3, sitting there at a couple of books, 3 definitely has value IMO.
                  Comment
                  • Spaniard22
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-12-10
                    • 868

                    #10
                    At +2.5, I believe it's a gift. I locked in @ +2 last night. Calhoun has got these boyz ready to play. With Walker on fire, it opens the floor with Dyson and Robinson. Uconn wins by 10!


                    West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
                    Connecticut is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against West Virginia
                    Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against West Virginia
                    West Virginia is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Uconn
                    Comment
                    • Power Play
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-01-10
                      • 1224

                      #11
                      i like the value at 2.5 i'd grab it
                      Comment
                      • Glitch
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-08-09
                        • 11795

                        #12
                        i think stanley robinson is gonna be a high draft pick. maybe hes not tall enough but he can do a lot of things- im sure scouts notice him
                        Comment
                        • southpaw74
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-21-09
                          • 7104

                          #13
                          Well boys...I can't argue with you taking uconn side at all but something is telling me WV covers this! I don't think you can use much past ats with these 2 as uconn is suspect at best this year and WV has it's moments of being brain dead but they are the better team. I'm really not a big fan of either team so that might cause me to stay away from this one?
                          Comment
                          • KingKolzig
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-02-10
                            • 5550

                            #14
                            Uconns home court totally has an NBA feel to it, its not exactly cameron at Duke. UConn beat villanova but they could be in a slide. WV is the pick
                            Comment
                            • bigbank
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-19-09
                              • 464

                              #15
                              staying away from this one.
                              Comment
                              • 1UP
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-20-10
                                • 356

                                #16
                                I'm hearing the game is on a neutral court now? Can anyone confirm?
                                Comment
                                • Spaniard22
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-12-10
                                  • 868

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 1UP
                                  I'm hearing the game is on a neutral court now? Can anyone confirm?

                                  Where r you hearing that from? The Pavillion is Crazy with Huskies.
                                  Comment
                                  • BettingWizard
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-28-09
                                    • 6522

                                    #18
                                    with a +130 moneyline you gotta win 43.4% to break even. If these two played 100 times would uconn win 44 or more times?
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      i think WVU wins here but if you really like ucon the way WVU shoots free throws id take the ml as i feel if its close ucon will probably win, of coarse i think there a real good chance WVU runs there asses out of the gym....just saying if i was on ucon i wouldnt worry about the points as if its close you got the better coached and better free throw shooting team, ml just makes more sense if you like ucon that is
                                      Comment
                                      • Wilforth
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 05-10-08
                                        • 16309

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Mr. Peepers
                                        Uconn is 14-3 at home and are fresh off two huge wins. I also think they have alot more to play for being on the bubble.
                                        That's the key right there. I also thought WV should win but I now think UConn ML is the play.
                                        Comment
                                        • Kustac
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 10-15-09
                                          • 550

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 1UP
                                          I'm hearing the game is on a neutral court now? Can anyone confirm?
                                          I think its one of the 2 courts UConn splits their home games between, but I could be wrong, did it get moved?
                                          Comment
                                          • Jasonal_98
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-16-09
                                            • 1443

                                            #22
                                            The game is in Hartford according to UConn's website.
                                            Comment
                                            • gwiz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-09-10
                                              • 1790

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Wilforth
                                              That's the key right there. I also thought WV should win but I now think UConn ML is the play.

                                              there is also the chance that this could create more pressure than a shaky team can handle

                                              It actually worries me about my play on them
                                              Comment
                                              • Wilforth
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 05-10-08
                                                • 16309

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by iceminers26
                                                I just grabbed it at 3, sitting there at a couple of books, 3 definitely has value IMO.
                                                I don't see any need for points here if you like UConn. This game will be decided by at least 4 points. You either take UConn ML or WV -3. I'd lean UConn ML though.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Wilforth
                                                  I don't see any need for points here if you like UConn. This game will be decided by at least 4 points. You either take UConn ML or WV -3. I'd lean UConn ML though.

                                                  disagree with the side but totally agree that points are not a issue as i feel if its close with the way WVU shoots free throws and has been known to crumble in close ones if its close ucon will take it and ml is the best play, however im not sold it will be close and dont mind giving the 3 as like i said if its that close i dont like my chances anyway
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DIRTYDIRTY
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-12-09
                                                    • 1144

                                                    #26
                                                    I like wv uconn very shaky lately line should be -6
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Lockitup1x
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-21-09
                                                      • 1010

                                                      #27
                                                      I'm on Uconn
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BettingWizard
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-28-09
                                                        • 6522

                                                        #28
                                                        why take a chance on small moneyline? Just take the points

                                                        losing on a moneyline that would have covered on the spread is a 200 dollar swing. not worth the extra 30 bucks you would win if they win SU
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Nielsen277
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 02-14-10
                                                          • 59

                                                          #29
                                                          I got UConn +2.5... Hopefully they keep it up!

                                                          Good luck guys!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • philswin
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-18-07
                                                            • 1279

                                                            #30
                                                            Big win Uconn
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KingKolzig
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-02-10
                                                              • 5550

                                                              #31
                                                              big game for the refs, good one giving it to uconn refs
                                                              Comment
                                                              • iceminers26
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-13-08
                                                                • 15600

                                                                #32
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Spaniard22
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-12-10
                                                                  • 868

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by iceminers26

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Ace333
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-15-10
                                                                    • 439

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Congrats to everyone who too Uconn! Always nice to win!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Pensinger1
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-23-08
                                                                      • 505

                                                                      #35
                                                                      nice call.
                                                                      Comment
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