How I capped Duke/Virginia Tech

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  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #1
    How I capped Duke/Virginia Tech
    Against Wake Forest, Va Tech was a 5.5 point fave and Duke was a 16 point fave

    At NC State, Va Tech was a 1 point fave and Duke was an 11.5 point fave

    At Miami, Va Tech was a 2 point dog and Duke was a 7 point fave

    At North Carolina, Va Tech was an 8 point dog and Duke was a 5.5 point fave



    Also, Duke is better ATS than Va Tech so I would give Duke another point or so. The average of line discrepency is around 10.5. Duke is 12 points better than VA Tech on a neutral court. Add in the advantage of Cameron Indoor Stadium, which should be 4-5 points minimum and you get Duke -16 or 17.

    Duke (-12.5)
  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #2
    This may seem excessive because even Wake and FSU weren't getting this many points but they were both beaten over 14 points. Don't forget the 19+ point beatdowns of Maryland and Georgia Tech. I dont think Tech will be able to keep up with the Dukies!
    Comment
    • fsu2010
      SBR Hustler
      • 02-20-10
      • 82

      #3
      I don't think this works. I agree that Duke is a good pick, but obviously there are way too many factors/adjustments left out. I.E. the way the teams match up, free throw shooting, etc. I see what you're talking about, I just don't like this system.
      Comment
      • warriorfan707
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-29-08
        • 13698

        #4
        Duke or no play
        Comment
        • whatsgood5
          Restricted User
          • 10-13-09
          • 15359

          #5
          Good call. Love Duke at home here. They're a great fukking home team and Va Tech is a pretty poor road team, GL
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #6
            I think its a great way to compare teams because in the end, Vegas knows. Matchups can be important but I tend to think they're a little overrated. Sounds weird but good teams play good basketball.
            Comment
            • TPowell
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-21-08
              • 18842

              #7
              actually just got DUke -12 on BookiePub!
              Comment
              • khaden
                SBR MVP
                • 01-19-09
                • 1864

                #8
                i like Duke also
                Comment
                • TPowell
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-21-08
                  • 18842

                  #9
                  one game I bet Duke and the ****ers can't throw it in the ocean
                  Comment
                  • khaden
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-19-09
                    • 1864

                    #10
                    wtf--duke played like shit--they should have won this game by 20+ points. Oh well no damage I had -12 so I was lucky to get the push. But I really needed to cash this.
                    Comment
                    • warriorfan707
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-29-08
                      • 13698

                      #11
                      push
                      Comment
                      • The fiddler
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-27-10
                        • 554

                        #12
                        Kid had no business throwin up a 3 when the other team had white flagged it. Virginia plus 6.5 2H for another unbelievable bad beat.

                        Fukk Duke..the refs gave them evry fuggin call...as usual. It's a joke playing them there. no wonder they sukk so bad on the road.
                        Comment
                        • TPowell
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-21-08
                          • 18842

                          #13
                          very fortunate to have -12 but damn Duke couldnt hit shit. Scheyer sucked and they let an 11 point 1st half lead disapear
                          Comment
                          • ezmoney
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-26-09
                            • 1564

                            #14
                            had 12 and 1/2, won by the hook.

                            EZ
                            Comment
                            • hhsilver
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-07-07
                              • 7376

                              #15
                              Originally posted by TPowell
                              actually just got DUke -12 on BookiePub!
                              what is BookiePub??
                              Comment
                              • CrimsonQueen
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-12-09
                                • 1068

                                #16
                                Thankfully I sat this one out... I liked Duke, but didn't like them enough to pull the trigger
                                Comment
                                • ericthegangster
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-10-09
                                  • 1764

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ezmoney
                                  had 12 and 1/2, won by the hook.

                                  EZ
                                  Comment
                                  • Ca$hfloW
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-16-09
                                    • 1196

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ericthegangster
                                    I was right there with you
                                    Comment
                                    • aceking
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-07-05
                                      • 4782

                                      #19
                                      Va Tech covered ats +12.5
                                      Comment
                                      • KingKolzig
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-02-10
                                        • 5550

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by The fiddler
                                        Kid had no business throwin up a 3 when the other team had white flagged it. Virginia plus 6.5 2H for another unbelievable bad beat.

                                        Fukk Duke..the refs gave them evry fuggin call...as usual. It's a joke playing them there. no wonder they sukk so bad on the road.
                                        if you bet against duke at home just dont watch the games because besides the regular home court advantage the refs give duke another 6 points............if you watch it you will want to seriously hurt the refs, and maybe even more so coach k for complaining one call when 5 just went his way...........then he sits there bitterly with his tiny mouth and is pissed off cause his 20 point lead isnt 30 when it really should only be like 10
                                        Comment
                                        • Patrickk_b
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-18-09
                                          • 266

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by TPowell
                                          very fortunate to have -12 but damn Duke couldnt hit shit. Scheyer sucked and they let an 11 point 1st half lead disapear
                                          gotta be thankful you got a push. Tech was leading midway through the 2nd half and if it wasn't for the 2 junk time 3's in the final minute from Purdue, you woulda lost.

                                          11 point leads in college is nuthin
                                          Comment
                                          • TPowell
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-21-08
                                            • 18842

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by hhsilver
                                            what is BookiePub??
                                            mirror site that my local uses since he doesnt take calls anymore
                                            Comment
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