New System I've Been Tracking

Bluehorseshoe · 02-27-10, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by ackem19

and to answer your question about the money line, yea, the record doesn't necessarily mean you've won a lot, however it does mean you've won. system plays to be posted at about 2

You're not factoring in the prices on Money Lines? What's the point then?

ackem19 · 02-27-10, 01:18 PM

two things:
1) it may help people get off the opposing teams ML and
2) you can still win money picking winners (if you manage you're money right)

yesterday i hit a $5 five-team parlay and won $40. I know it isn't much but that's because i don't play much for basketball. but the point is, i picked 6 winners today without doing an ounce of capping. strictly system plays. it seems like it may be helpful.

ackem19 · 02-27-10, 02:30 PM

12PM Plays
ATS:
No Plays

ML:
Appalachian St.
Creighton

ackem19 · 02-27-10, 03:50 PM

1PM Plays
ATS:
Georgia St. +9

ML:
Hofstra
Texas Tech
VCU
New Mexico

ackem19 · 02-27-10, 04:41 PM

2PM Plays:
ATS:
NO PLAYS

ML:
UCLA

blackbeSSt · 02-27-10, 05:15 PM

keep it up home skillet

ackem19 · 02-27-10, 05:36 PM

3PM Plays:
ATS:
Mississippi St. -1
IUP-Fort Wayne +11.5

ML:
~~Kent~~ this is a 4PM play sorry.

ackem19 · 02-27-10, 06:20 PM

4PM Plays:
ATS:
UCF +12.5

ML:
Marshall
Davidson
E. Illinois
Kent St.

ackem19 · 02-27-10, 07:29 PM

5PM Plays:
ATS:
Arkansas-Little Rock -7
NC-Wilmington +4
Missouri +5.5
Jacksonville St. +4.5
SE Missouri St. +7
N. Dakota St. -7
S. Dakota St. +2.5

ML:
W. Kentucky
New Orleans
St. Louis
Louisiana Tech
Austin Peay
IUPUI

ackem19 · 02-27-10, 08:12 PM

Plays for the rest of the night (i have to go to a party so I figured I'd just post now):
ATS:
E. Washington -4.5

ML:
New Mexico St.
Fresno
UC-Santa Barbara
Pacific
Idaho St.

ackem19 · 02-28-10, 12:30 AM

results:
Ats: 7-9-1
ml: 22-9

Hoopman · 02-28-10, 12:57 AM

Keep doing your thing Ackem and thanks for sharing! One suggestion that may help you and all who choose to follow: As you post the games that fit the system under the ML, perhaps you could put the current price next to it. Similar to what you're already doing with the ATS games. Just put Pacific -300 or NMSU -180 (those aren't actually the lines of course).

This way, when you do the record, you or whoever will always be able to go back and calculate whether it's profitable playing them SU or not.

G/L bro!

ackem19 · 02-28-10, 01:00 AM

You got it. Probably should have been doing that from the start. Thanks for the support.

G's pks · 02-28-10, 04:24 AM

you have to show units wagered to see if this system is profitable.

mdemps9190 · 02-28-10, 10:45 AM

yeah you really gotta see how much you're giving because if a -800 ML loses, you've got a lot of ground to cover to make up that loss, so you could be 7-1 and have lost money still.

ackem19 · 02-28-10, 10:47 AM

i'll be honest with you i have a small bank roll. i hit a $10.91 6 teamer for $446 just after the nba all star break and and since then i just wanted to make sure i didn't dip below $300 until NCAAF season. I've been putting $5 on each game. From now on, i will show "$5 to win __" so that you can track everything as well.

ackem19 · 02-28-10, 10:58 AM

2/28 9AM Plays:
ATS:
NO PLAYS

ML:
Fairfield -200 (1 unit to win .5)

blackbeSSt · 02-28-10, 11:47 AM

lets get it ackem!

soxwin · 02-28-10, 11:55 AM

I love it when people track a system. Keep up the good work.

ackem19 · 02-28-10, 12:40 PM

10AM Plays
ATS:
NO PLAYS

ML:
Loyola (MD) -175 (1 unit to win .57)

ackem19 · 02-28-10, 01:01 PM

11AM Plays:
ML:
Temple -330 (1 unit to win .3)
Rider -175 (1 unit to win .57

ackem19 · 02-28-10, 03:01 PM

1PM Plays:
ML:
UC Davis -140 (1 unit to win .71)

ackem19 · 02-28-10, 05:52 PM

there you have it folks a 5-0 day. i risked 5 units and won 2.65. +2.65 units.

ackem19 · 03-01-10, 02:02 AM

YTD ATS: 26-22 (i think i'm just going to abandon this one)
YTD ML: 71-34

blackbeSSt · 03-01-10, 08:02 AM

does said system work with nba and mlb?

floridagolfer · 03-01-10, 08:12 AM

I don't think it has a prayer of working in MLB. I don't know what the exact numbers are for recent seasons, but baseball underdogs win 40-45 percent of all games, don't they? I can't believe you'd find 90% of money on a ML side unless the Nationals are facing Sabathia at Yankee Stadium.

ackem19 · 03-01-10, 01:28 PM

blackbeSSt,
I know know if it works elsewhere. i really only started tracking he system on the 18th. there is a good chance this system has just been getting lucky and maybe it will crash and burn. it's still a very young system. my only advice to you would be to try tracking it once bases start and see how it does. if it does well, then you may as well start playing it. but you know want to put money on any system that doesn't have some sort of foundation yet.

dvdcoll · 03-01-10, 01:53 PM

any plays for today?

ackem19 · 03-01-10, 02:41 PM

not as of right now, but i'll know for sure around 2PM. that's usually the time i get a good read on the public's money.

bluefish · 03-01-10, 02:43 PM

good luck

ackem19 · 03-01-10, 02:59 PM

thanks man. actually right now it's looking like Georgia Southern. But as i mention before, no plays before 2PM.

ackem19 · 03-01-10, 05:05 PM

3/1 Plays:
ML:
Georgia Southern ML +180 (1 unit to win 1.8)
Jackson St. -130 (1 unit to win .76)

ackem19 · 03-01-10, 10:03 PM

1-1 today. -.24 units on the day. +2.41u ytd.

hhsilver · 03-02-10, 07:13 AM

thanks for posting this - interesting - good luck

ackem19 · 03-02-10, 05:19 PM

3/2 Plays:
Villanova -165 (1 to win .6)
S. Miss -650 (1 to win .15)
Missouri -220 (1 to win .45)
Air Force +190 (1 to win 1.9)
WiscGB -450 (1 to win .22)
Ohio St. -600 (1 to win .16)
Baylor -180 (1 to win .55)

GET$