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  • MR PROFIT
    Restricted User
    • 01-16-10
    • 1514

    #1
    SBR Sportsbook Play
    U Conn @ Villanova

    Villanova is alone in first place in the Big East with an 11-1 conference record. The Wildcats' only loss came at Georgetown. But since then, they've bounced back with wins at West Virginia and at home over Providence. The 'Cats are 11-0 at home this season, either at the Pavilion or the Wachovia Center. For the season, they are 10-4 ATS at home and 13-6 ATS as a favorite.

    U Conn have lost eight of their last 11, have a 4-8 conference record, and are currently looking like an NIT team. They haven't won a single road game all season long, holding an 0-6 record. They've lost five of their last six games after a huge win over Texas with their only win in that span coming at home over lowly DePaul.Two of the most important statistics in basketball are turnover and rebounding margins. In conference play, the Huskies have a -1.2 rebounding margin and a -3.2 turnover margin. Their defense hasn't been bad at all but they are also shooting just 28.5 percent from 3-point range in conference play and have only made about three 3-pointers per game. Villanova, meanwhile, has an even turnover margin in conference play and a +5.7 rebounding margin. The 'Cats are shooting 49 percent from the field in Big East play and 38.6 percent from 3-point range.
    In tonight’s matchup, it doesn’t look good for UCONN; they have lost five of six and eight of the past eleven.The Huskies are 1-5 against ranked teams and they haven’t beaten the Wildcats in Philly since 04.
    Villanova is 6-0 ATS in its last six Monday games. The 'Cats are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite, 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Big East games, and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between these teams and the favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in its last five games against Villanova and 0-4 ATS in their last four games at Villanova.


    All signs point to a huge Villanova victory,this game will be out of reach in the third quarter.

    Kansas @ Texas A/M

    Kansas holds a three-game lead over the Aggies and Kansas State with just six games remaining in the schedule before March Madness.
    Texas A&M (18-6 SU, 12-8 ATS) is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four games. Those were Missouri and Texas Tech on the road, and Baylor and Texas Tech (again) at home.
    This is a scrappy team with good guard play. Donald Sloan is one of the most underrated players in the country at 18.3 PPG.
    Kansas will likely get tripped up again this season. They’re not playing great right now and are certainly beatable. I like Kansas’ ability to dominate down low and eventually win this game, but it should be real close.

    Expect Texas A&M to try to work the perimeter with the guards D Sloan(18.3 PPG) and Derrick Roland (10.5 PPG) but you have to realize too, that Kansas is giving an extra effort on defense, so don’t expect them to have a huge night.
    Kansas will probably lean on Sherron Collins who is averaging 15.4 points per game and Xavier Henry who averages 13.2 points per game.
    Remember, whoever defends the perimeter better is going to win this game. The Aggies are 3-4 this season against Top 25 teams, and are 0-4 all-time versus No. 1 teams.

    Kansas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Kansas is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

    My Play: Villanova-5.5/Texas A/M+11 (tease) SBR Sportsbook
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