Be careful with St. Peters (-4) Monday

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Be careful with St. Peters (-4) Monday
    Numbers don't add up. They won by DD at Rider earlier in the season, yet they're only favored by 4 at home?



    Public's all over St. Peter's so far. It may work out, but I'd be leery.
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    at 1st glance i liked rider...havnt did any work yet to see if they make the cut but they certainly a early lean
    Comment
    • Wilforth
      Restricted User
      • 05-10-08
      • 16309

      #3
      Originally posted by No coincidences
      Numbers don't add up. They won by DD at Rider earlier in the season, yet they're only favored by 4 at home?



      Public's all over St. Peter's so far. It may work out, but I'd be leery.
      It won't work out. Rider + 4 falls into a 90% system play! Even in the NBA, that system works about 90% of the time. A team that's blownout on its home court gets the cover when they visit the team that blew them up. Take that to the bank.
      Comment
      • Power Play
        SBR MVP
        • 02-01-10
        • 1224

        #4
        thanks wilforth
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          Originally posted by Wilforth
          It won't work out. Rider + 4 falls into a 90% system play! Even in the NBA, that system works about 90% of the time. A team that's blownout on its home court gets the cover when they visit the team that blew them up. Take that to the bank.

          damn i had no idea it was that high or it was really even a system...i tend to play a lot of these games but never really classified it and tracked it....it always just "a good spot" to me...god im retarded
          Comment
          • suckerforparlays
            Restricted User
            • 02-15-10
            • 4536

            #6
            I havnt researched the game or anything yet but i remeber St. Peters lost to seton hall by 1 point on a buzzer shot early this season
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              Originally posted by suckerforparlays
              I havnt researched the game or anything yet but i remeber St. Peters lost to seton hall by 1 point on a buzzer shot early this season

              which means little to nothing in this conf game
              Comment
              • suckerforparlays
                Restricted User
                • 02-15-10
                • 4536

                #8
                who are you going to take bank?
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  as it said in my 1st post on this page i lean rider but havnt really finished yet....i did see greek is down to 3.5 and those fukkers are sharp...i mean did you read wilforths post? how the fuk you ride against that shit?
                  Comment
                  • Wilforth
                    Restricted User
                    • 05-10-08
                    • 16309

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Power Play
                    thanks wilforth
                    Let me cite just one example in the NBA. The Celtics as a 8-point road favorite at the Nets, won by 24 points. In the reverse fixture, the Celtics were a 12.5 point home favorite. You'd think if they could beat the Nets on the road by 24 points, then a 12.5-point spread is nothing. But at home, the Celtics beat the Nets by only 10 points and failed to cover the spread. Such shit happens at about a 90% clip.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #11
                      i had nets....but once again i know not what i do....just because it felt right to me
                      Comment
                      • Wilforth
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-10-08
                        • 16309

                        #12
                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                        i had nets....but once again i know not what i do....just because it felt right to me
                        I'm glad you had the Nets then. One rule in gambling is that there's no free money. I always take that to heart when capping a game. Take the Rider game, for instance. St. Peter beat Rider on the road by 11 points. Then you'd think they should easily cover a 4-point spread at home against Rider. Folks are likely to pound St. Peter all day and the line won't move or may move from 4 to 3.5.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Wilforth
                          I'm glad you had the Nets then. One rule in gambling is that there's no free money. I always take that to heart when capping a game. Take the Rider game, for instance. St. Peter beat Rider on the road by 11 points. Then you'd think they should easily cover a 4-point spread at home against Rider. Folks are likely to pound St. Peter all day and the line won't move or may move from 4 to 3.5.
                          yea greeks sharp asses are already down to 3.5....like i said ive always liked spots like this just never realized the actual situation or that is was something worth tracking...should help me catch the ones im sure my ignorance was causing me to miss...good stuff as always my friend
                          Comment
                          • JumpoffJoeBeezy
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-17-08
                            • 928

                            #14
                            Does Rider win SU?
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #15
                              Originally posted by JumpoffJoeBeezy
                              Does Rider win SU?

                              i wouldnt take a dog catching less than 6-7 points if i didnt feel they had a very good chance of winning
                              Comment
                              • TPowell
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-21-08
                                • 18842

                                #16
                                am on St Peters. Game isnt that big of a trap IMO
                                Comment
                                • TPowell
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-21-08
                                  • 18842

                                  #17
                                  At sbrlines I see 58% on Rider
                                  Comment
                                  • Wilforth
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-10-08
                                    • 16309

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by JumpoffJoeBeezy
                                    Does Rider win SU?
                                    They may win SU or lose by no more than 3 points. It's essentially a last possession game. If playing Rider at 3.5 points, don't bother buying points!
                                    Comment
                                    • MStein12
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 01-15-10
                                      • 80

                                      #19
                                      who cares about this game? honestly
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by MStein12
                                        who cares about this game? honestly

                                        wow i can tell your sharp....
                                        Comment
                                        • egzacto
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-02-10
                                          • 502

                                          #21
                                          The Kent State Buffalo game this past weekend was a good example of that system
                                          Comment
                                          • TheCommish
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-23-09
                                            • 1013

                                            #22
                                            Looks funny, but still think St Peters comeout on top easy.
                                            Comment
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