Indiana St is -2 at home against Drake. Indiana St is without their top 2 scorers that account for 25 of their 66 pts on avg. Drake is 12-3 ATS when the total is 130-139. 7-2 ATS in road games. 6-0 ATS in Saturday games. 5-1 ATS when revenging a home loss. So what the hell is up with this line?
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interesting.
as a sidenote- sometimes flourishing against the spread is because of the spread being too big.
i didnt know that about their 2 best players.
goodluckComment -
You should be careful here, drake is 9-2 their last 11 ATS. That means you are surely not getting them at a discount in my opinion.Comment -
Indiana 8-3 at home drake 3-6 away and essentially a pk line.Comment -
here's what I got,
drake has a 71,5 power rating compared to Indiana St 78.5
a true line would be -7 so it appears the adjustment has been made
drake is the youngest team in the mvc and have had trouble on the road
Indiana state can't shoot the ball but neither can drake,
drake shoots a lot of 3's and lately they haven't been falling, if they can knock down some shots they have a chance
really I see one way to play this game and that is under
as much as I hate totals that is the direction the information points so I have to follow
the marketmaker at Matchbook favors the over 132.5 with -129 juice to -100 for the under so that might be a sign that I am missing something
also the profit says this total is a close call so I will just pass on that
http://www.gosycamores.com/ViewArtic...CLID=204886112
Best Defensive Performance In A Year At Drake:
The Indiana State defense clamped down in the final 10 minutes at Drake and held the Bulldogs to just 46 points, which is Drake's lowest offensive production at home this season. The 46-point defensive gym turned in by the Sycamores marks the first time that the Sycamores have held an opponent to less than 50 points since Jan. 23, 2008 when ISU held Evansville to just 42 pointsComment -
Great points gwiz, regardless of all other numbers I just think missing over 30% of your scoring should be tough to cover even a line of
-3, but this line is probably this way for a reason.Comment -
I thought this line seemed a bit fishy, so I left it alone.Comment -
I did end up with a small play on the under thoughComment