Saturday leans looking for feedback

dknight734 · 02-13-10, 01:18 AM

anyone like hof?

SOUP · 02-13-10, 01:20 AM

Rhode Island is +4.5

Wolf40 · 02-13-10, 01:25 AM

Originally posted by dknight734

anyone like hof?

Iceminer posted some good info on Hof.. here it is:
"For the Hofstra/NC Wilmington game, I would usually play NC-Wilmington in this spot strictly on the fact they were blown out in the last H2H which took place just 2 weeks or so back by 39 points and now open up as only a 1 point dog. It does not make much since but I have noticed over the years that these spots are fairly successful ATS wise. I actually played one of these exact same spot plays in this conference earlier this year on GST +2.5 where Citadel pumped GST early in the season and then GST was a small home dog at home, covered and even won the game outright. IMO as tough as it sounds, its either NC Wilmington or nothing in this game. However as I mentioned, not playing either of the games you asked me to look into."

Wolf40 · 02-13-10, 01:25 AM

Originally posted by SOUP

Rhode Island is +4.5

sorry getting tired

thats what I meant

dknight734 · 02-13-10, 01:27 AM

yeah i read the post he was talking to me. thanks though. by the way what do u think of hof? tomkp is listed as prob for the game, but hof isn't exactly twnsn, if u know what i mean.

Wolf40 · 02-13-10, 01:35 AM

yeah... the line jumped out at me early but then when i looked at it more i couldn't figure out why it wasnt higher. so i am skeptical. On a Sat i usually stay away from the skeptical lines becasue so many games. I most likely won't play but if I did I would lean on Hof and my original thought.

example was Montana tonight, I loved the line but got skeptical on why its wasnt at like 5. I stayed away then last minute said F it and went in on Montana. I obvioulsy over thought it but it ended up coming in at 5. So i was laughing to myself cause my original cap was on.

eviltsi · 02-13-10, 01:38 AM

looking good..i'll prpbably parlay msu and st marys.
gl

dknight734 · 02-13-10, 01:52 AM

what about nm at ut, and woff at sam?

Wolf40 · 02-13-10, 02:10 AM

I didn't look too hard at the Soco yet but intially I like Wofford might actually go with ypu on that. THey are in a good spot with Coc loss the other night and will be motivated to take the south division from them. Plus they have been beating everybody by DD the last 5 and the furman win on the road is a good telltale for this one. they have some big games coming up so i hope they don't look past but I think the Coc loss to Cit should open their eyes to focus down on this one. Samford is coming off a nice win at Chatt and I don't expect them to play that well b2b. Samford does play people tight but i think wofford is 5 pts better without a doubt

I don't have a good feel on NM yet gonna look at it tomorrow but i know they are coming off a huge win over UNlV ( i took unlv 1h and got smoked) so this could be a letdown. Didnt NM smoke Utah already in NM? will let you know my thoughts when i look more into it.

what are your top plays?

dknight734 · 02-13-10, 02:36 AM

yeah nm destroyed utah at home. right now they are on a serious win streak. don't really have any top plays, just leans right now. i posted the entire card, then narrowed it down to like 20, and out of that got 11. if i had to choose 3 i would take tx tech got them at -2, n tx got them at -5.5 but because of the way denver plays i think the have a really good chance to cover. and for a thrid i would have to say nm. got them in at -4. they cost me a while back on -7 spread that went to ot and they only won by 2, but the way they put up points and based on the teams they beat, i think they are a solid play. it seems that people on here don't like hof and woff out of my plays, but hof and woff seem like pretty solid teams playing against 2 weak teams in samford and nc wil. i know nc wil won their last game but hof isn't townson. and samford got a strong win against citadel but citadel is so inconsistent and i don't think they are that great of a team to begin with.

n tx
gb
val
tx tech
st.m
fres
hof
woff
nm
tulsa
rich

DennisT · 02-13-10, 10:45 AM

With you on two'

Going to parlay Mich. St. -6 and Richmond -2.