And the paps road dog is...

[PAPSMEAR]

1-2 yesterday. Ball St got hammered, then the hens somehow lost the unloseable cover getting backdoored and going down by 1. The only upside was USM holding on to cover despite trying real hard to fuk it up.

The road dog is not quite double digits but +8 is a healthy number for Valpro to cover against Cleveland St. Valpro very rarely get blown out which is why they are ATS cash cows particularly when playing in the conference. Valpro won comfortably when playing Cleve St last month at home. Valpro hold their own on the road. The teams are evenly matched and play a similar type game. Gotta take the points here with Valpro for 8 units. Confidence level - high.

GL with your plays tomorrow gents.

[PAPSMEAR]

yet another reason to love this play is 75% of the public are on Cle St. gotta love that

[PAPSMEAR]

need a little bit of chat on this game. tell me why I'm goin to get a beat down or why I cash. I suggest one thing though if you're going to play Val get in now before the line heads south. Already back into +7.5 with most books. I see this line trimming up before game time.

[Regul8er]

IF I tell you Im on Cleveland St, then your bound to win. I didn't cuz Im broke, but lets say I did, haha!

[PAPSMEAR]

Thanks for putting the mozz on Cle St Reg, that should do the trick.

[gonnakillit]

yet another reason to love this play is 75% of the public are on Cle St. gotta love that

I'm on Cleveland St. not sure where you see 75% on Cleveland St. but ur way off. I see 61% on Valpo

[PAPSMEAR]

I'm on Cleveland St. not sure where you see 75% on Cleveland St. but ur way off. I see 61% on Valpo

check the time of the post. it was correct at that time but since then the public has plopped on Valpro

[gonnakillit]

haha oh 4:17 am......that makes sense

I have no basis for this but just an opinion. I'd think that looking at %'s that early is useless. Most of the public doesnt get their bets in until closer to gametime. If anything that high percentage shows that many serious bettors that like to slam opening lines were on Cleveland St.

[PAPSMEAR]

whether it be 2minutes after lines open or 2 minutes before game time i prefer to be on the other side of the public if possible

[gonnakillit]

whether it be 2minutes after lines open or 2 minutes before game time i prefer to be on the other side of the public if possible

.....Exactly my point dude. 2 minutes after the line opens doesnt give you an idea of who the public is betting.

The percentages that early only show you how many of the early (some would say sharp) bettors are on a certain side.

Closer to gametime you'll see where the "public" is, as the percentages at that point have a much larger pool of bettors.

Which is why at 4:30 am you see 71% or whatever on Cleveland st. and now a much higher % on Valpo

[PAPSMEAR]

honestly place very little weight on the whole public money thing...just an added bonus if they are on the opposing side

[PAPSMEAR]

wow. another day another 1 point loss. gotta love the 1 pointers. that's 2 in 2 days. it's what i live for. in all honesty it's demoralising not to mention it fuks your bank roll. i don't mind getting blown out but these 1 point losses are hard to take. got a little bit back by tailing ice with his appalachian pick but still lost 5 units on the day for the second day running. need to take stock. just an ounce of luck wouldn't go astray either

[2daBank]

that really sucked paps i was on them also....they had to keep fouling cle st and cle st was shooting 92% from the line while valpo missed so many free throws it wasnt even funny

[PAPSMEAR]

that really sucked paps i was on them also....they had to keep fouling cle st and cle st was shooting 92% from the line while valpo missed so many free throws it wasnt even funny

it is for this precise reason that i like playing the double digit dogs where possible

feel for us both bro