A roadtrip with double digit dogs and paps

[PAPSMEAR]

Another huge cover yesterday with Colorado State.

My early double digit road dog leans for 10 Feb are:

Southern Miss +10
Delaware +12

Also looking hard and long at James Madison at home at +10

These are leans not plays.

I'll lock in actual plays with an explanation as to why later

[iceminers26]

Good luck Paps and again congrats on the Rams win, I had that one wrong.

[Shortstop]

The Rams finally woke up in the 2nd Half

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

Hey Paps I'm down a shitload as a result of being deeply fukked over by West Virginia and Charleston on Sunday. Seems everytime I make a large play I get fukked and the mediocre plays I bet on that I don't feel so confident in, I end up winning. I place my trust in you buddy, give me one play and I'm betting the house down, I don't even give a shit anymore. It's gonna be an all or nothing

[warriorfan707]

I must be getting tired... the first thing that popped into my mind was a cross country trip with a dozen canines riding in the back of a truck

[iceminers26]

I must be getting tired... the first thing that popped into my mind was a cross country trip with a dozen canines riding in the back of a truck

[iceminers26]

Hey Paps I'm down a shitload as a result of being deeply fukked over by West Virginia and Charleston on Sunday. Seems everytime I make a large play I get fukked and the mediocre plays I bet on that I don't feel so confident in, I end up winning. I place my trust in you buddy, give me one play and I'm betting the house down, I don't even give a shit anymore. It's gonna be an all or nothing

No need to force bud, still a lot of games left this week and if you are set on firing away, wait until the right spot to do so. Good luck in whatever you decide to play.

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

No need to force bud, still a lot of games left this week and if you are set on firing away, wait until the right spot to do so. Good luck in whatever you decide to play.

Thanks man. What you said makes alot of sense though, if i'm going to unload all out on 1 play, it's probably best to do so when the right game comes along and not force one with that 50/50 chance it will hit. I just absolutely hate being down at the end of the week. I don't mind having losing days, but losing weeks kills me

[2daBank]

paps, keeping with your double digit dog theme i think Ball st +14 @ Kent st is certainly worth a look....Yes Kent is clearly the class of the mac but Ball st been playing very good ball and with the way they play defense id say 14 is gonna be a tough cover....gl with your card

[iceminers26]

Thanks man. What you said makes alot of sense though, if i'm going to unload all out on 1 play, it's probably best to do so when the right game comes along and not force one with that 50/50 chance it will hit. I just absolutely hate being down at the end of the week. I don't mind having losing days, but losing weeks kills me

We all have been there in the past and trust me, it is better to wait for the right play if you are set on unloading on 1, than to just force a play because you are down and want to get it back quickly. The pain of waiting as you are down for the week for the right play is far less the pain will be if you force a play just to quickly get out of debt and it losses, will be thinking about it for weeks and ? yourself.

[iceminers26]

paps, keeping with your double digit dog theme i think Ball st +14 @ Kent st is certainly worth a look....Yes Kent is clearly the class of the mac but Ball st been playing very good ball and with the way they play defense id say 14 is gonna be a tough cover....gl with your card

Ball has been playing better of late, going to look into this one Bank

[PAPSMEAR]

paps, keeping with your double digit dog theme i think Ball st +14 @ Kent st is certainly worth a look....Yes Kent is clearly the class of the mac but Ball st been playing very good ball and with the way they play defense id say 14 is gonna be a tough cover....gl with your card

will take another look. there was something about them that made me pass. can't remember what it was off hand

[PAPSMEAR]

I must be getting tired... the first thing that popped into my mind was a cross country trip with a dozen canines riding in the back of a truck

that's a ride i think i'll pass on

[PAPSMEAR]

Hey Paps I'm down a shitload as a result of being deeply fukked over by West Virginia and Charleston on Sunday. Seems everytime I make a large play I get fukked and the mediocre plays I bet on that I don't feel so confident in, I end up winning. I place my trust in you buddy, give me one play and I'm betting the house down, I don't even give a shit anymore. It's gonna be an all or nothing

not good to hear that you've hit a rough patch boss. we all go through them. a couple of weeks back i was on the brink and was continuously getting fuked over by backdoor covers but of late things have been going pretty well. not sure going all in is the way to go. perhaps take a break. recharge the batteries. maybe tail a few cappers who have been kicking a few goals. better to keep chipping away than doing anything you might regret because at the end of the day there are no guarantees or certainties in the World of sports betting. that said, I'll do my best to give you a winner. GL with however you play things

[warriorfan707]

that's a ride i think i'll pass on

hahah yea for real

[PAPSMEAR]

Good luck Paps and again congrats on the Rams win, I had that one wrong.

thanks ice. you got close but no cigar. i honestly thought col St would blow AF apart so to have to sweat it out and get a late cover was more than I bargained for. That said, I was always reasonably confident that CSt would come over the top of them. There are certain teams that I can't be a part of - Air Force is one of them, Marist is another. The way I see it is if you steer clear of bad teams you'll finish on the right side of the ledger by season end. GL today Ice with whatever you decide to play

[2daBank]

Hey Paps I'm down a shitload as a result of being deeply fukked over by West Virginia and Charleston on Sunday. Seems everytime I make a large play I get fukked and the mediocre plays I bet on that I don't feel so confident in, I end up winning. I place my trust in you buddy, give me one play and I'm betting the house down, I don't even give a shit anymore. It's gonna be an all or nothing

keep your head up boss...i had a rough few days sunday and monday myself it happens to the best of us, like ice said no reason to go crazy it could just make things worse....if ive learned anything over the years its much better to go big when your winning not in a down patch....gl whatever you decide

[PAPSMEAR]

Decided to stick to the dd road dogs. Putting the pen through James Madison. Adding Ball State as a lean after further review on suggestion from 2dabank.

[PAPSMEAR]

Locked in. Playing all 3 dd road dogs for 5 units each:

Southern Miss +10...running hot. won 4 in a row since a 1 point road loss to a good UAB outfit.
Delaware +12...own W&M. W&M's bogey side for sure.
Ball State +14...defensive outfit that will keep it within the spread. ATS specialists.

GL Gents

[Kirchner]

memphis covers wins by 20.. i want to save you money

[southpaw74]

memphis covers wins by 20.. i want to save you money

Yeah memphis has covered a solid 5 of their last 16 as a favoritethey might come in but it's not a good play. Now Ball State is 6-0 against winning teams and they are up to +15! that should be a good play

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

keep your head up boss...i had a rough few days sunday and monday myself it happens to the best of us, like ice said no reason to go crazy it could just make things worse....if ive learned anything over the years its much better to go big when your winning not in a down patch....gl whatever you decide

Thanks brother and yeah that is true. On Saturday alone I went 11-2 in my bets and the Sunday following I went 4-0. Seems like the weekends are always the best time to handicap games. Monday I got burned bad on those two plays I previously mentioned, got some of it back though yesterday with a win by Vandy!

[iMxth3xbossx5000]

We all have been there in the past and trust me, it is better to wait for the right play if you are set on unloading on 1, than to just force a play because you are down and want to get it back quickly. The pain of waiting as you are down for the week for the right play is far less the pain will be if you force a play just to quickly get out of debt and it losses, will be thinking about it for weeks and ? yourself.

I agree with you there, your logic makes perfect sense. Sometimes I need to keep reminding myself of that lol, to force a huge play and have it not hit would be a major blow. I'm just gonna wait for the right one to come along. I did go medium to big on the Toledo Under. Rochester got is as a big play tonight but 115 is still a small number with the total so I didn't go all out, but did put up a nice decent amount on the game

[PAPSMEAR]

SM has firmed into +9 and Delaware into +11.5...to be expected.

what I can't understand is Ball St easing out an extra point before coming back into +14.5...and here I was thinking 14 was a soft line.

[Wilforth]

Add Central Florida +8.5 (1H)

[PAPSMEAR]

Thanks brother and yeah that is true. On Saturday alone I went 11-2 in my bets and the Sunday following I went 4-0. Seems like the weekends are always the best time to handicap games. Monday I got burned bad on those two plays I previously mentioned, got some of it back though yesterday with a win by Vandy!

hate to say these two words but it sounds like a "money management" issue more than your ability to cap successfully Boss. With those numbers you should be making money. A wise old man once told me "chip up and perish". It is so true. More often than not when I ignore this rule I get a good 'ole fashioned ass pummeling which can then send you into freefall. Cap the conferences you know best. Tail a capper or two on a hot steak. Take a bit of time out if you need it. All in is a cut throat business. Better to just chip away and recoup your losses over time. GL today Boss.

[PAPSMEAR]

Add Central Florida +8.5 (1H)

Sell it to me Wil

[NEOHsports4life]

I'm On BALL ST., leaning towards So. Miss +10, do you like under in Ohio St. / Indiana game? 138.5?

[PAPSMEAR]

I'm On BALL ST., leaning towards So. Miss +10, do you like under in Ohio St. / Indiana game? 138.5?

don't really play totals NEO as I find them too unpredictable so I don't really have an opinion

[2daBank]

the Ball st line going up is a little confusing to me as well but i have noticed 1 thing about line movements with high spread games lately they seem to rise with the majority on the dog.....i think the Butler line rose the other day and there are several other examples that i cant really think of at the moment....if it burns me screw it i think they are the right play....gl tonight

[PAPSMEAR]

At the half:

Wow delaware finally goth their shit together at the end of the first half coming back from 16 down to reel W&M back to 3.

Wheeras, Ball State hung tough with Kent State all half only to get blown out late to make it a 10 point ball game.

Still confident of cashing both these plays.

Southern Miss are about to start. Their line just keeps firming. Not sure if that is a good or bad thing.

[PAPSMEAR]

Ball State getting beaten to a pulp. 31 points down. Scored 11 points in the second half in 13 mins getting outscored by 21 points. mark that game down as a loss.

[Regul8er]

10-0 run for W&M in the lst 3 mins........W&M 65-52 with 3 to go. I'm with ya on Delaware, I need this one really bad.

[PAPSMEAR]

delaware have had 25 more scoring shots than w&M but are still losing. can't fukin buy a basket.

[Regul8er]

25 more scoring shots??? What you mean brother?