The system to end all systems... ROUND TWO

[warriorfan707]

The site crashed and the other thread was getting very long, so I'm gonna start a new one and post all College System plays here. The round 1 record ended at 93-67...

FYI It went 10-7-2 today but I was unable to post them since the site crashed so I can't use them towards the record.

Get ready to bust out your whoopin stick, this thing has pumped out 60% winners and I think 8/9 days since I modified it were winning days... lets keep it up.

[bodio]

Can this thing isolate it to top 2/3 plays max?

[DuncHen22]

I'm sorry, but I don't think you can call a system that has been "pumping out 60%" for only 8/9 days, a "system to end all systems."

And I only say this because I've been there. Don't get too caught up in the hype of a new system. I've done the same thing as you where I thought I had a 75% system and posted about it, only to watch it fail miserably.

I currently have an NCAAB system that's 68% (84-40) after 3 weeks. I'm still keeping it to myself though because I know 3 weeks is not a big enough sample size. I may not even share it the rest of the year but wait until next season. I put out a few picks on Twitter and my blog every now and then, but other than that I'm keeping quite until the results can speak for themselves.

Again, I'm not trying to be too critical of you and I honestly hope your system works great. All I'm saying is be careful with the hype if you want to keep a good image around here.

Best of Luck!

[warriorfan707]

2/5/2010 NCAAB System Plays

Princeton under 120.5
Cornell -21
Fairfield under 126
Sacramento State over 149

[THE PROFIT]

Good luck! You know I'm rooting for this system to prove itself! I haven't checked last couple days, how's it doing in NBA?

[Golfstud]

Sacramento State

Did you accidentally hit the "0" button instead of a 9 on the over of Sacramento State tonight because no line was ever 140 but either 148 or 149.

[drewdown88]

Hey warrior fan, I say if you're happy with the system and it seems to be doing a good job, then don't change a thing. Lookin forward to future picks

[warriorfan707]

Yep sorry about the typo everyone Sac State total is 149, not 140

[warriorfan707]

Good luck! You know I'm rooting for this system to prove itself! I haven't checked last couple days, how's it doing in NBA?

NBA its been floating around .500 but it doesn't spit out nearly as many games as it does on college

[warriorfan707]

2/5/2010 NCAAB System Plays

Princeton under 120.5
Cornell -21
Fairfield under 126
Sacramento State over 149

2-2

Cornell only won by 19 as some chode made a layup with 10 seconds to go..

They were up 25 with 3 minutes left... tough one

Get em tomorrow

[DuncHen22]

I never play spreads greater than -14... even if the system is strong with it. For that reason exactly. Once a team gets up high enough they look to maintain and don't care if they give up a few points, they don't care about the spread. I've found teams like to stay up 12-15 if they're good enough because then they can rest easy. Once the score gets to within 10-12 they tighten up. Just something I've noticed something to consider.

Other than that, keep up the good work!

[drewdown88]

so you lose a little juice, looking forward to the card tomorrow

[warriorfan707]

Marquette over 158
West Virginia under 129.5
Virginia -3
Virginia under 134
Ball St under 120
Florida under 135
Texas Tech over 150
Auburn over 152.5
Richmond -1
Richmond under 113.5
North Texas over 150.5
Bowling Green under 126.5
Rhode Island over 151
Penn St under 133
Kansas St over 148
Duke under 141.5
Valparaiso -2
Middle Tennessee St -1
South Alabam under 126.5
Tulane pk
Tulane under 125.5
Rice under 126
Western Carolina over 149.5
Drexel -6
Drexel under 124
Hofstra under 127.5
La Salle -4
La Salle under 126
Memphis -4.5
UNLV -1.5
Virginia Tech -1.5
Virginia Tech under 132.5
Samford under 130
Louisville -19
Michigan +1
Michigan under 116.5
Air Force pk
Air Force under 118.5
Kentucky under 134
VCU -3
VCU under 132.5
Eastern Michigan -1.5
Georgia St under 121.5
Houston -8
Oregon St -1.5
Oregon St under 127
Northern Iowa under 120
SD State under 136.5
Kansas under 132
Davidson -14.5
Davidson over 148.5
Toledo under 133.5
Wofford under 130.5
Kent St under 129
Tenn-Martin pk
Chatanooga under 125
USC under 125
UCONN -16
UCONN under 126
Florida St -7.5
Florida St under 133.5
New Orleans under 123
Long Beach St over 149.5
Wichita St under 127.5
San Diego under 123
Arizona over 149.5
Eastern Illinois under 130
San Jose St under 157.5
Pacific under 129.5
UC Davis pk
Texas El Paso -5.5
Texas El Paso under 133.5

[warriorfan707]

Thats right folks, these are all the plays that the system likes for tomorrow.

[southpaw74]

No fukkin way! That's crazy warrior!! You need some sort of rating system otherwise you can't know what to play?? Unless you have $100,000 to play with tomorrow

[THE PROFIT]

This has just gotten obserd. I didn't count but that has to be 30 plays

[warriorfan707]

For those of you that don't seem to understand... what I am doing is posting ALL PLAYS THAT FALL WITHIN THE GUIDELINES OF THIS SYSTEM FOR THE TENTH TIME

Once we have determined that the system works beyond a shadow of a doubt, we can proceed in somehow prioritizing plays or doing something to narrow them down or whatever so that everyone can hop on board. Im not gonna leave any off of the board and then claim that I went 45-17, and then some chump comes out of the bushes and calls me a liar or whatever.

Noone said anyone to had to play all this. This is a test.

[southpaw74]

I understand warrior! It's just really funny to see all those plays you have to admit that...just keep doing your thing brotha

[warriorfan707]

Im honestly not trying to be a dick and I know you guys are cool and supportive... to be totally honest this shit is kinda stressing me out, I didn't like that bad beat today and the results have not been what I expected really.

February hasn't been too good... Its been floating barely over .500.... and that is clearly unacceptable to me.

Listen all I want is for all of us to make money, and Im a man of my word. Like I said I will not fully rest until this thing has been perfected and we are all balling. Im a man on a mission

[baazigar]

get em tiger

[frank21]

[southpaw74]

I hope it works out! Sometimes just capping a game works better that a "system" though?

[southpaw74]

Frank...you got a solid 35 team parlay for us tomorrow

just giving you crap bro. GL

[DuncHen22]

This has just gotten obserd. I didn't count but that has to be 30 plays

If by 30 you mean 72, then yes.

I'm sorry, man, but this is just not feasible for a system. I would be completely surprised if this did better than 55% tomorrow. At best (it's much more likely to be under 50%). And that is just too much money to risk for such a relatively small gain.

There just has to be more qualifications you can enter into your system to weed some of these out. It looks like right now you're just going off of random chance, which is going to get you around 50% if the lines are right.

[DuncHen22]

I should add (and please listen to this, if nothing else at all):

Lines are set up to give each side roughly a 50% chance at winning. The way the house wins is through the juice. If you bet on random teams (assuming the lines are right) you will end up hitting 50%, but you'll have lost money due to the juice.

The way we (the bettors) win is by finding the lines that are incorrect, that is, not 50%, and exploit them. It's impossible for even the best sports books to get every line right so it's our job to find the ones that are wrong. Sometimes they rush their analysis, sometimes a player gets injured and we can react faster than they can change the line. Sometimes we just know a team better than they do.

I bring this up because there is no way the books got 72 lines wrong, thus most of your "system picks" have a 50% chance of winning, thus your "system" will hit about 50% of them, give or take.

This is why we look for systems that only call a few games a day at most. If that is all our system is calling, we have more reason to believe our system is finding the incorrect lines. We then back that up with evidence by following the picks and see they are hitting 60-70% of the time.

60-70% is very good because we can assume the books are trying to get each line to 50%. When they are off, they are rarely off by too much (20% at most, usually). If you're looking for a system to hit 90%, find a system that calls about 10 games a season, because that's probably how often they're off by that much.

That is what we are trying to say. You say you will not rest until it's perfected so PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE listen to this and take notice!!! You are calling too many games.

[warriorfan707]

You are the one who is not understanding. You don't think I know the things you have said here?

Im not picking random games, and don't ever insult me with this nonsense again. You are remarkably narrow minded.

[frank21]

Warrior, if you hit 60% of your plays tomorrow I will give you all of my sbrpoints!

[Busterflywheel]

BOL with your card today!

[floridagolfer]

Thats right folks, these are all the plays that the system likes for tomorrow.

Better continue to work on the system to do some further refining.

[DuncHen22]

You are the one who is not understanding. You don't think I know the things you have said here? Im not picking random games, and don't ever insult me with this nonsense again. You are remarkably narrow minded.

You obviously AREN'T understanding, and frankly I find it hilarious that you insult me for trying to help you!

Let me say this once more: There is no way 72 lines are incorrect today. Therefore, you will be lucky to get much more than 50% today.

If you don't understand what that means then you really shouldn't be gambling with sports. That's not an insult, that's just me trying to help.

How can you say you "will not rest until this is perfected" if you are unwilling to change it?

[frank21]

Whats the record so far today?

[Collecting]

Alright, since im bored and have nothing better to do on a NCAA Saturday morning/afternoon, ill grade them till something better comes along to do, lol.

1)Marquette over 158
2)West Virginia under 129.5
3)Virginia -3
4)Virginia under 134
5)Ball St under 120
6)Florida under 135
7)Texas Tech over 150
8A)uburn over 152.5
9R)ichmond -1
10)Richmond under 113.5
11)North Texas over 150.5
12)Bowling Green under 126.5
13)Rhode Island over 151
14)Penn St under 133
15)Kansas St over 148
16)Duke under 141.5
17)Valparaiso -2
18)Middle Tennessee St -1
19)South Alabam under 126.5
20)Tulane pk
21)Tulane under 125.5
22)Rice under 126
23)Western Carolina over 149.5
24)Drexel -6
25)Drexel under 124
26)Hofstra under 127.5
27)La Salle -4
28)La Salle under 126
29)Memphis -4.5
30)UNLV -1.5
31)Virginia Tech -1.5
32)Virginia Tech under 132.5
33)Samford under 130
34)Louisville -19
35)Michigan +1
36)Michigan under 116.5
37)Air Force pk
38)Air Force under 118.5
39)Kentucky under 134
40)VCU -3
41)VCU under 132.5
42)Eastern Michigan -1.5
43)Georgia St under 121.5
44)Houston -8
45)Oregon St -1.5
46)Oregon St under 127
47)Northern Iowa under 120
48)SD State under 136.5
49)Kansas under 132
50)Davidson -14.5
51)Davidson over 148.5
52)Toledo under 133.5
53)Wofford under 130.5
54)Kent St under 129
55)Tenn-Martin pk
56)Chatanooga under 125
57)USC under 125
58)UCONN -16
59)UCONN under 126
60)Florida St -7.5
61)Florida St under 133.5
62)New Orleans under 123
63)Long Beach St over 149.5
64)Wichita St under 127.5
65)San Diego under 123
66)Arizona over 149.5
67)Eastern Illinois under 130
68)San Jose St under 157.5
69)Pacific under 129.5
70)UC Davis pk
71)Texas El Paso -5.5
72)Texas El Paso under 133.5

[DuncHen22]

Whats the record so far today?

13-10, I got nothing better to do today too

[warriorfan707]

Its actually 14-9

[warriorfan707]

NCAAB Marquette 82 Over 158 500 WON +500
Providence 79
NCAAB West Virginia 79 Under 129.5 500 LOSS -550
St. John's 60
NCAAB Temple 54 Richmond -1 500 WON +500
Richmond 71 Under 113.5 500 LOSS -550
NCAAB Wake Forest 64 Virginia -3 500 LOSS -550
Virginia 61 Under 134 500 WON +500
NCAAB Akron 75 Under 120 500 LOSS -550
Ball St. 70
NCAAB North Texas 68 Over 150.5 500 LOSS -550
Florida International 66
NCAAB Mississippi St. 62 Under 135 500 WON +500
Florida 69
NCAAB Oklahoma St. 74 Over 150 500 WON +500
Texas Tech 81
NCAAB Auburn 79 Over 152.5 500 WON +500
Arkansas 82
NCAAB Bowling Green 64 Under 126.5 500 LOSS -550
Western Michigan 65
NCAAB Massachusetts 85 Over 151 500 WON +500
Rhode Island 93
NCAAB Minnesota 66 Under 133 500 WON +500
Penn St. 64
NCAAB Kansas St. 79 Over 148 500 WON +500
Iowa St. 75
NCAAB Duke 66 Under 141.5 500 WON +500
Boston College 63
NCAAB Southern Methodist 66 Tulane 0 500 LOSS -550
Tulane 48 Under 125.5 500 WON +500
NCAAB UAB 76 Under 126 500 LOSS -550
Rice 65
NCAAB Detroit 70 Valparaiso -2 500 WON +500
Valparaiso 74
NCAAB Appalachian St. 89 Over 149.5 500 WON +500
Western Carolina 77
NCAAB Middle Tennessee St. 80 Middle Tennessee St. -1 500 WON +500
South Alabama 68 Under 126.5 500 LOSS -550