Keeping it simple, take the team with the (XX) higher ranking Adjusted Defense from Ken Pom's site.
Record for Tourney
S/U 43-10 (81%)
ATS 33-18-2 (64%)
March 19 S/U 12-4 ATS 7-8-1
March 20 S/U 14-2 ATS 10-6
March 21 S/U 9-1 ATS 8-2
March 22 S/U 8-3 ATS 8-2-1
Using lines when I entered contest at covers.
(XX) Adjusted Defense Ranking
Thursday March 26
(81) Texas 149
(33) Purdue-8
(31) Iowa 133'
(6) Nebraska-2'
(53) Arkansas 166'
(3) Arizona-8'
(24) Illinois 140
(4) Houston-3
Friday March 27
(8) St John's 142'
(1) Duke-7
(2) Michigan-10
(60) Alabama 173'
(13) Michigan St 136'
(11) UConn-1
(14) Tennessee 138'
(5) Iowa St-4
Record for Tourney
S/U 43-10 (81%)
ATS 33-18-2 (64%)
March 19 S/U 12-4 ATS 7-8-1
March 20 S/U 14-2 ATS 10-6
March 21 S/U 9-1 ATS 8-2
March 22 S/U 8-3 ATS 8-2-1
Using lines when I entered contest at covers.
(XX) Adjusted Defense Ranking
Thursday March 26
(81) Texas 149
(33) Purdue-8
(31) Iowa 133'
(6) Nebraska-2'
(53) Arkansas 166'
(3) Arizona-8'
(24) Illinois 140
(4) Houston-3
Friday March 27
(8) St John's 142'
(1) Duke-7
(2) Michigan-10
(60) Alabama 173'
(13) Michigan St 136'
(11) UConn-1
(14) Tennessee 138'
(5) Iowa St-4