NCAAB $$$ Plays for Monday, 02/01/2010

[snapstick]

Western Michigan +5
Iona -9.5
Oklahoma State +2



Current $$$ Play Record: 24-21-2, 53%

[Busterflywheel]

Dammit snap were on opp sides on BIG 12 play today....BOL none the less...

[snapstick]

BOL

[southpaw74]

With yu on Iona and ok state. GL

[pinnacle212]

Snapstick I was just about to post about the Iona play. I am getting it at minus 10. Is there something I am missing. See Below

Canisius is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Iona
Last game
01/04/2010MonIONA65CANIS771½
The game Iona was a -1.5 fave now they are +10 at home to a team that despite its lacking plays Iona well. Are there some injuries i don't know about? Revenge factor?

[snapstick]

Dammit snap were on opp sides on BIG 12 play today....BOL none the less...

Texas is 0-8 against the number in their last 8 games and they are also 0-6 against the number in their last 6 Big 12 Conference games. I can't back a team with those numbers.

[Texan81]

Texas is due to cover. They are still a good team, they can turn things around on ther road before they Play Kansas.

[snapstick]

Snapstick I was just about to post about the Iona play. I am getting it at minus 10. Is there something I am missing. See Below

Canisius is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Iona
Last game
01/04/2010MonIONA65CANIS771½
The game Iona was a -1.5 fave now they are +10 at home to a team that despite its lacking plays Iona well. Are there some injuries i don't know about? Revenge factor?

Canisius is very inconsistent.
Home teams in the MAAC conference play much better at home.
Iona is playing well and they are really good defensively.
Losing by 12 on the road to Canisius as a 1 pt fav should provide motivation for Iona.
Iona is 7-0 in their last 7 games.
Canisius will be a public wager....Iona -9.5 will be the smart wager.

Good Luck!

[snapstick]

Texas is due to cover. They are still a good team, they can turn things around on ther road before they Play Kansas.

You dont bet against a streak you bet with a streak! Just a old saying that is very true. Thats not why I am playing the Cowboys but it is NOT a reason to play the Longhorns.

[Texan81]

Streak can't go on forever, nobody that I have seen in this business has ever beat the spread everytime. It's like Roulette, it can't hit black everytime, it may for a while, but eventually it will bite you. If I lose Texas Tonight, I will double down every bet from now until they do cover, because it will turn my friend.

[snapstick]

OK..GL with that but thats not my style of capping

[jeffbuff73]

you have it backwards on Iona, public is pounding at almost 70% for Iona. I think this is way to many points to be giving a decent Cansius team. This matchup has been close the past few years. Just my opinion, no play for me though. Love your W Michigan play, Im on them as well.

[snapstick]

you have it backwards on Iona, public is pounding at almost 70% for Iona. I think this is way to many points to be giving a decent Cansius team. This matchup has been close the past few years. Just my opinion, no play for me though. Love your W Michigan play, Im on them as well.

Thats wagering percentages on each side you are referring to. The money is and will be equal on each side and of course we all know thats what the books want.

[snapstick]

Iona wins this game by 12-15 points.

[oiler]

Streak can't go on forever, nobody that I have seen in this business has ever beat the spread everytime. It's like Roulette, it can't hit black everytime, it may for a while, but eventually it will bite you. If I lose Texas Tonight, I will double down every bet from now until they do cover, because it will turn my friend.

streaks are like marriages,even thought its the smart thing to do ,sometimes u just want to try something u know is wrong but wanted to do it anyway lol

[jeffbuff73]

So those percentages aren't telling me who the money is coming in on then???? I thought that was the case, which would tell me that right now almost 70% of the bets are on Iona???? Am I reading this right?????

[snapstick]

As of right now 56% of the WAGERS are on Iona and 44% of the WAGERS are on Canisius.
The books want 50-50 on each side and they will get that with a line of -9.5 because the public will be on canisius and the smart money will be on Iona..just my opinion.

[jeffbuff73]

ok, thanks for the help bro. I appreciate it. I wanted to make sure I was reading that right. GL tonight.........

[snapstick]

BOL

[kboiler]

BOL

[snapstick]

Streak can't go on forever, nobody that I have seen in this business has ever beat the spread everytime. It's like Roulette, it can't hit black everytime, it may for a while, but eventually it will bite you. If I lose Texas Tonight, I will double down every bet from now until they do cover, because it will turn my friend.

Okla State is 20-8 L28 versus ranked opponents at home including 1-0 this season.

Okla State is 6-1 L7 at home versus Texas as a ranked team.

Okla State has beaten Texas 3 times since 2003 with Texas being ranked in the top 10 in rankings.

This is always a tough game for Texas and the way they are currntly playing they shouldnt even be favored in this game.

[BBROBOZO]

Wait and see

The line will move toward texas and the total will go up .... so I will wait and bet Ok St and under when I think the line reaches its limit on both ... I expect the public to move the line to 2 1/2 or 3 on texas and the total to move a point on the over .... JMO

[snapstick]

[Big Dave's Picks]

BOL tonight SNAP we are on opp. sides tonight but someone has got to win.

[cav1x]

BOL....

[BBROBOZO]

snapstick

As of right now 56% of the WAGERS are on Iona and 44% of the WAGERS are on Canisius.
The books want 50-50 on each side and they will get that with a line of -9.5 because the public will be on canisius and the smart money will be on Iona..just my opinion.

Let me tell you a little secret that I know ... I know this because I once was a runner for an outfit in vegas .... if a number moves 1 & 1/2 points at one move then this is the result of an outfit play .... they are many outfits trying to get the right info and they sometimes steal from another source ... I worked directly for the computer boys ... and they are real good at keeping a secret ....Remember the last move is the best move and the best sports book with the best number is THE GREEK , the people that run the show at the greek are big time players... "they are very SHARP"... and have a very good opinion on the outcome of certain events , so by this I mean they put out a number that reflecks the side they like and by doing so they want to be heavy to a certain side .... you follow !! 50,000 to 100,000 heavy to one side is no problem .

[Texan81]

So are you saying they are heavy on Texas?

[dknight734]

so if the lines moves 1.5 do u follow the 1.5 or go against it?

[snapstick]

Thanks for the lesson!

P.S. Fix your grammer

[snapstick]

BOL tonight SNAP we are on opp. sides tonight but someone has got to win.

BOL

[BBROBOZO]

Texan

So are you saying they are heavy on Texas?

What I'm saying is that they don't have an opinion on every game and their line reflecks it and they don't move the number as quick because they gamble higher than most book joints .... some move the number on a certain amount of dollars and some move to coincide with other books and so on .... you follow !! What I'm saying is THE GREEK has the best informed and inside number ... watch pinny have a number and see how it moves and watch THE GREEK ... THE GREEK will have the sharper line day in and day out !! Not my opinion , this came from higher up !!

[snapstick]

so if the lines moves 1.5 do u follow the 1.5 or go against it?

Neither...you dont play a side because the line moves a point and a half.

[Texan81]

So ask them if Texas or Ok St is the play tonight?

[Texan81]

Them being the Higher Ups.......

[snapstick]

So ask them if Texas or Ok St is the play tonight?

Them being the Higher Ups.......