Kirby Zhang College Basketball Picks

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  • Kirby Zhang
    Restricted User
    • 08-18-09
    • 406

    #1
    Kirby Zhang College Basketball Picks
    Basketball ATS: 4-3 +1.84 Units
    (Since I"ve started posting again.)

    Well Not a bad night last night but I've been really trying hard to increase the numbers and make you people some money. So Let us begin.

    College ball is the science of feeling out which teams have the most motivation to win meanwhile not having the most pressure to maintain a top spot in the rankings.

    I'm not going to lie, I'm pretty tired, so I"ll share briefly my thoughts.


    Old Dominion @ Northeastern
    Old Dominion PK

    Northeastern is getting the obligatory +1 when the lines opened but the line has since fallen to 0 and now your basically just picking a winner. The reason for this is Old Dominion is the better basketball team fair and square. They are able to score, and have decent wins under their belt. Besides having a winning record we're able to see that this team is just more prepared. Look at both of these teams verses a not so good team. They've both played Drexel, Northeastern LOST and Old Dominion dominated that ass like Bill Clinton in the oval office. Take this nice and easy low key game at a good price, with low responsibility.

    Kansas @ Kansas St.
    Kansas -4


    Look at Kansas, they have literally bitched the other teams around. Sure K State has played well, took care of Baylor, and Texas who was number one at the time, however they've been inconsistent. Kansas however was the former number one, and has been playing like one. This is a huge in state rivalry, and if there's anything I know about In state rivalry it's that it doesn't really matter who's at home, its going to be loud as **** regardless. Let me ask you this do you seriously and honestly believe that Kansas St. is going to strong will their way to beating Kansas after you saw that performance against Okla St? It is plain out inconsistent basketball, they are going to be amazing in a year, but right now they're still on the way. four points just seem way too easy. Kansas is 8-2 against K State and not to mention the reason why Kansas doesn't have as good of a record against the spread is because the Jay hawks are always favored by like 30. 4 against a inconsistent overrated team won't be a big deal. Give em four, hell, give em seven... if you'll still get the check in the mail.

    Gonzaga @ San Fransisco
    Gonzaga -12.5

    Gonzaga blows these guys away. San Fransisco is awful. that's all I'm going to say.
  • CappinTerp
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-26-09
    • 9650

    #2
    Nice write up I like K. ST. small-when you say"4 pts.just seem way too easy" Its like that for a reason the books want $ on KANSAS. GL
    Comment
    • Busterflywheel
      SBR MVP
      • 12-13-09
      • 3991

      #3
      Like the Old D game with you..BOL with your plays tonight
      Comment
      • Kirby Zhang
        Restricted User
        • 08-18-09
        • 406

        #4
        Originally posted by CappinTerp
        Nice write up I like K. ST. small-when you say"4 pts.just seem way too easy" Its like that for a reason the books want $ on KANSAS. GL
        I really don't like this misconception. For the record and to clarify the books really doesn't care either way. The reason a certain line is set is to get even money on both sides, thus under this theology it would be fair to say that the "Public" (in which case Public is defined as the pool of people betting) sets the line. The Oddmakes set a line based on averages and home/away. It is all statistical, and then it is up to the betting public to correct the line. As long as there is even money on both sides the book quite frankly doesn't care who wins, take the same amount of juice per side, thus making the losers pay the winners. Ideally this is how the books make money, not from your loss bets, but by the juice they gain by making everything even money. Remember before the game starts they've already made their money, you have to wait until the game ends to make yours. Furthermore ask yourself this question: If Kansas was playing at home would the line still Kansas -4? or would it be Kansas -8.5.. So yes, it does seem too easy, and yes taking a home underdog is in most cases the right value bet, but by no means SHOULD you take Kansas St. +4. financially speaking it doesn't make sense. If you feel like you need four points that bad it's probably a bad bet, however if you seriously believe that Kansas St has a chance (in which case I don't) then the play would be Kansas St ML (+165). Do you see how this makes sense investment-wize? Treat this like a job, not a slot machine, and the money will treat you accordingly. Furthermore If the situation was reversed, and only in that situation would it make sound sense to take Kansas St +points. Let me clarify, If it was Kansas St. @ Kansas (Huge Rivalry!!!) and the line was Kansas St +8.5, then you would wait until the bandwagon jumped it to +9 and take the points at -105.

        Hope this helps

        Kirby
        Comment
        • Kirby Zhang
          Restricted User
          • 08-18-09
          • 406

          #5
          Originally posted by Busterflywheel
          Like the Old D game with you..BOL with your plays tonight

          Thank you, for me it's the first game of the day, a winner is usually a good omen. lets see what happens
          Comment
          • whatsgood5
            Restricted User
            • 10-13-09
            • 15359

            #6
            Good write-ups, I like 'Zaga today too. I was on 'em as couple of days ago when they nearly lost to Santa Clara, but I expect them to play much better today. GL
            Comment
            • Quagmire27
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-30-09
              • 626

              #7
              Fun again Kirby

              Can't disagree with any of your choices, especially like you taken that "the books want $ on KANSAS" statement to school, I see those type of words in every other thread, shake my head & laugh every time.

              Really llike that Gonzaga line, Santa Clara played out of their minds to keep that last game close, San Fran shouldn't be capable of that.

              GL
              Comment
              • Kirby Zhang
                Restricted User
                • 08-18-09
                • 406

                #8
                Hey everyone, I'm finally up.. a few things... Syracuse losing to Depaul? and the end of the west Virginia game what the **** was that? I hope no one had Louisville on that. Why can't people do their ****ing jobs? man, I would be so pissed if I took Louisville straight and that shit happened. Oh and I guess we learned a few things about Duke huh? yeah, they are still awful on the road.
                Comment
                • Kirby Zhang
                  Restricted User
                  • 08-18-09
                  • 406

                  #9
                  well Syracuse won, but man do they look tired
                  Comment
                  • CappinTerp
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 9650

                    #10
                    Wait a minute sunny boy!! You quote me and come up with that!! YOU don't like that misconception? It is very very clear that there is a quantum leap in what you believe you know about handicapping and the reality of your knowledge. Yes you are a good writer and explained some bookmaking 101 for us. But sunny boy come on, yes the books often want and need money on one side of the bet. A seasoned capper can spot it and more often than not take advantage of it. Just off the top of my head, UCLA was -10 at home versus New Mexico State. Books begging for New Mexico State money. Bruins won by 25. Florida at home versus Richmond at only -6 (begging for gator cash) the Spiders won outright!! I know this because at the time I wrote of the lines being suspiciously high and then low. It amazes me that you can say "if you feel like you need 4 points that bad it is probably a bad bet." IN COLLEGE BASKETBALL!! Seriously you have no idea on how close a lot of these games come to the number. You say ... Kansas State +8 1/2 then you would wait until the band wagon jumped it to +9 and take the points at -105. WRONG!!! Did you know 99.99% of the time it would be +9 -110. Sunny boy what gets me is I never saw your name before. I read your post then took time out to compliment you. Then you quote me and came up with that! So look why don't you go to your bedroom bring your little bo peep doll and little boy blue and study handicapping. If you ever want to seriously talk handicapping I would be glad to acquiesce!

                    P.S.: Ask around about me. Those who know me know I am not a hate monger and I even try to make it funny at times.
                    Comment
                    • CappinTerp
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 9650

                      #11
                      Its all a learning experience
                      Comment
                      • PAPSMEAR
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-13-09
                        • 2581

                        #12
                        Old Dom Caned. 0-1. No play for me on KS game but in for a BIG slice of the action on the Gonza game. The best of luck to you Sir.
                        Comment
                        • CappinTerp
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-26-09
                          • 9650

                          #13
                          QUAGMIRE 27 -YOU TOO - "like your choices especially like you taken that " The books want $ on KANSAS STATMENT TO SCHOOL""
                          And then you shake your head and laugh every time.??? And please both of you two idiots feel free to respond. Are you blind or just plain stupid.?? QUAG you wish one day you knew as much as I about handycapping. As you see above I WAS READY TO LET THIS GO ,BUT YOUR ARROGANCE IS PISSING ME OFF. WHO DO YOU THINK YOU ARE.?? Really you dont even know me, and you dis me like that. Like takeing me to school and you see these words in every other thread. Have you ever read any of my comments.?
                          I am a OK capper, I will tell you what, I have been cappin for 30 yrs and when you work for 20 yrs. speculating on intrest rates with the firms capital , when your short $100 millon one min. before non-farm payroll comes out, when you learn real pressure and can read into prices of the bookmakers line, you come to me and we will talk, BUT UNTILL THEN DIS SOMEONE ELESE.!! REALLY WHAT ARE YOU 25-28 LIVING @ HOME WITH A SMALL PECKER.! NOW THAT MY FRIENDS IS A REAL TRIFECTA.!
                          Comment
                          • RayzHELL
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-18-09
                            • 2164

                            #14
                            Gonzaga!

                            Parlay Bet

                            Description
                            Risk
                            Win
                            Feb 07 06:25 PM EST - Football NFL - 102 Indianapolis Colts -3 buying 3 points -202 for Game

                            Jan 30 09:05 PM EST - Basketball NBA - 509 Portland Trail Blazers / Dallas Mavericks Over 189 buying 4 points -190 for Game

                            Jan 30 09:30 PM EST - Basketball NCAA - 655 Gonzaga -9 buying 3 points -170 for Game

                            3 Team Parlay

                            206.30
                            545.20

                            Bet Slip Total
                            Risk
                            Win

                            206.30 USD
                            545.20 USD
                            Comment
                            • CappinTerp
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-26-09
                              • 9650

                              #15
                              ???
                              Comment
                              • Busterflywheel
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-13-09
                                • 3991

                                #16
                                Originally posted by CappinTerp
                                ???
                                He's gone...
                                Comment
                                • RayzHELL
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-18-09
                                  • 2164

                                  #17
                                  Gonzaga sucks

                                  Quote"Gonzaga @ San Fransisco
                                  Gonzaga -12.5

                                  Gonzaga blows these guys away. San Fransisco is awful. that's all I'm going to say."

                                  Gonzaga 77
                                  San Francisco 81
                                  Comment
                                  • traxmub
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 01-25-10
                                    • 433

                                    #18
                                    oh no
                                    Gonzaga - big loss
                                    but I'm ok because betted some money
                                    Comment
                                    • CappinTerp
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-26-09
                                      • 9650

                                      #19
                                      YES, I KNOW HE IS GONE.! CAN YOU BELIVE HE THINKS " IF YOU FEEL LIKE YOU NEED 4 POINTS THAT BAD ITS PROBALY A BAD BET" I will take EVERY 1/2 POINT I CAN GET.!!!!!!!
                                      AND CALLS ME OUT!!
                                      HE IS GOING TO TRY TO MAKE US MONEY......(AT TOP OF PAGE)

                                      HEY NEEDEL DICK QUAG ARE U IN THE HOUSE ???? TAKEN ME TO SCHOOL.... GO LAP UP SOME MONKEY SPUNK.!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        think it would piss me off to cappin if a guy who cant pick 1 damn winner tried telling me how to gamble....vegas doesnt care where the money goes, classic not as long as these guys giving it to them
                                        Comment
                                        • CappinTerp
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-26-09
                                          • 9650

                                          #21
                                          fist of fury r u there?
                                          Comment
                                          • CappinTerp
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 9650

                                            #22
                                            Q U A G I S A .........NAAAA(too easy) GUYS, COME ON STOP LAPPIN-UP THAT MONKEY SPUNK, AND RESPOND.!!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • CappinTerp
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 9650

                                              #23
                                              again....fist of furry....where u b
                                              Comment
                                              • CappinTerp
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-26-09
                                                • 9650

                                                #24
                                                i have not had a response yet.? ............come to papa
                                                Comment
                                                • Busterflywheel
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-13-09
                                                  • 3991

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by CappinTerp
                                                  i have not had a response yet.? ............come to papa
                                                  He's out for a bit it appears...How was your weekend Cappin?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • CappinTerp
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                    • 9650

                                                    #26
                                                    Great buster how bout yours.??? Did you read my thanks guys piece?
                                                    Comment
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