NCAAB $$$ Plays For Tuesday, 01/26/2010

snapstick · 01-26-10, 10:55 AM

01/26/2010

Miami Florida +8
Marquette -17

HoulihansTX · 01-26-10, 12:16 PM

I tailed the Miami Florida

I see the history of the matchup, looks like a good game.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 12:19 PM

I'll post my brief write up for the games shortly.

tbone40143 · 01-26-10, 12:23 PM

i like UNC to rebound there season tonight. i also like MSU to rock the "little house" go baylor in the "poll hater" and i also like UK they look way to good and i think they'll cover 7 with ease

Big Dave's Picks · 01-26-10, 01:00 PM

Hey Snap I don't like to look at any early leans posted on here until I make my early lean decisions. That being said I am thrilled that you also may have a liking to Miami tonight. I look forward to reading your writeup to see if we are thinking the same way. BOL sir as always and look forward to working with you.

iceaxe56 · 01-26-10, 01:06 PM

just don't really know how bad unc really is--maybe roy is geting pay back karma for not sighning the little boys autograph book last year--anywayi figure the tarheels get it back tonight or maybe roy will be on the hot seat--lol

snapstick · 01-26-10, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by snapstick

01/26/2010

Miami Florida +8
Marquette -17

Miami Fla:

6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings versus Maryland.
Last 4 trips to Maryland Miami Fla. lost by 4, 5, 5 and they won by 15 in 2008
5-3 ATS on the road this season.
The underdog is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in this series.

Maryland:

3-3 ATS at home this season.

Miami, Fla. is holding their opponents to 61.2 ppg this season. Miami Fla. plays Maryland close and tough. I see a game in the mid to high 60's and this spread is the largest in this series since 2007.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by snapstick

01/26/2010

Miami Florida +8
Marquette -17

Marquette:

8-5 ATS this season including 3-2 ATS at home. Marquette has a Home/Away offensive scoring advantage of +17 PPG and a Home/Away defensive advantage of -24 PPG this season. Rutgers will be lucky to put 60 points on the board tonight as Marquette should easily put up in the mid 80's. Rutgers this season has played on the road 5 times in which 4 of those contests they have lost by double digits and twice by more than 20 points including 1 by 30+.

Rutgers:

3-13 in their last 16 conference games.
5-10 ATS this season.
2-5 ATS on the road this season.

Big Dave's Picks · 01-26-10, 01:25 PM

Nice work on the info. and analysis Snap I will definitely tail those picks, BOL tonight.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 01:31 PM

These are the only 2 plays i am on tonight. I was hoping for a few more but i just couldnt squeeze any more out.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 01:44 PM

Time to start on tomorrow's card. We have a huge card tomorrow in the NCAA's so i am going to start working on it. GL and any questions or opinions are always welcome.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 02:22 PM

Save your roll for tomorrow's plays. Don't go crazy tonight as i will have a good card tomorrow. Here are my early leans for Wednesday dependent on the lines:

Villanova
William & Mary
Northeastern
Marshall
Cent. Florida
No. Illinois
Oklahoma
Duke
Uconn
Tulane
Colorado

GL

HoulihansTX · 01-26-10, 02:46 PM

Snapper, I dont see how you can overlook Miami Ohio as a play.

They have dominated this series. Their record is skewed b/c of their SOS. Ball St. is horrible.

Would love to see how you would lean on this game. I got Miami at -3, currently -3.5

snapstick · 01-26-10, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Snapper, I dont see how you can overlook Miami Ohio as a play.

They have dominated this series. Their record is skewed b/c of their SOS. Ball St. is horrible.

Would love to see how you would lean on this game. I got Miami at -3, currently -3.5

Miami OH is 5-6 against the number on the road this season and 4-10-1 last 15 on the road against the number. The Home/Away offenses are dead even. The Home/Away defensive advantage goes to Ball State by a margin of -16. Both teams have had a problem against the number this season which for me makes this game a no play and no lean for me. Just my opinion this game never came close to making my list of plays.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 03:03 PM

Good Luck with Miami, OH if you play them i just dont like either side.

HoulihansTX · 01-26-10, 03:11 PM

Originally posted by snapstick

Good Luck with Miami, OH if you play them i just dont like either side.

But doesnt the sharp contrast in both teams SOS make a huge difference. Miami played Kentucky earlier this season, and other teams in big conferences.

Ball St.'s schedule looks paltry when compared.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

But doesnt the sharp contrast in both teams SOS make a huge difference. Miami played Kentucky earlier this season, and other teams in big conferences.

Ball St.'s schedule looks paltry when compared.

SOS is only ONE way to meassure College basketball teams. The strength of schedule can be very deceptive. Often a team that plays nothing but average teams has a much better strength of schedule rating than a team that plays a mix of really highly rated teams and teams that are ranked very low. In addition, if a team is very good it is hard for them to play teams that are rated in the middle of the pack.

I dont put alot of weight in SOS or other factors such as a team is 'Battle Tested' or 'Road 'Tested'.

Give me another reason on why you would play Miami, Ohio besides the SOS.

I capped this game at Miami, Ohio -2. To close to call for me and there is nothing here to make me play either side.

Busterflywheel · 01-26-10, 03:33 PM

I like the Canes call..BOL tonight..

snapstick · 01-26-10, 03:38 PM

Originally posted by Busterflywheel

I like the Canes call..BOL tonight..

BOL bro.

HoulihansTX · 01-26-10, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by snapstick

SOS is only ONE way to meassure College basketball teams. The strength of schedule can be very deceptive. Often a team that plays nothing but average teams has a much better strength of schedule rating than a team that plays a mix of really highly rated teams and teams that are ranked very low. In addition, if a team is very good it is hard for them to play teams that are rated in the middle of the pack. I dont put alot of weight in SOS or other factors such as a team is 'Battle Tested' or 'Road 'Tested'. Give me another reason on why you would play Miami, Ohio besides the SOS. I capped this game at Miami, Ohio -2. To close to call for me and there is nothing here to make me play either side.

Thank you for your input, as you can see its much valued.

capskip · 01-26-10, 04:43 PM

New to this thread.GL Snapstick

snapstick · 01-26-10, 04:50 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Thank you for your input, as you can see its much valued.

Don't make me get you off of the play bud. i just don't like either side. If you like a side play it, it's just not a play for me with my handicapping style.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 04:51 PM

Originally posted by capskip

New to this thread.GL Snapstick

Same to you cap...welcome and GL

Feel free to provide your input anytime.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by snapstick

01/26/2010

Miami Florida +8
Marquette -17

Originally posted by snapstick

Miami Fla:

6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings versus Maryland.
Last 4 trips to Maryland Miami Fla. lost by 4, 5, 5 and they won by 15 in 2008
5-3 ATS on the road this season.
The underdog is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in this series.

Maryland:

3-3 ATS at home this season.

Miami, Fla. is holding their opponents to 61.2 ppg this season. Miami Fla. plays Maryland close and tough. I see a game in the mid to high 60's and this spread is the largest in this series since 2007.

Miami Fla is 6-3 against the number when holding their opponents under 75ppg and Maryland is 4-5 when scoring less than 75 ppg so the Hurricane defense will be the key in this matchup.

snapstick · 01-26-10, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by snapstick

01/26/2010

Miami Florida +8
Marquette -17

Originally posted by snapstick

Marquette:

8-5 ATS this season including 3-2 ATS at home. Marquette has a Home/Away offensive scoring advantage of +17 PPG and a Home/Away defensive advantage of -24 PPG this season. Rutgers will be lucky to put 60 points on the board tonight as Marquette should easily put up in the mid 80's. Rutgers this season has played on the road 5 times in which 4 of those contests they have lost by double digits and twice by more than 20 points including 1 by 30+.

Rutgers:

3-13 in their last 16 conference games.
5-10 ATS this season.
2-5 ATS on the road this season.

Rutgers is 0-2 ATS when the number is 17.5-19.5 this season. Rutgers is also 1-4 ATS on the road against a team with a win% over .500

Rutgers is also 0-2 when their opponent scores more than 75 points which i believe Marquette will accompilish tonight.

southpaw74 · 01-26-10, 05:18 PM

it just scares me that marquette can play down to their competition! otherwise they can obviously cover this number

snapstick · 01-26-10, 05:19 PM

I understand that south but i would be very disappointed if they play down to the level of competition that Rutgers will provide.

c_devito · 01-26-10, 05:23 PM

sign me up for marquette lets get em again tonight!
gl boys

Buckeye5234 · 01-26-10, 05:26 PM

Wanted some info on the parlee I just made....Clemson,Maryland,Miami all straight up risking 250 to win 607..I think its very possible but wanted everyones perspective

snapstick · 01-26-10, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by c_devito

sign me up for marquette lets get em again tonight!
gl boys

AND don't forget Miami, Fla

snapstick · 01-26-10, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by Buckeye5234

Wanted some info on the parlee I just made....Clemson,Maryland,Miami all straight up risking 250 to win 607..I think its very possible but wanted everyones perspective

Miami, Ohio?

Buckeye5234 · 01-26-10, 05:43 PM

Miami Ohio sorry

snapstick · 01-26-10, 05:44 PM

Be carefully with ohio and Clemson. They aren't good enough road teams to play in my opinion.

Eagle1958 · 01-26-10, 05:55 PM

I would think that given the opposition that Miami OH should win this game by about 8-10 pts.