sat games. what do you think?

[dknight734]

prov -5
nev -5
unlv -6
nova -5.5
mich st -2
texas -2
ten -5.5
marq +10
uab +5.5
chat -1.5
mich +11
ill +1.5
byu -3.5
buf +4
wa st +1.5
utep +3.5
will/mary +4
JM +5.5
mem SU
fl SU
den SU
Dayton SU
MD SU
xavier SU

[tylerguy02]

Damn. That is quite the lineup

[dknight734]

just a variety to choose from. trying to get the most opinions for my post. see who agrees and doesn't and then choose in the morning after i do a little homework. what sucks is that villa is playing early cuz i think they are a lock to win if they don't cover, but if st. j lost that bad to uconn i can only imagine what villa will do to them even if they are at home.

[boodeewee911]

Quite a lineup you have. I'd be careful w/ that mich st game. I never bet against an unranked team giving pts at home to a ranked team. If I don't like the team giving the pts, I'd rather just lay off.

Also, I think Purdue might of snapped out of their funk against Illinois the other night. Don't let that Michigan team fool you w/ their effort at Wisc...they are still bad!

I like the Texas pick. I think I will play that one big even though they are on the road. Uconn doesn't really have any consistent outside shooters which will cost them if it is a high scoring game against Texas. Texas imo is a very, very good team!

Good luck with whatever you decide to go with.

[bsimp3021]

i dont know a thing about college basketball (ok i know a little), but I know how to read lines very profitably so if u want me to post on the smart money in early games in here tomorrow morning, i would be happy to. up to u.

[dknight734]

go right ahead all thoughts are welcome

[dknight734]

out of all them games which 3 do u like the best?

[boodeewee911]

Out of the picks you have listed I like Texas the most. I also agree w/ the villanova & memphis -8. Obviously, I'm leaving the ML's out b/c these would of course be the ones I like the most.

I don't like taking somebody off their picks, but I will just say that two games I'm definitely playing tomorrow are Minn -2 & Purdue -11.

I hope you kill them tommorrow!

[dknight734]

u don't think mich will hang with purdue?

[boodeewee911]

No, I really don't think so. I think Purdue snapped out of it in the 2nd half against Illinois. Michigan is really a two man team and Purdue guards real well and should be able to shutdown Simms and Harris.

Just an opinion though! Hope you have a good Saturday.

[bsimp3021]

leans for earlier games
Alabama pk (19% of people are on them, yet the line moved in favor of them at some books and stayed stagnant at others)
Boston College +6.5(same scenario, but with the recent line movement heavily favoring BC, but 46% of public likes them)
Auburn +13.5 (only 38% of public on them but line has moved a whole point at every book. A lot of smart money on this one)
La Salle -2.5 (same scenario, 42% on their side, line moved half a point, RLM is good)
West Virginia -6.5 (same with 38%)
obviously the lower the percentages and more the line moves, the more smart money is on it.
i will look at the late money and post again tomorrow morning, Good Luck.
take a look and see what you think

[boodeewee911]

That's interesting. I will definitely see how these games turn out tomorrow.

Is this how you determine your wagers? If so, how have you been doing?

Looks to me from what you posted Alabama & Auburn would be the plays if you were going by this.

[dknight734]

don't like bc, auburn maybe, i was kinda leanin on them cuz that's a heavy ticket for van to cash, i like lasalle but too inconsistent for me, i like wv SU, and bama hasn't produced enough for me to want to bet on them

[bsimp3021]

That's interesting. I will definitely see how these games turn out tomorrow.

Is this how you determine your wagers? If so, how have you been doing?

Looks to me from what you posted Alabama & Auburn would be the plays if you were going by this.

this is how i bet college, and i mix this with my own opinions in the NBA.
I have been making a profit, so i guess that is good, with the last couple days being extra good.
If you take away my halftime NBA bets, i am something like 8-1 in my last 9.
The way i see it is that betting with line movement is like getting every profitable bettor's opinion, and rolling it into one free tip, and pointing you where u need to go.

[bsimp3021]

still need to check tomorrow, it is WAY more important than tonight as the big money flows in just before the games and you can get a final total for the percentage of bettors on each side

[Glitch]

my top 3 from your list:
michigan state, byu, utep (even minus 3.5 which im pretty sure they were insteada +)

[Shortstop]

I love West Virginia -6, was this on your list?

[shawnjohn5]

Isn't that documented as like a 70% winner, betting on a home favorite (unranked) vs a ranked team on the road??? It's almost an automatic bet on the unranked home team at least 1unit?? I'll have to look a little more into it, but Minn looks like a solid play and these 2 teams are pretty evenly matched imo!

[bsimp3021]

woke up too late to post on 9 o clock games.
for the afternoon
strongest plays are: Auburn +12.5
LSU +5
Evansville +11.5

[dknight734]

just got up myself and nova is getting killed

[mozomboking]

washington st ml

[bsimp3021]

old dominion -5.5
columbia +12.5