PittVipers - 50 days - 100 plays - 60% Winners?

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  • pittviper
    Restricted User
    • 08-16-06
    • 202

    #141
    Why Memphis?
    I like Memphis to beat the Lakers in what should a close back and forth game for a majority of the game. My line for this game accounting both teams and not not accounting for outside factors like, recent results and fatigue, is LA Lakers -2. As for outside factors: this is the final game of an eight game road trip for the Lakers. They won five of the seven previous road games, including winning their last four in a row. In their previous game (LAST NIGHT) they hung on to beat the Boston Celtics by one point. In this game they led by twelve early, but looked sluggish at times and allowed Boston to get back into this game. It looks as though the fatigue is getting to them, and this will be their third road game in four nights. Kobe Bryant is listed as probable, but definitely not 100% healthy.

    Memphis has had the hot hand the second half of this month and are 6-3 since January 15th. They are currently only one game out of 8th playoff spot in the West. They are 17-6 at home this season, and did not have a game yesterday .. and should be rested and ready to go for this game, looking to avenge two straight losses. These teams met earlier in the season where lakers won by double digits, but that game was in Los Angeles and Memphis was not as well rounded into form as they are now. Lakers also were not finishing an 8 game road trip looking forward to going home. Expect a big night from all three Gasol, Randolph and Rudy Gay. Memphis can keep up with the Lakers scoring (averaging the same amount of points per game) and with the Lakers being tired on the end of a long road trip, this is their game to be won.

    This line opened at -2.5 and sharp money quickly came in on Memphis, moving the line to +2 and +1.5 at most books. Like I said earlier if you have +1.5 or +2 I suggest you buy a half point, in case of a Kobe buzzer beater.

    End Result: I see Memphis being up a 3-5 points with a minute to play in the 4th quarter and then whatever happens from there, happens .. you never know with Kobe on the court. If Lakers do win, I see it being a buzzer beater to win by 1 or 2. Two buzzer beaters in a row for him? I think the Lakers fall short and that Memphis is definitely the side to be on.



    Why Iona?

    Canisius goes on the road to play league rival Iona. I had Canisius earlier in the week (at PK) when they played at home to Niagara, with that wager winning. Canisius let a big lead slip away and needed overtime to cement the win. All season Canisius has been known in their league for inconsistency. Win one, lose one. Win one, lose one. With that said, their record this season is a not very surprising 11-11. Teams in this league, the MAAC, and other small name leagues are very home and away. Meaning they all play with heart and purpose at home and all struggle to get it going on the road. Intimidation and unfamiliarity is the main reason for this for the young college players. The best players in the country are able to deal with it as they are accustomed to it, where as players in worse leagues are not able too as much (though there are a few exceptions). I really except Canisius to struggle, tomorrow night against a strong defensive and very hot Iona team.

    Iona has won their past seven games, four at home and three on the road. Iona is one of the only bright parts of an almost otherwise terrible conference. My line says, once again not including outside factors, Iona -11. Iona is 16-6 on the season and 8-3 in league play, with only one team having a better record. The only thing in Canisius' favor in this mis-match is the fact that Iona plays Siena, in their next game, four days from today. When asked about that prior to their 16th win the other night, Iona guard Jermel Jenkins said:
    "Last year it was tough to get wins, but now we're all one year older and we work harder. You always have to have confidence in yourself and confidence in your team. The key for us is that we never look ahead. We keep our mind only on our next game."

    Iona doesn't look forward, but I am sure they look backwards. Looking backwards, like I said they've had seven straight wins .. but the game sparking that seven game winning streak was a 77-65 road loss on the road in Canisius (as 1 point favorites). They will definitely be looking to show Canisius that they are a different team than the one they played a few weeks ago, at home tonight. The -9.5 line, compared to the -1 line in their last matchup.

    Iona has the 40th ranked defense in the country. In their last matchup Iona allowed Canisius too much room to get good three pointers off and got into foul trouble early. This will be a different tonight.

    Most of the money coming in on tomorrows college games will be on the Texas/Oklahoma state match up. I leaned to OK State +2.5, but Iona is a much better selection. With the majority of bets being on that game, the remainder of the college games have very soft lines. Iona -9.5 is the softest in my opinion, this line is pillow soft. haha. The books wan't 50-50 money and they should get that on this game. Amongst the other big spread games Canisius looks the best to the public as they won in their last game and they are only single digit underdogs. While other cappers are
    going to see how well Iona is doing lately and bet on them even
    though it is close to a double digit favourite .. because of the high number, lots will be weary though. Leaving close to 50/50 action .. so the books win, and so do we with Iona.

    Prediction: Look for Canisius to go on long cold streaks throughout the game. I expect them to score between 40 and 50 points, with Iona scoring 60+. Iona by 15+.

    BOL
    PV
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #142
      excellent stuff PV...i also happen to agree with you on both actually two of my fav plays on the card...nice work
      Comment
      • linedrivr
        SBR MVP
        • 01-04-10
        • 2223

        #143
        excellent job so far on your plays. I like both picks you have made for tonight as well. BOL
        Comment
        • pittviper
          Restricted User
          • 08-16-06
          • 202

          #144
          Thanks guys. Also my superbowl pick in the NFL section, if interested.

          BOL
          PV
          Comment
          • Busterflywheel
            SBR MVP
            • 12-13-09
            • 3991

            #145
            Great Write up Pitt..Alot of thought put into it BOL with your plays...
            Comment
            • jscott1586
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-25-08
              • 257

              #146
              Great stuff PV
              Comment
              • DetroitRob
                SBR Hustler
                • 04-29-09
                • 97

                #147
                should I buy up that Memphis now to +2 or do you think it will go back up?
                Comment
                • bodio
                  Restricted User
                  • 11-05-09
                  • 206

                  #148
                  Pitt,
                  When you say your line is Iona -11 and Lakers -2..how do you come up with these? thanks
                  Comment
                  • elevate
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 52

                    #149
                    Thanks for the write-ups pitt
                    Comment
                    • AKATDOG
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-31-09
                      • 314

                      #150
                      Comment
                      • AKATDOG
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-31-09
                        • 314

                        #151
                        wow...good job here..
                        Comment
                        • pittviper
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-16-06
                          • 202

                          #152
                          2-0 day today with both games finishing almost exactly as I thought. 4-0 if you include the leans I posted of Boston and the Under, though I am obviously not counting them. That wraps up the fourth 5 day period, at 7-3.

                          After day 20:
                          NBA Record: 15-5 (75%)
                          CBK Record: 17-3 (85%)
                          Overall Record: 32-8 (80%)

                          Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
                          Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
                          Days [11-15]: 9-1 (90%)
                          Days [16-20]: 7-3 (70%)
                          Days [21-25]: 0-0

                          BOL
                          PV
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #153
                            Consistency... Great run Pitt. Keep it up
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #154
                              once again PV what can i say.....all i know is we got us a real solid core of guys here pickin winners...impressive
                              Comment
                              • pittviper
                                Restricted User
                                • 08-16-06
                                • 202

                                #155
                                Feel free to share some love with SBR points.

                                BOL
                                PV
                                Comment
                                • bodio
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-05-09
                                  • 206

                                  #156
                                  Happy B-day!
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by pittviper
                                    Feel free to share some love with SBR points.

                                    BOL
                                    PV

                                    if i followed i no doubt would my friend..thing is i dont follow....love what you are doing though...nice job and any1 who is tailing along should no doubt kick you down
                                    Comment
                                    • pittviper
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 08-16-06
                                      • 202

                                      #158
                                      2-0 day yesterday, 4-0 if you were to include the leans which I am not.
                                      *For the Northwestern game, I would bet this line all the way up to -3, so if it rises to -1.5 or -2 or -2.5 or -3, I would still bet it. Have them winning this game by 7+ points.

                                      Day 21:
                                      CBK: Northwestern -1
                                      NBA: Atlanta Hawks +1

                                      After day 20:
                                      NBA Record: 15-5 (75%)
                                      CBK Record: 17-3 (85%)
                                      Overall Record: 32-8 (80%)

                                      Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
                                      Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
                                      Days [11-15]: 9-1 (90%)
                                      Days [16-20]: 7-3 (70%)
                                      Days [21-25]: 0-0

                                      BOL
                                      PV
                                      Comment
                                      • strictlywinners
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-17-07
                                        • 3377

                                        #159
                                        Great night tonight my man, we nailed those 2, I also hit louville. Got one I would like your opinion on tomorrow if you have one. I will be hammering lasalle into the ground tomorrow.
                                        Comment
                                        • pittviper
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 08-16-06
                                          • 202

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by strictlywinners
                                          Great night tonight my man, we nailed those 2, I also hit louville. Got one I would like your opinion on tomorrow if you have one. I will be hammering lasalle into the ground tomorrow.
                                          My line says Rhode Island wins by 5 points. I really don't have any other opinion then that, that line is close to being dead on.

                                          BOL
                                          PV
                                          Comment
                                          • sorge6
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-24-10
                                            • 188

                                            #161
                                            new here. how do i give you points???? i love your picks and have made some pretty damn good money with your help.
                                            Started: 11th Feb. 2010.

                                            55-30 CBB
                                            Comment
                                            • drewdown88
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 01-02-10
                                              • 405

                                              #162
                                              Originally posted by pittviper
                                              2-0 day yesterday, 4-0 if you were to include the leans which I am not.
                                              *For the Northwestern game, I would bet this line all the way up to -3, so if it rises to -1.5 or -2 or -2.5 or -3, I would still bet it. Have them winning this game by 7+ points.

                                              Day 21:
                                              CBK: Northwestern -1
                                              NBA: Atlanta Hawks +1

                                              After day 20:
                                              NBA Record: 15-5 (75%)
                                              CBK Record: 17-3 (85%)
                                              Overall Record: 32-8 (80%)

                                              Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
                                              Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
                                              Days [11-15]: 9-1 (90%)
                                              Days [16-20]: 7-3 (70%)
                                              Days [21-25]: 0-0

                                              BOL
                                              PV
                                              Unreal man, nice work. Is it to late to hop on this gravy train. Do you bet same amount of units each day????? Much respect
                                              Comment
                                              • pittviper
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 08-16-06
                                                • 202

                                                #163
                                                Yes the same units each day. I wager 150 or 200 on every pick.

                                                Thanks guys.
                                                BOL
                                                PV
                                                Comment
                                                • southpaw74
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-21-09
                                                  • 7104

                                                  #164
                                                  Originally posted by sorge6
                                                  new here. how do i give you points???? i love your picks and have made some pretty damn good money with your help.
                                                  Welcome to sbr my friend! There are a handful of very good cappers so if you manage your money properly you can build your bankroll!! Just click on the coin of whoever you want to give points to and that's it pittviper has been great and so is lakerboy in the NBA thread. Another is mexstallion in NBA. Best of luck bro
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Regul8er
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-06-07
                                                    • 10666

                                                    #165
                                                    Glad to see you on Northwestern pittviper. I've been in a slump over my last 20 or so picks. This was my pick of the night, so hoping I can right the ship here.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • AKATDOG
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 10-31-09
                                                      • 314

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                      if i followed i no doubt would my friend..thing is i dont follow....love what you are doing though...nice job and any1 who is tailing along should no doubt kick you down
                                                      thats too bad... ive been putting small side wagers on these and parlaying them also and anyone not betting these is just ... good luck tonight pitt
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pittviper
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 08-16-06
                                                        • 202

                                                        #167
                                                        1-1 today guys. Oh well. On to tomorrow.

                                                        After day 21:
                                                        NBA Record: 15-6 (72%)
                                                        CBK Record: 18-3 (86%)
                                                        Overall Record: 33-9 (79%)

                                                        Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
                                                        Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
                                                        Days [11-15]: 9-1 (90%)
                                                        Days [16-20]: 7-3 (70%)
                                                        Days [21-25]: 1-1 (50%)

                                                        BOL
                                                        PV
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pittviper
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 08-16-06
                                                          • 202

                                                          #168
                                                          Day 22 (Wednesday):
                                                          NBA: Chicago Bulls +2
                                                          CBK: Rice -2

                                                          After day 21:
                                                          NBA Record: 15-6 (72%)
                                                          CBK Record: 18-3 (86%)
                                                          Overall Record: 33-9 (79%)

                                                          Days [1-5]: 9-1 (90%)
                                                          Days [6-10]: 7-3 (70%)
                                                          Days [11-15]: 9-1 (90%)
                                                          Days [16-20]: 7-3 (70%)
                                                          Days [21-25]: 1-1 (50%)

                                                          BOL
                                                          PV
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by AKATDOG
                                                            thats too bad... ive been putting small side wagers on these and parlaying them also and anyone not betting these is just ... good luck tonight pitt
                                                            not really as fortunately a lot of the times we are on the same games and others well i like his game i play a very selective card and my capping speaks for itself...so while yes following along i may win more but i would be betting more games than my knew selective personality can handle....im glad you have been winning with him as PV is certainly one of a handful of cappers i have great deal of respect for on this site
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ezmoney
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-26-09
                                                              • 1564

                                                              #170
                                                              Nice call on Rhode Island.

                                                              EZ
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 8badtuna
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 11-10-09
                                                                • 35

                                                                #171
                                                                i looked at the bulls schedule and noticed that they always lose atleast 2 in a row when they lose!!! they have never just lost 1 game in row this year, always atleast 2. their last game was their first loss in their last 6, so following this trend they lose atleast 1 more game before they win again.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 8badtuna
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 11-10-09
                                                                  • 35

                                                                  #172
                                                                  on the other hand...they have won their last 5 on the road
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pittviper
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 08-16-06
                                                                    • 202

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by 8badtuna
                                                                    i looked at the bulls schedule and noticed that they always lose atleast 2 in a row when they lose!!! they have never just lost 1 game in row this year, always atleast 2. their last game was their first loss in their last 6, so following this trend they lose atleast 1 more game before they win again.
                                                                    Trends were made to be broken. Thanks.

                                                                    BOL
                                                                    PV
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • southpaw74
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-21-09
                                                                      • 7104

                                                                      #174
                                                                      plus 76ers are 5-18 at home. bulls may be on B2B but they should be pissed after not being competitive against the clips of all teams!!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • pittviper
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 08-16-06
                                                                        • 202

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by southpaw74
                                                                        plus 76ers are 5-18 at home. bulls may be on B2B but they should be pissed after not being competitive against the clips of all teams!!
                                                                        Yes, B2B but not tired .. three days off before that Clippers game last night.

                                                                        BOL
                                                                        PV
                                                                        Comment
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