kentucky -2???

Glitch · 01-12-10, 05:23 AM

florida is garbage. would take a serious fluke for kentucky not to cover this....it'll probably be -3 by gametime

floridagolfer · 01-12-10, 07:37 AM

Kentucky is the better team; there's not much debate about that. But Florida has one of the best home courts anywhere; that place can be unbelievably LOUD, and I would imagine it won't take much to get the Gator faithful to pack the place tonight. That said, -2 seems like a reasonable number to lay. Kentucky has played only one true road game so far this season (Indiana), so who knows how some 19-year-olds might react in the heat of battle.

iceaxe56 · 01-12-10, 09:30 AM

take a lesson from the vols/jayhawks game---home court makes a differrence--ask oklahoma state from last night---not always the better team wins--

paste_me · 01-12-10, 09:34 AM

i think this is a clear winner.

thebestthereis · 01-12-10, 09:34 AM

You can't just favor Kentucky by 6 or 7 (which is sounds some of you think it should be) in an SEC road game vs a rival. Kentucky might win by 10 but the line is right. There will be a few runs by each team good and bad and that will determine the winner here. It is a toss up for the most part. Neutral court I would favor Kentucky by 6 or 7 but Florida's home court, like many in conference games, is never to underestimated. In the NBA it may be 3 points, but in college it can mean much much more. Some teams just don't lose at home ever but are average on the road.

southpaw74 · 01-12-10, 09:36 AM

Originally posted by iceaxe56

take a lesson from the vols/jayhawks game---home court makes a differrence--ask oklahoma state from last night---not always the better team wins--

I agree but then you have nova and LTech last night that were just as fishy and they both covered by more than 10. Good points though!!

paste_me · 01-12-10, 09:40 AM

Originally posted by southpaw74

I agree but then you have nova and LTech last night that were just as fishy and they both covered by more than 10. Good points though!!

my point exactly, i think people give home court to much credit, the worse team wins maybe about 1/25 games due to homecourt. the point is, the more determined team will win, no matter what. and kansas IMO is more determined right now cause they have more at stake

thebestthereis · 01-12-10, 09:43 AM

people that have never gone to these arenas have no idea what it is like to play a game there and win. just ask teams in the big 12 how hard it is to go manhattan kansas and beat kansas state, a team that never is in the top 10 (and gets no pub) but can beat anyone on their home court, anyone.

southpaw74 · 01-12-10, 10:10 AM

Line is on it's way...-3.5 and climbing. When is it no longer a good value?

thebestthereis · 01-12-10, 11:00 AM

One true road game for the Cats at powerhouse Indiana so far. Experienced guard play is how you win on the "real" road, just look at Nova last night. My money is on Florida in this spot.

sportsguy04 · 01-12-10, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by iceaxe56

take a lesson from the vols/jayhawks game---home court makes a differrence--ask oklahoma state from last night---not always the better team wins--

Or take a lesson from Nova/Louisville last night. The #6 team in nation was given points and came out on top. I think after the Vols/Jayhawks game, Vegas made money off that, so then the public went after Louisville because they still had the Vols/jayhawks game stuck in their head.

Snowball · 01-12-10, 11:14 AM

I plan on going Kentucky ML it's -155 now.
Confident if I lose I can make it up with a late game.

Snowball · 01-12-10, 11:15 AM

btw I lost with Duke at GT and had Kansas ML at Tennessee
I believe Kentucky is a team that the NCAA wants to keep undefeated
and do not expect the referees to favor Florida.

tylerguy02 · 01-12-10, 11:17 AM

How come Bodog will not post their lines?! I want to jump on this and a couple games before they're not a good value anymore.

sportsguy04 · 01-12-10, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by tylerguy02

How come Bodog will not post their lines?! I want to jump on this and a couple games before they're not a good value anymore.

Bodog doesnt put lines up untill 12pm EST. Sucks because by then there is not much value for lines have already changed.

thebestthereis · 01-12-10, 11:33 AM

Purposely done

tylerguy02 · 01-12-10, 11:42 AM

Yeah, I really need to switch books. I also hate that they put red boxes around games so you can't parlay or tease them.

khaden · 01-12-10, 12:06 PM

Florida is now at +3 1/2. I think the play is florida with the points---someone said it before the best team doesn't always win especially on the road. Im gonna hold out and see if i can get +4 or even +4 1/2 and im taken florida--

ukbro00 · 01-12-10, 12:30 PM

I really like Florida in this spot. Kentucky is a young team, and going on the road to Florida is not easy. The crowd will be loud and Florida can play basketball.

floridagolfer · 01-12-10, 12:38 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

people that have never gone to these arenas have no idea what it is like to play a game there and win. just ask teams in the big 12 how hard it is to go manhattan kansas and beat kansas state, a team that never is in the top 10 (and gets no pub) but can beat anyone on their home court, anyone.

But in order to make this part of your handicapping, you need to know which home courts really are an advantage. There is a night-and-day difference between playing at a place like Florida, a band box of a place where the crowd is loud and right on top of you, and any number of places where the seats are half filled and those who are there just sit on their hands for two hours. All home courts are not created equal.

thebestthereis · 01-12-10, 12:41 PM

this is EXACTLY my point floridagolfer. i have been to this arena before and lived in florida for years. ALL courts are created equal (see Hoosiers) but not ALL arenas are. there are a handful of of ON CAMPUS arenas that give a significant home court advantage that you cannot truly handicap unless you have been there.

dskibin2 · 01-12-10, 01:09 PM

Home court is definitely huge here because the place will be rocking. Kentucky has lost five straight traveling to Florida.

Florida will try to slow it down into a half court game. I think Florida is more than capable of keeping it close in a low scoring affair.

tylerguy02 · 01-12-10, 01:16 PM

They are at -4 now

Glitch · 01-12-10, 01:52 PM

in response to when does this no longer have value- i think they should be about 6 point favorites and that it just got a little risky at 4. -2 looks pretty easy tho.

GoldRush7 · 01-12-10, 02:05 PM

Kentucky

Fed_42420 · 01-12-10, 02:54 PM

Ky easy, they messed around last game. Not gonna happen tonight, they come prepared. The better team Ky will win easy tonight.

$Burm$ · 01-12-10, 03:05 PM

another example is duke @ wisconsin earlier this year...everyone on duke and wisco beat them.

DaTruth10 · 01-12-10, 03:07 PM

hate to spoil ya'lls party but if there is an upset tonight i personally believe its florida over kentucky

paste_me · 01-12-10, 10:15 PM

kentucky -2 looking real good

OverUnder · 01-12-10, 10:23 PM

Kentucky all night, John Wall for the win.

paste_me · 01-12-10, 10:27 PM

Florida might know football but they still can't dribble with the best of them

$Burm$ · 01-12-10, 10:42 PM

watch out kentucky, there comin

paste_me · 01-12-10, 10:43 PM

wow! what a come back! but John Wall was just put back in the game!

Mac4Lyfe · 01-12-10, 10:48 PM

Originally posted by paste_me

Florida might know football but they still can't dribble with the best of them

Yet they won 2 of the last 4 NCAA basketball titles... What planet did you drop in from