kentucky -2???

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  • jsmithj88
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-08
    • 3591

    #1
    kentucky -2???
    i dont follow ncaabb much but isnt kentucky clearly the better team?
    i know this is their 2nd road game and first road SEC game but florida doesnt look like they can stay with these guys.
  • Glitch
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-08-09
    • 11795

    #2
    florida is garbage. would take a serious fluke for kentucky not to cover this....it'll probably be -3 by gametime
    Comment
    • floridagolfer
      SBR MVP
      • 12-19-08
      • 2762

      #3
      Kentucky is the better team; there's not much debate about that. But Florida has one of the best home courts anywhere; that place can be unbelievably LOUD, and I would imagine it won't take much to get the Gator faithful to pack the place tonight. That said, -2 seems like a reasonable number to lay. Kentucky has played only one true road game so far this season (Indiana), so who knows how some 19-year-olds might react in the heat of battle.
      Comment
      • iceaxe56
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-26-09
        • 325

        #4
        take a lesson from the vols/jayhawks game---home court makes a differrence--ask oklahoma state from last night---not always the better team wins--
        Comment
        • paste_me
          SBR MVP
          • 11-11-09
          • 1832

          #5
          i think this is a clear winner.
          Comment
          • thebestthereis
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-01-09
            • 11459

            #6
            You can't just favor Kentucky by 6 or 7 (which is sounds some of you think it should be) in an SEC road game vs a rival. Kentucky might win by 10 but the line is right. There will be a few runs by each team good and bad and that will determine the winner here. It is a toss up for the most part. Neutral court I would favor Kentucky by 6 or 7 but Florida's home court, like many in conference games, is never to underestimated. In the NBA it may be 3 points, but in college it can mean much much more. Some teams just don't lose at home ever but are average on the road.
            Comment
            • southpaw74
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-21-09
              • 7104

              #7
              Originally posted by iceaxe56
              take a lesson from the vols/jayhawks game---home court makes a differrence--ask oklahoma state from last night---not always the better team wins--
              I agree but then you have nova and LTech last night that were just as fishy and they both covered by more than 10. Good points though!!
              Comment
              • paste_me
                SBR MVP
                • 11-11-09
                • 1832

                #8
                Originally posted by southpaw74

                I agree but then you have nova and LTech last night that were just as fishy and they both covered by more than 10. Good points though!!
                my point exactly, i think people give home court to much credit, the worse team wins maybe about 1/25 games due to homecourt. the point is, the more determined team will win, no matter what. and kansas IMO is more determined right now cause they have more at stake
                Comment
                • thebestthereis
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-01-09
                  • 11459

                  #9
                  people that have never gone to these arenas have no idea what it is like to play a game there and win. just ask teams in the big 12 how hard it is to go manhattan kansas and beat kansas state, a team that never is in the top 10 (and gets no pub) but can beat anyone on their home court, anyone.
                  Comment
                  • southpaw74
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-21-09
                    • 7104

                    #10
                    Line is on it's way...-3.5 and climbing. When is it no longer a good value?
                    Comment
                    • thebestthereis
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-01-09
                      • 11459

                      #11
                      One true road game for the Cats at powerhouse Indiana so far. Experienced guard play is how you win on the "real" road, just look at Nova last night. My money is on Florida in this spot.
                      Comment
                      • sportsguy04
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-21-08
                        • 11885

                        #12
                        Originally posted by iceaxe56
                        take a lesson from the vols/jayhawks game---home court makes a differrence--ask oklahoma state from last night---not always the better team wins--
                        Or take a lesson from Nova/Louisville last night. The #6 team in nation was given points and came out on top. I think after the Vols/Jayhawks game, Vegas made money off that, so then the public went after Louisville because they still had the Vols/jayhawks game stuck in their head.
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30076

                          #13
                          I plan on going Kentucky ML it's -155 now.
                          Confident if I lose I can make it up with a late game.
                          Comment
                          • Snowball
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-15-09
                            • 30076

                            #14
                            btw I lost with Duke at GT and had Kansas ML at Tennessee
                            I believe Kentucky is a team that the NCAA wants to keep undefeated
                            and do not expect the referees to favor Florida.
                            Comment
                            • tylerguy02
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-29-09
                              • 1987

                              #15
                              How come Bodog will not post their lines?! I want to jump on this and a couple games before they're not a good value anymore.
                              Comment
                              • sportsguy04
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-21-08
                                • 11885

                                #16
                                Originally posted by tylerguy02
                                How come Bodog will not post their lines?! I want to jump on this and a couple games before they're not a good value anymore.
                                Bodog doesnt put lines up untill 12pm EST. Sucks because by then there is not much value for lines have already changed.
                                Comment
                                • thebestthereis
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-01-09
                                  • 11459

                                  #17
                                  Purposely done
                                  Comment
                                  • tylerguy02
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-29-09
                                    • 1987

                                    #18
                                    Yeah, I really need to switch books. I also hate that they put red boxes around games so you can't parlay or tease them.
                                    Comment
                                    • khaden
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-19-09
                                      • 1864

                                      #19
                                      Florida is now at +3 1/2. I think the play is florida with the points---someone said it before the best team doesn't always win especially on the road. Im gonna hold out and see if i can get +4 or even +4 1/2 and im taken florida--
                                      Comment
                                      • ukbro00
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 04-02-07
                                        • 388

                                        #20
                                        I really like Florida in this spot. Kentucky is a young team, and going on the road to Florida is not easy. The crowd will be loud and Florida can play basketball.
                                        Comment
                                        • floridagolfer
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-19-08
                                          • 2762

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by thebestthereis
                                          people that have never gone to these arenas have no idea what it is like to play a game there and win. just ask teams in the big 12 how hard it is to go manhattan kansas and beat kansas state, a team that never is in the top 10 (and gets no pub) but can beat anyone on their home court, anyone.
                                          But in order to make this part of your handicapping, you need to know which home courts really are an advantage. There is a night-and-day difference between playing at a place like Florida, a band box of a place where the crowd is loud and right on top of you, and any number of places where the seats are half filled and those who are there just sit on their hands for two hours. All home courts are not created equal.
                                          Comment
                                          • thebestthereis
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-01-09
                                            • 11459

                                            #22
                                            this is EXACTLY my point floridagolfer. i have been to this arena before and lived in florida for years. ALL courts are created equal (see Hoosiers) but not ALL arenas are. there are a handful of of ON CAMPUS arenas that give a significant home court advantage that you cannot truly handicap unless you have been there.
                                            Comment
                                            • dskibin2
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 07-09-09
                                              • 313

                                              #23
                                              Home court is definitely huge here because the place will be rocking. Kentucky has lost five straight traveling to Florida.

                                              Florida will try to slow it down into a half court game. I think Florida is more than capable of keeping it close in a low scoring affair.
                                              Comment
                                              • tylerguy02
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-29-09
                                                • 1987

                                                #24
                                                They are at -4 now
                                                Comment
                                                • Glitch
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-08-09
                                                  • 11795

                                                  #25
                                                  in response to when does this no longer have value- i think they should be about 6 point favorites and that it just got a little risky at 4. -2 looks pretty easy tho.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GoldRush7
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-27-09
                                                    • 2014

                                                    #26
                                                    Kentucky
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Fed_42420
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-12-09
                                                      • 976

                                                      #27
                                                      Ky easy, they messed around last game. Not gonna happen tonight, they come prepared. The better team Ky will win easy tonight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • $Burm$
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 12-03-09
                                                        • 3019

                                                        #28
                                                        another example is duke @ wisconsin earlier this year...everyone on duke and wisco beat them.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DaTruth10
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-23-09
                                                          • 684

                                                          #29
                                                          hate to spoil ya'lls party but if there is an upset tonight i personally believe its florida over kentucky
                                                          Comment
                                                          • paste_me
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-11-09
                                                            • 1832

                                                            #30
                                                            kentucky -2 looking real good
                                                            Comment
                                                            • OverUnder
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-31-09
                                                              • 3126

                                                              #31
                                                              Kentucky all night, John Wall for the win.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • paste_me
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-11-09
                                                                • 1832

                                                                #32
                                                                Florida might know football but they still can't dribble with the best of them
                                                                Comment
                                                                • $Burm$
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-03-09
                                                                  • 3019

                                                                  #33
                                                                  watch out kentucky, there comin
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • paste_me
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                                    • 1832

                                                                    #34
                                                                    wow! what a come back! but John Wall was just put back in the game!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 48805

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by paste_me
                                                                      Florida might know football but they still can't dribble with the best of them
                                                                      Yet they won 2 of the last 4 NCAA basketball titles... What planet did you drop in from
                                                                      Comment
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