Leans for Monday 1/4

[Monebingmdrndhrr]

YTD 12-13

Only leans because my book hasn't released them yet but if the lines are close(got them from vegas insider) Then im going to take them.

Just starting out so my write-ups are what they are.

william mary -10.5
Should easy blow out unc wilm they just got blown out by well over 20 by vcu who w&m defeated

vcu -6.5
northeastern lost to western michigan by 15 at a neutral site and they are not as good as vcu and lost to saint mary's
by 11 on the road , vcu doesn't have to cover that much just 7, vcu has beat okla at home by 13, nevada at home by 9, richmond at home by 8, all teams better than Northeastern and by
a larger margin than these points, I don't do units just flat betting but if I did this would be at least a 3 on a 5 scale

miss st -5.5
miss has proven they can win on the road both teams are coming off a win and miss st is 3-0 ats at away games after a win
and western kentucky is 2-2 I like miss st here but at -6 or below

jacksonville st -1
they have played some decent comp close well on the road or at least better than semo(south east lou 73-77, georgia 64-67, eastern illinois 48-50)
semo lost to chat at home by 12 and eastern michigan by 10, don't think it's asking much for jack to win by 2

[Larrythelegend]

VCU

[Monebingmdrndhrr]

official card
vcu -6
W&M -9
Miss st -6 1/2
jackson -2.5

[sportsfan2009]

vcu i am waiting till tomorrow hoping the line goes down

[2daBank]

im certainly no expert on line moves sportsfan but i dont think this 1 drops...my guess if you like vcu now is the time cause it will probably rise as when i looked i told myself if i could get plus 8 i may take a shot...like i said im no line expert and have been screwed a few times last week waiting on a line i thought would go up only for it to go down 1 and me losing by 1 but i just dont see this 1 dropping and wouldnt be surprised if it hit 7 or 8 and imo at that point i would not suggest taking vcu....gl 2marro

[Monebingmdrndhrr]

Totally agree

[Maddhatter]

I'm all over VCU also. My local lines won't be out til tomorrow otherwise I'd lock it in now also. GL Mone!

[Kustac]

read through your reasons and those seemed like some good points, good luck on the plays

[2daBank]

monebing...card looks pretty solid to me.. leaning the other way on the mis st/w. ken play not sure i play it though as mis st has been playing very well...i noticed the other day you had a thread asking for Tips on capping these games and at the time nothing really popped in my head but as you move forward in to this i think you'll noticed that trends like you quoted in the mis st/w. ken game really dont hold much weight...im by no means saying your on the wrong side or trying to persuade you to change your pick as im not even sure if ill bet this game just wondering if your basing your pick mainly around a trend that imo isnt any more likely to continue than not...either way welcome aboard and gl with all your plays 2night

[Monebingmdrndhrr]

monebing...card looks pretty solid to me.. leaning the other way on the mis st/w. ken play not sure i play it though as mis st has been playing very well...i noticed the other day you had a thread asking for Tips on capping these games and at the time nothing really popped in my head but as you move forward in to this i think you'll noticed that trends like you quoted in the mis st/w. ken game really dont hold much weight...im by no means saying your on the wrong side or trying to persuade you to change your pick as im not even sure if ill bet this game just wondering if your basing your pick mainly around a trend that imo isnt any more likely to continue than not...either way welcome aboard and gl with all your plays 2night

The trend is kind of like icing on the cake. If I feel good about a pick then I run the numbers(two different systems) and if it looks good still then I look at the who they've played, how they played them, etc. The trend is just icing on the cake for a pick I was going to take already, thanks for your help bank

[andrewaxia]

Cincy ML is free money

[Monebingmdrndhrr]

Cincy ML is free money

I would have to agree The line didn't quite cut it for me But I will say the ML is cake

[2daBank]

does any1 know if the stephenson kid is a go for cincy 2night? if his ankle is ok id say cincy is solid if he cant play or is limited not sure i could play it

[Monebingmdrndhrr]

ACCORDING TO COVERS FOR THE MATCHUP TONIGHT

Cincinnati Bearcats | covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncb/injury/injuries.html#team2244 Player Status/Updated No injuries to report.

[2daBank]

right on i saw him on a injury report somewhere and also saw him roll his ankle so wasnt sure if he was going to play or not.......appreciate it

[Jerrod]

I like pitt and the points....cincy is a horrible shooting team

[2daBank]

cincy may not shoot great but they have 2 legit scorers and in a game like this(defensive war) its nice to have guys like stephenson and vaughn