Hit the OVER on a plummeting NCAA Total

[HoulihansTX]

Nevada/ E. Washington OVER 149.5

I got this at 11am Pacific, then upon returning home I see the line is still falling.

I dont understand, b/c Both of thses teams lack any Def, and Nevada especially plays a fast Tempo.


Nevada's ratings

Tempo
72.8 ( 45) 71.7 ( 71)

Offense Efficiency
109.8 ( 65) 111.4 ( 38)

Defense Efficiency
106.3 (260) 98.7 (147)


E. Washington

Tempo
72.5 ( 52) 69.4 (147)

Offense Eff.
94.5 (255) 90.1 (292)

Defense Eff.
107.0 (267) 100.3 (175)

These ratings tell me to expect more offense than Defense, and a fast pace.

All ratings are provided by http://kenpom.com/stats.php

[tylerguy02]

No NCAAB over/under yet on Bodog....This site is pissing me off!

[HoulihansTX]

Get a 5Dimes account, easy book with timely payouts.

[Wilforth]

I think the 1H Over has a better shot than the game's.

[HoulihansTX]

I think the 1H Over has a better shot than the game's.

I would hit the OVER on all the lines(1H, 2H, Game), but I already have the game for a good chunk.

[LLXC]

Wow, it's dropped 15 pts since opening line of 164.

[robmpink]

maybe that RAS is on the under or a major injury?

[BadBeatBodog]

Using Kenpom's numbers outputs a total of 147.

[HoulihansTX]

Wrong side of this one, by a mile.

[HoulihansTX]

Using Kenpom's numbers outputs a total of 147.

How did you come up with the number?

I just read the stats, and interpret the style of play from there. That is obviously flawed, and I am interested in your process.

Thank you.

[iceminers26]