The only system I will be following this season

[goblue12]

Reverse line movement under this query.

- 40% or less of all bets on Team A
- 1.5 points or more movement towards Team A

Might have a play under that query for tonight, which would be Florida International +30.5. I won't be posting picks, just keeping track of the system in this thread.

FYI, the website I am getting the data from is SportsInsights.com who updates their data every 30 minutes (with a 20 minute delay). Accounts are free, the percentages of those of the "smarter than your average bettor", and the data is reliable.

Cheers!

[Sekrah]

How'd this system do last year?

[PacmanJr_00]

above 40% now isn't it?

[cappersedge]

And Albany is very close to this correct?

[goblue12]

No, the only play at the moment is FIU +30.5

1. Line opened at +32 for FIU
2. Only 32% of all bets placed were on FIU
3. Line is currently +30.5 for FIU

Therefore, the play is FIU.

[Karayilan9]

Do you filter out high point spreads, say over -20 / +20, small line movements mean less with high spreads?

[goblue12]

UNC just got hit HARD by some late $$$. No plays under this filter tonight, but I will keep watching.

[Capybara]

RLM is the way to go, great system. But I too ask, How did it do in NCAA hoops last year? Because I lost track.

[urge2kill]

Is a 1.5 pt move an a 30 pt favorite worth the same as a 1.5 pt move on a 3 pt favorite?

[cappersedge]

UNC just got hit HARD by some late $$$. No plays under this filter tonight, but I will keep watching.

So I'm confused.... You have to wait all the way until tip off to decide if it's a play or no play?

[goblue12]

So I'm confused.... You have to wait all the way until tip off to decide if it's a play or no play?

Correct. This will be based off the opening and closing numbers. There were no plays today (probably not on Wed / Thur either) but I guarantee you that there will be a few plays every day starting on Friday. I will personally be tailing this system, probably 1 unit bets on RLM underdogs and 2 unit bets on RLM favorites seeing how around 70-75% of the time bettors tend to give the points.

[Jonah]

Seems like a good system...No one mentioned the I. Thomas factor??? Generally I like high profile Coaches not to lose their first game by 30+ points...

[goblue12]

Morehead State +17.5

[goblue12]

Valparaiso -1.5

[goblue12]

Hofstra +25.5
Wofford +15

[goblue12]

smu -1

[goblue12]

Assuming they're giving you a line better than +15.5 for the game, put a 2H bet on UL Monroe. I missed that one somehow.

In addition, Idaho +10

[goblue12]

Might not end up being a play if more action goes on Denver, but what the hell...

Denver +3.5

[goblue12]

Final card for the day (missed a few of these when trying to follow it, check Sports Insights for the plays)

Morehead State +18 (winner)
Valparaiso -1 (loser)
Samford +10 (winner)
Belmont +4.5 (winner)
UL Monroe +16 (loser)
Hofstra +25 (loser)
Wofford +15 (winner)
SMU PK (loser)
Idaho +10.5 (winner)
Denver +3.5 (loser)

YTD: 5-5 (-0.5 units)

[cappersedge]

Any Plays today?

[PacmanJr_00]

i've found rlm to be very unreliable, so far.