Below are some numbers for Friday’s college basketball action. (Man, I am so glad the season is here!!!)
The first question will be: where did the lines come from? These are my projected spreads, based on some math models and just my own “oddsmaking”. They will not be exact, but I feel very confident that most of them (especially the marquee games) will be close. Some of the 20+ point lines and some of the small mid-major vs. small mid-major games (like Arkansas-Little Rock vs. UT-Martin) can be tougher to call earlier in the year as well.
And I can’t predict what the money will do to the numbers when they get released.
But I will be kind of surprised if the majority of these numbers aren’t around a point here or there. We’ll see.
Anyway, it’s a base line. Thought it might be helpful for those other college hoops-crazed bettors out there.
Ohio State (+7.5) vs. Marquette
Indiana (-31) vs. Bryant
Michigan State (-6.5) vs. Connecticut
Minnesota (-17) vs. American
Iowa (-24.5) vs. UT-Pan Am
Illinois (-22) vs. Colgate
Louisville (-18) vs. Manhattan
Pittsburgh (-18) vs. Mt. St. Mary’s
Georgetown (+5.5) vs. Florida
Rutgers (-15) vs. St. Peter’s
Seton Hall (-14.5) vs. UM-KC
DePaul (-16.5) vs. UC-Riverside
UCLA (-12.5) vs. Indiana State
Stanford (-13) vs. San Francisco
Colorado (-11) vs. Wofford
Oregon State (-8.5) vs. Niagara
Duke (-24) vs. Georgia State
North Carolina (-22.5) vs. Gardner-Webb
N.C. State (-17) vs. Miami, OH
Miami (-16) vs. Stetson
Florida State (-14.5) vs. South Alabama
Virginia (Pk) vs. George Mason
Georgia Tech (-7) vs. Tulane
Maryland (+15) vs. Kentucky
Wake Forest (-8.5) vs. Radford
Alabama (-5) vs. South Dakota State
Tennessee (-22) vs. Kennesaw State
Mississippi (-21) vs. Miss. Valley State
Georgia (-13.5) vs. Jacksonville
Arkansas (-18) vs. Sam Houston State
Texas A&M (-6.5) vs. Louisiana Tech
LSU (-2.5) vs. UC-Santa Barbara
Mississippi State (-9.5) vs. Troy
Colorado State (-8) vs. Montana
Kansas (-25) vs. SE Missouri State
Texas (-15) vs. Fresno State
Kansas State (-19) vs. North Dakota
Baylor (-10) vs. Lehigh
Oklahoma State (-20) vs. UC-Davis
TCU (-3) vs. Cal Poly
St. Louis (-10) vs. USC-Upstate
VCU (-11) vs. UF-Gulf Coast
Richmond (-17) vs. Liberty
Fordham (+1) vs. Texas State
Creighton (-9) vs. North Texas
Bradley (-9.5) vs. Eastern Illinois
Gonzaga (-22) vs. Southern Utah
BYU (-12) vs. Tennessee State
Pepperdine (+6) vs. CS-Northridge
UTEP (-6.5) vs. Oral Roberts
Denver (-1) vs. Iona
Idaho (-5.5) vs. right State
Siena (-2) vs. Vermont
Rider (+4.5) vs. Robert Morris
Valparaiso (-11.5) vs. Georgia Southern
Toledo (-2.5) vs. Loyola-Chicago
Drexel (-4.5) vs. Kent State
Northeastern (-5) vs. Boston U.
Towson (+18) vs. Charleston
Akron (-7) vs. Coastal Carolina
UA-Little Rock (-10) vs. UT-Martin
Austin Peay (-5) vs. Samford
Morehead State (+6.5) vs. Long Island
Syracuse (-2) vs. SDSU ---- This game was moved to Sunday
I probably left some games off that have lines and some of the games that I made lines for probably won’t be available. But, again, here’s what I am basing my expectations on for Friday’s action.
Also, not really sure what the protocol here is in terms of posting this thread in different places. I posted this in Players Talk because it seemed like more people would see it and be able to use/comment on it there. But anyway. That's that.
Good luck.
The first question will be: where did the lines come from? These are my projected spreads, based on some math models and just my own “oddsmaking”. They will not be exact, but I feel very confident that most of them (especially the marquee games) will be close. Some of the 20+ point lines and some of the small mid-major vs. small mid-major games (like Arkansas-Little Rock vs. UT-Martin) can be tougher to call earlier in the year as well.
And I can’t predict what the money will do to the numbers when they get released.
But I will be kind of surprised if the majority of these numbers aren’t around a point here or there. We’ll see.
Anyway, it’s a base line. Thought it might be helpful for those other college hoops-crazed bettors out there.
Ohio State (+7.5) vs. Marquette
Indiana (-31) vs. Bryant
Michigan State (-6.5) vs. Connecticut
Minnesota (-17) vs. American
Iowa (-24.5) vs. UT-Pan Am
Illinois (-22) vs. Colgate
Louisville (-18) vs. Manhattan
Pittsburgh (-18) vs. Mt. St. Mary’s
Georgetown (+5.5) vs. Florida
Rutgers (-15) vs. St. Peter’s
Seton Hall (-14.5) vs. UM-KC
DePaul (-16.5) vs. UC-Riverside
UCLA (-12.5) vs. Indiana State
Stanford (-13) vs. San Francisco
Colorado (-11) vs. Wofford
Oregon State (-8.5) vs. Niagara
Duke (-24) vs. Georgia State
North Carolina (-22.5) vs. Gardner-Webb
N.C. State (-17) vs. Miami, OH
Miami (-16) vs. Stetson
Florida State (-14.5) vs. South Alabama
Virginia (Pk) vs. George Mason
Georgia Tech (-7) vs. Tulane
Maryland (+15) vs. Kentucky
Wake Forest (-8.5) vs. Radford
Alabama (-5) vs. South Dakota State
Tennessee (-22) vs. Kennesaw State
Mississippi (-21) vs. Miss. Valley State
Georgia (-13.5) vs. Jacksonville
Arkansas (-18) vs. Sam Houston State
Texas A&M (-6.5) vs. Louisiana Tech
LSU (-2.5) vs. UC-Santa Barbara
Mississippi State (-9.5) vs. Troy
Colorado State (-8) vs. Montana
Kansas (-25) vs. SE Missouri State
Texas (-15) vs. Fresno State
Kansas State (-19) vs. North Dakota
Baylor (-10) vs. Lehigh
Oklahoma State (-20) vs. UC-Davis
TCU (-3) vs. Cal Poly
St. Louis (-10) vs. USC-Upstate
VCU (-11) vs. UF-Gulf Coast
Richmond (-17) vs. Liberty
Fordham (+1) vs. Texas State
Creighton (-9) vs. North Texas
Bradley (-9.5) vs. Eastern Illinois
Gonzaga (-22) vs. Southern Utah
BYU (-12) vs. Tennessee State
Pepperdine (+6) vs. CS-Northridge
UTEP (-6.5) vs. Oral Roberts
Denver (-1) vs. Iona
Idaho (-5.5) vs. right State
Siena (-2) vs. Vermont
Rider (+4.5) vs. Robert Morris
Valparaiso (-11.5) vs. Georgia Southern
Toledo (-2.5) vs. Loyola-Chicago
Drexel (-4.5) vs. Kent State
Northeastern (-5) vs. Boston U.
Towson (+18) vs. Charleston
Akron (-7) vs. Coastal Carolina
UA-Little Rock (-10) vs. UT-Martin
Austin Peay (-5) vs. Samford
Morehead State (+6.5) vs. Long Island
Syracuse (-2) vs. SDSU ---- This game was moved to Sunday
I probably left some games off that have lines and some of the games that I made lines for probably won’t be available. But, again, here’s what I am basing my expectations on for Friday’s action.
Also, not really sure what the protocol here is in terms of posting this thread in different places. I posted this in Players Talk because it seemed like more people would see it and be able to use/comment on it there. But anyway. That's that.
Good luck.