******First Half Team Unders*******

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  • doubledime
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-22-09
    • 9751

    #106
    Originally posted by RacDex
    DD Do you find it difficult to accurately predict totals or sides when game stats predict certain numbers but are grossly inaccurate with mismatched teams like Marshall vs UVA? How do you adjust the numbers to account for the different styles and quality of the teams? Thanks
    That's always a tough one since each team is trying to set the tempo that they prefer. I look at Adj. Efficiency on offence and defense, Average Possession Time on off/def and FTA/FGA. I then look at Ken Pom's predicted score and multiply that by 47% to get the predicted half time total, and finally some other factors.
    Comment
    • doubledime
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-22-09
      • 9751

      #107
      owl gave doubledime 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
      agarskillet gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

      Thanks owl and agar
      Comment
      • doubledime
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-22-09
        • 9751

        #108
        First Half Team Unders:

        Yesterday: 2-2

        YTD: 61-42-3


        First Half Game Unders:

        Yesterday: 1-0

        YTD: 8-7
        Comment
        • owl
          SBR MVP
          • 12-03-09
          • 1566

          #109
          Any chance you can keep separate records for regular games vs. extra games?
          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #110
            Originally posted by owl
            Any chance you can keep separate records for regular games vs. extra games?
            When I went back to look at my posts, early on I did not always separate "Extra" games from "Regular" games when I posted the plays so it would be very difficult to give an accurate accounting. I know the Extra games did do very well early on but not as well lately. If someone wants to go back and can accurately determine which games were Extra and which were regular, please feel free to do so and I will keep separate records from that point forward.
            Comment
            • doubledime
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-22-09
              • 9751

              #111
              Points Awarded:
              owl gave doubledime 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

              Thanks owl and Happy New Year
              Comment
              • doubledime
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-22-09
                • 9751

                #112
                Good morning,


                Happy New Year everyone!!!

                First Half Team Under:

                607 CS Fuller 28.5

                Good luck
                Comment
                • owl
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-03-09
                  • 1566

                  #113
                  Originally posted by doubledime
                  Points Awarded:
                  owl gave doubledime 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
                  Same to you.
                  Thanks owl and Happy New Year
                  Same to you.
                  Comment
                  • doubledime
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-22-09
                    • 9751

                    #114
                    First Half Team Unders:

                    Yesterday: 0-1

                    YTD: 61-43-3


                    First Half Game Unders:

                    Yesterday: 0

                    YTD: 8-7
                    Comment
                    • doubledime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-22-09
                      • 9751

                      #115
                      Good morning,

                      First Half Team Unders:

                      799 N Iowa 28
                      803 Kennsaw 28
                      805 Bos 30
                      813 Laf 32.5
                      815 Maine 26
                      817 SE Louis 27
                      819 USC Upstate 26
                      821 Nic St. 34
                      825 Cen Ark 31.5
                      827 N O 28.5
                      829 McNeese St. 33

                      All but one is an Extra Game and they have not tracked well lately, so we'll see.

                      good luck
                      Comment
                      • Hman
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-04-17
                        • 21429

                        #116
                        GL tonight Double D
                        Comment
                        • doubledime
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-22-09
                          • 9751

                          #117
                          Points Awarded:
                          owl gave doubledime 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
                          Thanks owl
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #118
                            Originally posted by Hman
                            GL tonight Double D
                            Comment
                            • doubledime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-22-09
                              • 9751

                              #119
                              Good afternoon,

                              Normally, I won't post any home team first half unders because I feel that the home crowd can get the home team playing at a bit of a faster pace. I'm posting a couple of home team first half unders, but will not be counting them in my YTD stats, but rather for all of us just to see how they do. Also, I have a full game team total that I will post using the same criteria I use for the unders, but converting it to predict an over. Once again it will not go toward the YTD stats.

                              802 Valpo under 34.5
                              834 Denver under 32

                              814 Mich St. over 76 team total


                              DD
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #120
                                First Half Team Unders:

                                Yesterday: 5-7

                                YTD: 66-50-3


                                First Half Game Unders:

                                Yesterday: 0

                                YTD: 8-7
                                Comment
                                • doubledime
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-22-09
                                  • 9751

                                  #121
                                  Good morning,

                                  Here is the first round of Team Total First Half Unders:

                                  601 SM 35.5 L
                                  610 OD 35.5 W
                                  632 Mis Ten 37.5 W
                                  638 Wis Mil 35. 35 W
                                  645 Young St 35 L
                                  683 Chatt 33.5 W
                                  689 Mon 33.5 L
                                  695 Moorehd 30 W
                                  717 E W 33 W


                                  Back later

                                  Good luck
                                  Comment
                                  • doubledime
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-22-09
                                    • 9751

                                    #122
                                    Adding:

                                    First Half Team Unders:

                                    843 St. Fran NY 34.5 W
                                    856 CS Baker 33.5 L

                                    First Half Game Unders:

                                    635 FL Atl/UAB 65.5 W
                                    701 N D/O R 68 W
                                    837 Mt. St. Mary/St. Fran PA 70.5 W
                                    843 Fair Dickinson/RM 66.5 W

                                    Good luck
                                    Comment
                                    • Long_N
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 01-03-19
                                      • 40

                                      #123
                                      Hey DD big fan follow you on the hockey bets as well...

                                      just curious where do you find sites that offer the first half team under?

                                      I use 5d and Bovada and cannot find it on either site
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by Long_N
                                        Hey DD big fan follow you on the hockey bets as well...

                                        just curious where do you find sites that offer the first half team under?

                                        I use 5d and Bovada and cannot find it on either site
                                        5 Dimes has them
                                        Comment
                                        • doubledime
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-22-09
                                          • 9751

                                          #125
                                          First Half Team Unders:

                                          Yesterday: 7-4

                                          YTD: 73-54-3


                                          First Half Game Unders:

                                          Yesterday: 4-0

                                          YTD: 12-7
                                          Comment
                                          • doubledime
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-22-09
                                            • 9751

                                            #126
                                            Good morning,

                                            First Half Team Under:

                                            Eastern Mich 31.5

                                            That's it for the day.

                                            Good luck
                                            Comment
                                            • doubledime
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-22-09
                                              • 9751

                                              #127
                                              Good morning,

                                              With such a short card today, I just want to take some time and let everyone know that IMHO Ken Pom website has some of the most valuable college hoop information on the internet. I feel it's a must have for any serious handicapper. Over the years I have emailed him some questions and he always gets back to me. For $19.95 for the entire year, it's by far the best handicapping deal out there. Just my 2 cents. If anyone else uses his site, please feel free to "chime" in with your thoughts.

                                              DD
                                              Comment
                                              • RacDex
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 12-17-18
                                                • 16

                                                #128
                                                After your reply the other night DD, I decided to subscribe. There’s still a lot of info that I’m trying to process and figure out what’s useful and how to navigate around the site. Any ideas on what to pay attention to and what to ignore?
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by RacDex
                                                  After your reply the other night DD, I decided to subscribe. There’s still a lot of info that I’m trying to process and figure out what’s useful and how to navigate around the site. Any ideas on what to pay attention to and what to ignore?

                                                  If you click "Fan Match" near the top you will get all the teams matchups so you can compare them side by side. Below is the one for the Eastern Michigan game today. I look at all the factors I have highlighted in red. IMO this gives me good idea on the pace and efficiency of the team. If you have any specific questions you can email Ken and he has always returned my emails. Good luck DD


                                                  When Eastern Michigan
                                                  has the ball
                                                  Adj. Efficiency 100.8 215 96.3 57 102.7
                                                  Avg. Poss Length 18.8 323 18.3 342 17.2
                                                  Four Factors
                                                  Effective FG%: 44.3 327 47.1 60 50.6
                                                  Turnover %: 21.0 282 21.1 83 19.1
                                                  Off. Reb. %: 34.6 35 29.4 212 28.7
                                                  FTA/FGA: 24.2 331 30.3 93 33.9
                                                  Miscellaneous Components
                                                  3P%: 25.8 346 30.7 54 34.1
                                                  2P%: 47.2 262 47.6 93 50.4
                                                  FT%: 58.9 349 73.9 309 69.8
                                                  Block%: 10.2 230 13.7 37 9.3
                                                  Steal%: 11.3 334 9.4 139 8.9
                                                  Style Components
                                                  3PA/FGA:
                                                  34.1 285 36.1 109 38.7
                                                  A/FGM:
                                                  44.6 318 39.1 7 52.2
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hman
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-04-17
                                                    • 21429

                                                    #130
                                                    GL with the play
                                                    Comment
                                                    • doubledime
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                      • 9751

                                                      #131
                                                      Nomination(s):
                                                      This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: RacDex
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by Hman
                                                        GL with the play
                                                        Thanks Hman
                                                        Comment
                                                        • doubledime
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-22-09
                                                          • 9751

                                                          #133
                                                          First Half Team Unders:

                                                          Yesterday: 1-0

                                                          YTD: 74-54-3


                                                          First Half Game Unders:

                                                          Yesterday: 0
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doubledime
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-22-09
                                                            • 9751

                                                            #134
                                                            Points Awarded:
                                                            owl gave doubledime 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.

                                                            Thanks owl
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hman
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 11-04-17
                                                              • 21429

                                                              #135
                                                              Nice record
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #136
                                                                Good morning,

                                                                Here are the afternoon games.

                                                                First Half Team Unders:

                                                                631 Valpo 33 L
                                                                640 Fordam 27.5 W
                                                                642 Tow 34 W
                                                                652 Rut 30 W
                                                                753 Fairfield 37 L
                                                                761 Chatt 28.5 L
                                                                773 Morehead 33 W

                                                                First Half Game Unders:

                                                                679 FL Atl/Mid Ten St. 64 W
                                                                755 St. Pet/Monmouth 60 W
                                                                759 N Dakota/Den 68.5 L

                                                                The Extra game lines have not yet been posted and I will not be around until later this afternoon, therefore I will not post any of these games until later this afternoon.

                                                                Good luck
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cowbama
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-14-15
                                                                  • 142

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Good luck with your picks today
                                                                  Originally posted by doubledime
                                                                  Good morning,

                                                                  Here are the afternoon games.

                                                                  First Half Team Unders:

                                                                  631 Valpo 33
                                                                  640 Fordam 27.5
                                                                  642 Tow 34
                                                                  652 Rut 30
                                                                  753 Fairfield 37
                                                                  761 Chatt 28.5
                                                                  773 Morehead 33

                                                                  First Half Game Unders:

                                                                  679 FL Atl/Mid Ten St. 64
                                                                  755 St. Pet/Monmouth 60
                                                                  759 N Dakota/Den 68.5

                                                                  The Extra game lines have not yet been posted and I will not be around until later this afternoon, therefore I will not post any of these games until later this afternoon.

                                                                  Good luck
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Fabiodog
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 03-17-13
                                                                    • 319

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Think I'm gong to play Texas tech opponent under when they are at home from now on
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • doubledime
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                                      • 9751

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Adding

                                                                      First Half Team Unders;

                                                                      889 Kenn St. 28 L

                                                                      893 MD Eastern Shore 30.5 W

                                                                      First Half Game Under

                                                                      891 Beth Cook/NC Central 65 W

                                                                      Good luck
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • doubledime
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                                        • 9751

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Adding

                                                                        First Half Team Unders:

                                                                        905 N Alb 32 W

                                                                        First Half Game Under

                                                                        903 Mt. St. Mary/Rob Morris 62 W


                                                                        Good luck
                                                                        Comment
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