NBA and NCAA trend plays

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  • JTrain
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-29-13
    • 551

    #71
    718 Quinnipiac vs St. Peter's over 137 -108 for Game 2.00
    703 Dallas Mavericks +4 -103 for Game 1.25
    Comment
    • JTrain
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-29-13
      • 551

      #72
      Let's try it again

      509 Milwaukee Bucks +10½ -108 for Game 1.25
      566 Niagara vs Manhattan over 148 -108 for Game 2.00
      538 Kentucky vs Vanderbilt under 157½ -108 for Game 2.00
      544 Duke vs Florida State under 159 -108 for Game 2.00
      546 Northern Kentucky vs Wisc Green Bay under 159 -108 for Game 2.00
      724 Wichita State -16 -108 for Game 1.25
      543 Duke +2 -113 for Game 2.00
      523 Miami Ohio +8 -108 for Game 1.50
      712 Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Clippers under 209 -108 for Game 1.25

      Comment
      • JTrain
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-29-13
        • 551

        #73
        558 Arizona -16½ -108 for Game 1.25
        740 North Carolina vs Wake Forest under 164 -108 for Game 1.75
        762 NC State vs Boston College under 161½ -108 for Game 1.75
        766 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State under 159 -108 for Game 1.75
        722 Tulane vs South Florida under 139 -108 for Game 1.50
        Comment
        • JTrain
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-29-13
          • 551

          #74
          Missed the start of two games that were plays: GA and Tenn were both under plays. Oh well.

          764 Temple vs Connecticut under 128½ -108 for Game 1.50
          750 Drake +1½ -108 for Game 1.25
          761 NC State -5½ -108 for Game 1.50
          768 Fresno State vs Air Force over 146 -108 for Game 1.50
          758 Utah State vs Wyoming over 152½ -108 for Game 1.50
          I'm new to SDQL so I'll continue to find better trends.
          Comment
          • JTrain
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 09-29-13
            • 551

            #75


            Spurs -14 1.50
            608 Northern Colorado vs Montana over 144 -108 for Game 1.25
            532 William & Mary vs NC Wilmington under 162 -108 for Game 1.75
            534 Louisiana Tech vs Charlotte under 157 -108 for Game 1.75
            540 Marshall vs Middle Tennessee St under 164 -108 for Game 1.75
            556 San Francisco vs BYU under 163 -108 for Game 1.75
            582 UCLA vs Colorado under 159½ -108 for Game 1.75
            554 SMU vs Cincinnati under 126½ -108 for Game 1.50
            518 Miami Florida -3½ -108 for Game 1.50
            598 Southern Utah -3 -108 for Game 1.50
            592 Quinnipiac vs Siena over 152½ -108 for Game 1.50
            Comment
            • JTrain
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-29-13
              • 551

              #76
              Thunder under 208 1.25
              Comment
              • JTrain
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-29-13
                • 551

                #77
                Hopefully the rough patch is over. I am continuing to adjust trends and bet sizes.

                W L W% Units
                82 72 53.2% 3.9
                1 unit 1.25 units 1.5 units 1.75 units 2 units NBA CBB
                W 8 23 10 7 5 21 50
                L 7 15 12 5 6 15 43
                W% 53.3% 60.5% 45.5% 58.3% 45.5% 58.3% 53.8%
                Goal 54.5% 55.3% 56.0% 56.8% 57.5% 56.0% 56.0%
                Avg. margin: +1.92
                Goal margin: +2.00

                Close wins: 0
                Close losses: 6

                Comment
                • JTrain
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-29-13
                  • 551

                  #78
                  1.75 Basketball - 552 Hofstra vs NC Wilmington under 164 -108 for Game
                  1.75 Basketball - 566 Florida State vs North Carolina under 165 -108 for Game
                  1.75 Basketball - 626 Nevada vs Wyoming under 162 -108 for Game
                  1.75 Basketball - 636 UCLA vs Utah U under 165 -108 for Game
                  1.75 Basketball - 654 Georgia Southern vs UL Lafayette under 160 -108 for Game
                  1.25 Basketball - 590 Houston U vs Central Florida under 127 -108 for Game
                  1.5 Basketball - 622 South Florida vs Memphis under 141 -108 for Game
                  1.5 Basketball - 602 Tulsa vs Temple under 141 -108 for Game
                  1.25 Basketball - 546 New Mexico vs Colorado State over 146 -108 for Game
                  1.5 Basketball - 690 Marist vs Canisius over 156½ -108 for Game
                  1.25 Basketball - 648 Illinois State +3 -108 for Game
                  1.5 Basketball - 700 Montana State -5 -108 for Game
                  1.5 Basketball - 757 Idaho -1½ -108 for Game
                  1.5 Basketball - 694 Sacramento State vs Northern Arizona over 147 -108 for Game
                  1.5 Basketball - 756 North Dakota vs Montana over 148 -108 for Game
                  1.5 Basketball - 676 CS Fullerton vs Cal Irvine under 139½ -108 for Game
                  1.25 Basketball - 579 Akron -8 -103 for Game
                  Comment
                  • JTrain
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-29-13
                    • 551

                    #79
                    1.25 Basketball - 632 Boise State vs Fresno State over 146½ -108 for Game
                    1.25 Basketball - 584 Washington State vs California under 136 -108 for Game
                    1.25 Basketball - 678 Oregon State vs Oregon under 132 -108 for Game
                    1.25 Basketball - 502 Los Angeles Lakers vs Los Angeles Clippers under 217 -108 for Game
                    1.5 Basketball - 510 Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz under 195½ -108 for Game
                    Comment
                    • JTrain
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-29-13
                      • 551

                      #80
                      Indiana -16.5 1u
                      NC State -8.5 1.5u
                      Comment
                      • JTrain
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-29-13
                        • 551

                        #81
                        CU USC under 149.5, 1.25
                        Comment
                        • JTrain
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-29-13
                          • 551

                          #82
                          Mavs -1.5 1.5u
                          Comment
                          • JTrain
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-29-13
                            • 551

                            #83
                            3-1

                            Finished inputting all the point details. Fully updated stats:

                            W L W% Units
                            97 82 54.2% 8.1

                            1 unit
                            1.25 units 1.5 units 1.75 units 2 units NBA CBB
                            W 9 30 15 9 5 24 73
                            L 7 17 18 7 6 16 63
                            W% 56.3%
                            63.8%
                            45.5%
                            56.3%
                            45.5%
                            60.0%
                            53.7%
                            Goal 54.5% 55.3% 56.0% 56.8% 57.5% 56.0% 56.0%
                            Avg. margin: +2.90
                            Goal margin: +2.00

                            Close wins: 1
                            Close losses: 12
                            Comment
                            • JTrain
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-29-13
                              • 551

                              #84
                              Wichita St -11 vs. Evansville 1.25
                              Magic +6 vs Nuggets 1.25
                              Comment
                              • JTrain
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-29-13
                                • 551

                                #85
                                1.5u Basketball - 718 South Florida vs Central Florida under 127 for Game
                                1.25 Basketball - 714 Pittsburgh vs NC State over 158 -108 for Game
                                1.25 Basketball - 733 Miami Ohio +10 -108 for Game
                                1.25 Basketball - 725 Bowling Green +8½ -108 for Game
                                1.25 Basketball - 719 Western Michigan +7½ -108 for Game
                                1.5 Basketball - 752 Rider vs Siena over 148 -108 for Game
                                1.5 Spurs -12 vs Twolves


                                Comment
                                • JTrain
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-29-13
                                  • 551

                                  #86


                                  W L W% Units
                                  100 88 53.2% 3.3
                                  I'm adjusting the unit sizes to a more conservative curve so there will be more 1 and 1.25 unit plays moving forward.
                                  Comment
                                  • JTrain
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-29-13
                                    • 551

                                    #87
                                    552 LSU vs Auburn under 165½ -108 for Game 2.00
                                    568 Wyoming vs San Jose State over 154½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                    572 Colorado State vs Fresno State over 143 -108 for Game 1.25
                                    574 Colorado vs Washington under 155 -108 for Game 1.25
                                    513 Milwaukee Bucks +6 -103 for Game 1.00
                                    510 Orlando Magic vs New Orleans Pelicans under 210.5 1.00
                                    Comment
                                    • JTrain
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-29-13
                                      • 551

                                      #88
                                      2-4. Looked like a winning night of 3-3 but Colorado falling apart led to overtime which helped the under fall, despite being 21 points under at the end of regulation.
                                      Comment
                                      • QuantumLeap
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-22-08
                                        • 6880

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by JTrain
                                        2-4. Looked like a winning night of 3-3 but Colorado falling apart led to overtime which helped the under fall, despite being 21 points under at the end of regulation.
                                        I feel your pain. I had Washington -2 1/2. It was great when they came back and tied it up to go into OT. It was great when they went up 4 points with 5 seconds left and the Colorado guy missed the 3.

                                        Then they call a jump ball with 2.5 seconds left. Colorado in-bounds and Washington lets him get the easy layup. I understand that. But then Washington in-bounds the ball and instead of fouling the Washington guy right away, the players wrestle with the ball like they should and time runs out so I lose by 1/2 point.

                                        I keep track of all my bets. I get about 2 of these per day. Sometimes I'm on the winning side. It's just hard to go through this shit day after day. I would rather they get blown out than go through this. I would rather Colorado make the 3 pointer and lose my bet by 1 1/2 points. It's the times when the only way I can lose my bet happens that I can't take.

                                        Maybe I'm not cut out for this shit.
                                        Comment
                                        • JTrain
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-29-13
                                          • 551

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                                          I feel your pain. I had Washington -2 1/2. It was great when they came back and tied it up to go into OT. It was great when they went up 4 points with 5 seconds left and the Colorado guy missed the 3.

                                          Then they call a jump ball with 2.5 seconds left. Colorado in-bounds and Washington lets him get the easy layup. I understand that. But then Washington in-bounds the ball and instead of fouling the Washington guy right away, the players wrestle with the ball like they should and time runs out so I lose by 1/2 point.

                                          I keep track of all my bets. I get about 2 of these per day. Sometimes I'm on the winning side. It's just hard to go through this shit day after day. I would rather they get blown out than go through this. I would rather Colorado make the 3 pointer and lose my bet by 1 1/2 points. It's the times when the only way I can lose my bet happens that I can't take.

                                          Maybe I'm not cut out for this shit.
                                          Comment
                                          • JTrain
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-29-13
                                            • 551

                                            #91
                                            738 Pepperdine vs BYU under 159 -108 for Game 1.75
                                            778 Morehead State vs Austin Peay under 163½ -108 for Game 1.75
                                            740 Memphis vs Houston U under 140½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                            50067 Hartford +11½ -110 for Game 1.00
                                            50065 Binghampton +11½ -110 for Game 1.00
                                            775 Eastern Kentucky +8½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                            771 Jacksonville State +9½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                            752 Cal Santa Barbara vs Long Beach State under 142½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                            788 Northern Arizona vs Eastern Washington over 149 -108 for Game 1.25
                                            790 Northern Colorado -7½ -103 for Game 1.25
                                            793 Montana -2 -108 for Game 1.25
                                            781 Tennessee Tech +9½ -103 for Game 1.25
                                            744 California vs Oregon under 131½ -108 for Game 1.00
                                            742 Arizona vs USC under 144 -108 for Game 1.00
                                            710 Minnesota T'wolves vs Los Angeles Clippers under 208 1.00
                                            704 Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat under 198 -108 for Game 1.00
                                            Comment
                                            • JTrain
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-29-13
                                              • 551

                                              #92
                                              Youngstown under 166, 1.75
                                              Yale-Brown over 151, 1.25
                                              Jazz -5.5, 1.25


                                              Comment
                                              • JTrain
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-29-13
                                                • 551

                                                #93
                                                UNC-BC under 158, 1.75
                                                Comment
                                                • JTrain
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-29-13
                                                  • 551

                                                  #94
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 669 Texas-San Antonio +2½ -103 for Game
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 574 Wichita State -19½ -108 for Game
                                                  1.75 Basketball - 572 Marquette vs Creighton under 158 -108 for Game
                                                  1.75 Basketball - 588 Arizona vs UCLA under 159½ -108 for Game
                                                  1.75 Basketball - 594 Drexel vs NC Wilmington under 163 -108 for Game
                                                  1.75 Basketball - 642 Toledo vs Kent State under 158 -108 for Game
                                                  1.75 Basketball - 660 Wyoming vs New Mexico under 157 -108 for Game
                                                  1.75 Basketball - 668 LSU vs Arkansas under 163 -108 for Game
                                                  1.75 Basketball - 718 Murray State vs Austin Peay under 165 -108 for Game
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 672 Colorado State vs Utah State over 142
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 608 Boise State vs San Jose State over 147
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 714 Marist vs Rider over 149
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 730 Montana State vs Portland State over 164.5
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 728 Sacramento State +6
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 723 Weber State -5.5
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 726 Northern Arizona vs Idaho over 141½
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 592 Cincinnati vs Tulane under 141
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 673 Miami Florida +9½
                                                  1 Basketball - 674 Miami Florida vs Duke over 141
                                                  1.25 Basketball - 715 SIU Edwardsville +9
                                                  1 Basketball - 662 Utah U vs Washington under 156½
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JTrain
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-29-13
                                                    • 551

                                                    #95
                                                    Cavs Spurs under 211.5. 1u
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JTrain
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-29-13
                                                      • 551

                                                      #96


                                                      Duke -17, 1.75
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JTrain
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-29-13
                                                        • 551

                                                        #97
                                                        Quinn-Iona over 163, 1.25
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JTrain
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-29-13
                                                          • 551

                                                          #98
                                                          Fade me

                                                          ND -2, 1.75
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JTrain
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-29-13
                                                            • 551

                                                            #99
                                                            Basketball - 746 Arizona -24
                                                            1.25 Basketball - 542 Tulsa vs East Carolina under 129½
                                                            1.25 Basketball - 528 Connecticut vs South Florida under 128
                                                            Basketball - 50267 Hartford +5½ -110 for Game
                                                            Basketball - 50261 UMASS Lowell +10½ -110 for Game
                                                            Basketball - 570 Nevada vs Boise State over 155.5
                                                            Basketball - 506 Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets under 216½



                                                            Comment
                                                            • JTrain
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-29-13
                                                              • 551

                                                              #100
                                                              Basketball - 744 Gonzaga -27 1.75
                                                              Basketball - 734 Virginia Tech vs North Carolina under 165½ 1.50
                                                              Basketball - 734 North Carolina -15½ 1.25
                                                              Basketball - 779 Eastern Washington +6½ 1.25
                                                              Basketball - 748 Cal Poly SLO vs Cal Irvine under 132 1.25
                                                              Basketball - 708 Utah Jazz -14 -103 for Game 1.00
                                                              Basketball - 705 Phoenix Suns +6 1.00
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JTrain
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-29-13
                                                                • 551

                                                                #101
                                                                Bucks +6 1.00
                                                                Weber St -16 1.25
                                                                WiscGB-Oakland under 161 1.50
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JTrain
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-29-13
                                                                  • 551

                                                                  #102
                                                                  587 Texas State +2½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                                                  660 Loyola Marymount vs BYU under 156 -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                  704 SE Missouri St vs Austin Peay under 161½ -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                  570 NC Wilmington vs William & Mary under 168 1.00
                                                                  700 Southern Utah -1½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                                                  715 Idaho +6½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                                                  718 Sacramento State pk, -108 for Game 1.25
                                                                  545 Buffalo +7.5 1.00
                                                                  612 Boise State vs Wyoming over 157½ -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                  695 SIU Edwardsville +8.5 1.25
                                                                  505 Boston Celtics +1 -108 for Game 1.25
                                                                  504 Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat under 202½ -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                  509 Brooklyn Nets +11 -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JTrain
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-29-13
                                                                    • 551

                                                                    #103
                                                                    862 Arizona -16½ -108 for Game 1.75
                                                                    870 Cincinnati -24½ -108 for Game 1.75
                                                                    870 South Florida vs Cincinnati under 132 -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                    865 Wichita State -19 -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                    882 St. Peter's vs Iona over 135 -108 for Game 1.25
                                                                    838 Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors under 210 -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                    842 San Antonio Spurs -12½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JTrain
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-29-13
                                                                      • 551

                                                                      #104
                                                                      518 Georgia Southern vs Troy under 158 -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                      50254 Kennesaw State vs NJIT under 147½ -110 for Game 1.00
                                                                      526 Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma under 162½ -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                      532 Rider vs Canisius over 157½ -113 for Game 1.25
                                                                      535 SIU Edwardsville +18½ -108 for Game 1.25
                                                                      502 Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat under 218½ -108 for Game 1.00
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JTrain
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 09-29-13
                                                                        • 551

                                                                        #105
                                                                        St Peters over 137, 1.25
                                                                        Comment
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