Well, what looked like a 2-0 start turned into 1-1. Meltdown by Portland--up 8 with 2:30 left and they end up losing in OT.
Illinois St late late game.
Illinois St late late game.
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Comment -
Easy win for Ill St., 2-1
25-25Comment -
Basketball - 766 Wisconsin -38½ -110 for Game Basketball - 724 Utah Jazz +1½ -108 for Game Basketball - 717 Sacramento Kings +4½ -108 for Game Basketball - 708 Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers under 222 -108 for Game Basketball - 714 Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans under 206 -108 for Game Comment -
4-1
29-26
I will slowly weed out trends that don't seem to be working. The good news is that there have been more losses by 2 pts or less than wins by 2 pts or less.Comment -
Comment -
Hawks +1
Tomorrow
Wisconsin -18Comment -
Hawks played like poop tonight.
Modifying the system a bit, I will post units with the plays based on how strong I judge the trend to be. Assume each play thus far was 1 unit, with -108 juice.
29-27 (-0.1 units)
Wisconsin -18, 2 unitsComment -
W L units 30 27 1.7 Comment -
WIN 739 Marshall +12½ -108 for Game 1.25 WIN 756 Purdue -14½ -108 for Game 2.00 LOSS 724 Villanova -26½ -108 for Game 1.25 LOSS 741 Wichita State -10½ -108 for Game 1.25 WIN 757 Missouri St +4½ -108 for Game 1.25 TOMORROW 503 Boston Celtics +6 -108 for Game 1.50 TOMORROW 511 Dallas Mavericks +2½ -108 for Game 1.25 WIN 716 Minnesota T'wolves vs Denver Nuggets under 217 -108 for Game 1.25 LOSS 716 Denver Nuggets -4½ -103 for Game 1.50 WIN Spurs -14 1.75 Comment -
In addition to the 2 pending NBA plays, tomorrow we will have:
Weber St over 151 1u
SacSt over 144 1u
BYU under 148.5 1.25uComment -
First push tonight on the Celtics. I'll just count that as nothing since it has no effect on bankroll.w l p/l 38 31 6.9 Comment -
EWU-Idaho over 139.5 1uComment -
Bucks +2.5 1.25Comment -
W L W% Units 39 32 54.9% 7.0 Comment -
1.5 Basketball - 752 Washington State vs Washington under 163½ -108 for Game 1.25 Basketball - 702 Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers under 210 -108 for Game 2 Basketball - 730 Purdue -14 -108 for Game 1.25 Basketball - 720 Wichita State -25 -108 for Game 1.5 Basketball - 707 Portland Trail Blazers +5½ -108 for Game 1.25 Basketball - 708 Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota T'wolves under 209 -108 for Game Comment -
Well, Purdue didn't show up and the Pacers had one of their best games, but other than that a good night.
W L W% Units 43 34 55.8% 8.9 Comment -
1.25 Basketball - 502 New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers under 218 -108 for Game 1 Basketball - 514 Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors over 230½ -108 for Game 1.5 Basketball - 522 North Texas vs Old Dominion under 119½ -108 for Game Comment -
3-0. No nail-biters either as they all won by 10+. Wish there were more days like this.
W L W% Units 46 34 57.5% 12.4 Comment -
Good job budComment -
1.25 Basketball - 544 Wichita State -26½ -108 for Game 1.25 Basketball - 720 Arkansas vs Tennessee under 154 -108 for Game 1 Basketball - 754 West Virginia vs Texas Tech over 144 -108 for Game 1 Basketball - 750 Oklahoma vs TCU over 142 -108 for Game Comment -
in addition to wichita st. pending:
522 Georgia Tech vs Duke over 137½ -108 for Game 1.00 541 Indiana State +1½ -108 for Game 1.25 536 Auburn vs Vanderbilt under 151 -108 for Game 1.25 760 Arizona -10½ -108 for Game 1.00 516 Michigan State -13 -103 for Game 2.00 516 Rutgers vs Michigan State over 130½ -108 for Game 1.00 532 Duquesne +10½ -108 for Game 1.25 512 Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors over 223½ -108 for Game 1.00 
Comment -
Lost Indiana State in overtime.
Wichita St. was up 51-16 right before half. They end up winning by 25 (which would have been a push if the line was played today).
Comment -
6-2, so close to a sweep
W L W% Units 53 38 58.2% 15.5 Comment -
800 Southern Utah vs Northern Colorado over 157½ -108 for Game 1.00 802 Montana State vs Eastern Washington over 156 -108 for Game 1.00 715 San Antonio Spurs -8 -108 for Game 1.75
Comment -
Not great night bob
W L W% Units 54 41 56.8% 14.1 Comment -
504 Houston Rockets vs Orlando Magic under 224½ -108 for Game 1.25 516 Los Angeles Clippers vs Sacramento Kings over 211½ -108 for Game 1.25 512 Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers under 214 -108 for Game 1.75 514 Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors over 215 -108 for Game 1.00
Comment -
W L W% Units 56 43 56.6% 13.2 1 unit 1.25 units 1.5 units 1.75 units 2 units W 7 12 3 2 3 L 6 7 1 1 1 W% 53.8% 63.2% 75.0% 66.7% 75.0% Comment -
Huge slate of college games
864 Arizona -12 -108 for Game 1.00 739 Massachusetts +10½ -108 for Game 1.25 846 Villanova -12 -103 for Game 1.25 865 Cal Poly SLO +7 -108 for Game 1.25 869 Hawaii +11½ -108 for Game 1.25 781 Hofstra +6 -108 for Game 1.25 783 So Illinois +8½ -108 for Game 1.25 891 SIU Edwardsville +10 -103 for Game 1.50 909 Austin Peay +10½ -108 for Game 1.50 911 SE Missouri St +14 -108 for Game 1.50 915 Tennessee Martin +8 -108 for Game 1.50 860 Pacific vs BYU under 148½ -108 for Game 1.25 764 St. John's vs Xavier over 149½ -108 for Game 1.25 826 Charlotte vs Marshall under 186 -108 for Game 1.50 838 Texas-San Antonio vs Louisiana Tech under 136½ -108 for Game 1.50 768 Oregon State vs Washington under 145 -108 for Game 1.50 832 Vanderbilt vs Alabama under 132 -108 for Game 1.25 856 Arkansas vs Kentucky under 167½ -108 for Game 1.25 
Comment -
704 New Orleans Pelicans vs Boston Celtics under 213½ -108 for Game 1.25 714 San Antonio Spurs -11 -113 for Game 1.75 Comment -
Rough night continuing a rough patch. I will be doing some more analysis and tweaking the system to hopefully improve the winning percentage. We're still above water and +10.4 units in one month.
W L W% Units 64 53 54.7% 10.4 Note: Records for unit sizes are only tallied after I started to differentiate them.1 unit 1.25 units 1.5 units 1.75 units 2 units NBA CBB W 7 16 6 3 3 17 47 L 7 12 5 1 1 14 36 W% 50.0% 57.1% 54.5% 75.0% 75.0% 54.8% 56.6%
Of the games I've gone back and calculated margin, there were no very close wins (1.5 pts or less) and 3 very close losses. You expect those to even out in the long term, so that's good news.
Average margin of victory for all games was 2.65.
The goals for the season (through April 12) are now:
Overall: 56.00%
1.00 unit: 54.50%
1.25 units: 55.25%
1.50 units: 56.00%
1.75 units: 56.75%
2.00 units: 57.50%
Units: +35 ($3500 profit for $100 unit size)
Average margin: 2.0
I will try to update in detail every 2-3 weeks.Comment -
Found a few new trends tonight and took out a few of the current weaker ones.Comment -
what was the trendsComment -
542 Wake Forest vs Virginia over 130½ -108 for Game 1.00 505 Washington Wizards +1 -108 for Game 1.25 531 Wichita State -10½ -108 for Game 1.25 Comment -
Adding Virginia -11.5, 2 unitsComment -
4-0
W L W% Units 68 53 56.2% 15.4 Comment