The run starts now (TPowell NCAAB Season Picks)

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  • TPowell
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-21-08
    • 18842

    #36
    My numbers don't support it but I think Wake and Clemson both cover again today. PG is out for Xavier again and they looked lost yesterday without him. Clemson is THE sleeper in the ACC IMO.
    Comment
    • TPowell
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-21-08
      • 18842

      #37
      Clemson +3 (-120) $30 to win $25


      I'm biting on this. Xavier has had a couple close calls against teams much worse than Clemson and they are without their star PG. My 2 worries are Clemson beating them up on the boards and turning them over, but Clemson has taken care of the ball really well to start the year and did so last year as well. If Xavier can't get a bunch of extra possessions somehow, Clemson WILL win this game.
      Comment
      • TPowell
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-21-08
        • 18842

        #38
        WOW, favorite play of the year. What are they thinking? 1 big UCF win and they are somewhat good? They have 8 scholarship guys eligible to play and 1 is hurt and he averaged 12 PPG last year. New coach is Johnny Dawkins against a solid Charleston team that is AT HOME? I WILL add more to this if this line drops lower

        Charleston -5.5 (-103) $41.20 to win $40
        Comment
        • trillz
          SBR MVP
          • 03-02-16
          • 1668

          #39
          Awful no call on Xavier there. Not justifying the flagrant but come on
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #40
            Strange stuff, Macura was 2-14 from 3 coming into this game (shot just 35% last year) and is 5-8 from 3 today. Didn't see that one coming. Clemson has taken care of business pretty well with TO's and rebounding from what could have happened but still down late.
            Comment
            • TPowell
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-21-08
              • 18842

              #41
              Wow they cut it to 3 and then go full retard. Give up 6 points on next 3 trips and miss 4 FT's
              Comment
              • TPowell
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-21-08
                • 18842

                #42
                Kid is 6-11 from 3 now. Biggest 3 of the game right there to move it from 6 to 9 with 2 mins left
                Comment
                • slickwatts
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 09-15-11
                  • 49

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                  Yo this team is special man, I'll argue its better than our national title squad a few years back just younger. Not sure who's gonna leave early, but with these 4 recruits coming next year, it will be our strongest roster I can remember.
                  Looking in hindsite you have to hate that de-commit by Frankie Hughes because that would've been your 3 point ace.
                  Comment
                  • TPowell
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-21-08
                    • 18842

                    #44
                    Originally posted by slickwatts
                    Looking in hindsite you have to hate that de-commit by Frankie Hughes because that would've been your 3 point ace.
                    Nah, he certainly wouldn't be playing over the starters. He may have been a rotation guy but we still have Hicks who was an All Ivy guy as a FR or something like that. I'd like to have him though. He saw the writing on the wall that he wouldn't get any time this year though unfortunately. All about the kids growing up and that is typically what happens at UL. Some kids just don't want to sit the bench early on
                    Comment
                    • TPowell
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-21-08
                      • 18842

                      #45
                      Middle Tennessee State -6.5 (-110) $38.50 to win $35
                      Belmont -5.5 (-110) $38.50 to win $35
                      Comment
                      • TPowell
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-21-08
                        • 18842

                        #46
                        UTEP about to win SU and cash to go 1-1 on the day. Pitt down 11 at half. 5-0 run to end half in like 30 secs was a killer. Adding this one and James Madison later. Unless Arlington is completely dead, they should cover this one. Skill level is very close, just depends on how much they have in the tank


                        UT Arlington +12 (-105) $38.50 to win $35
                        Comment
                        • TPowell
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-21-08
                          • 18842

                          #47
                          Little heat check here

                          Delaware +4.5 (-110) $27.50 to win $25
                          Comment
                          • TPowell
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-21-08
                            • 18842

                            #48
                            I like Delaware this season. First year coach is scary early in the season but he's pushing the right buttons so far. This game should be very slow paced as both teams don't want to run. Delaware grinded Bradley into fine dust earlier this season and cost us some cash. They won by double digits on the road in that game. They followed that up by going to La Salle and leading 27-26 at the half. La Salle is a solid team and MUCH MUCH better than Miami is. In fact, I'd wager La Salle would be a 12 point + favorite on a neutral court against Miami. Delaware did give up the lead quickly and swiftly and La Salle was up 13 going into the last 10 mins of the game but they made a charge to finish and lost by only 6 points. This game SHOUD be in the 60's. The total looks too high but I don't play those.
                            Comment
                            • TPowell
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-21-08
                              • 18842

                              #49
                              I leaned towards Michigan and Boise State. So far my leans have been awful though lol. Would have lost WF earlier if I played it.
                              Comment
                              • TPowell
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-21-08
                                • 18842

                                #50
                                Delaware up 12-7 only a little over 5 mins into the game. THAT is why I don't play totals
                                Comment
                                • TPowell
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-21-08
                                  • 18842

                                  #51
                                  James Madison +2 (-105) $31.50 to win $30
                                  Comment
                                  • TPowell
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-21-08
                                    • 18842

                                    #52
                                    HATE losing games like this Duquesne game. Have -3.5 and it isn't enough even though line ended at 6.5/7. Duquesne dominates game, winning turnover and rebounding battle, gets to the FT line a ton more but only shoot 65%. Duquesne shoots 4-17 from 3 and Canisius shoots 13-26 from 3. Still right down to the wire and Canisius wins by 1 on a buzzer beater. Oh well, Duquesne was easily the right side here at my price. With average shooting from both teams, the game is probably easily a double digit game. Keep on trucking!
                                    Comment
                                    • TPowell
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-21-08
                                      • 18842

                                      #53
                                      Gonna sting when Arky comes back and covers this. Up 11 at half and getting 12 but not gonna be enough. Arky 2H was only -9.5. Should have went for a middle. UT Arlington is starting to gas IMO
                                      Comment
                                      • TPowell
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-21-08
                                        • 18842

                                        #54
                                        Tie game with under 4 mins left and now fighting to cover +12
                                        Comment
                                        • TPowell
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-21-08
                                          • 18842

                                          #55
                                          Charleston -4.5 2H (+100) $20 to win $20
                                          Comment
                                          • TPowell
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-21-08
                                            • 18842

                                            #56
                                            NCAAB: 32-38 -$210.95


                                            Got some back with a decent day but of course we end on shit with Charleston and James Madison. Still a profitable day which has been hard to come by lately. Card doesn't look that great for tomorrow right now but they should add these tourny games in later on. Hopefully we get some value there
                                            Comment
                                            • TPowell
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-21-08
                                              • 18842

                                              #57
                                              Don't see my Green Bay play from yesterday. Line moved against me so I will post it.

                                              GB +1 -115 $34.50 $30.00
                                              EVANS -1.5 -105 $26.25 $25.00
                                              Comment
                                              • TPowell
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-21-08
                                                • 18842

                                                #58
                                                NT -3.5 -115 $40.25 $35.00
                                                UNC WILM -4.5 -115 $40.25 $35.00


                                                Forgot to post these openers. Should have hit Clemson at +2. Hopefully it goes back down goes to PK at some point.
                                                Comment
                                                • TPowell
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-21-08
                                                  • 18842

                                                  #59
                                                  ncaab: 34-40 $223.95


                                                  apsu +5 -110 $ 38.50 $ 35.00
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TPowell
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-21-08
                                                    • 18842

                                                    #60
                                                    I have Austin Peay +5 -110 for 35 if it hasn't been refunded. Saw it was a PK at Pinny and +5 at 5D when I went to bed so I took the +5. Looking now to see
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TPowell
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-21-08
                                                      • 18842

                                                      #61
                                                      Small play on two bad teams playing 3rd game in 3 days. Going with the dog that plays at a much slower pace


                                                      FIU +3 -102 $25.50 $25.00
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TPowell
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-21-08
                                                        • 18842

                                                        #62
                                                        utep +5.5 -110 $ 38.50 $ 35.00
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TPowell
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-21-08
                                                          • 18842

                                                          #63
                                                          gb +4 -110 $38.50 $35.00
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TPowell
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-21-08
                                                            • 18842

                                                            #64
                                                            Austin Peay up 14. Bet I don't get paid though. Didn't know it was a bad line when I took it though. There was a +5 at 5D and a PK at Pinny I think. Weird that no other books had it up yet.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TPowell
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-21-08
                                                              • 18842

                                                              #65
                                                              11/20/2016 8:00 PM Reduced Basketball 577 Iona* +12½ -102 vs Nevada
                                                              Risking $30.60 To Win $30.00
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TPowell
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-21-08
                                                                • 18842

                                                                #66
                                                                HOF -5 -110 $38.50 $35.00
                                                                SAC ST +4 -110 $38.50 $35.00




                                                                Sick I wasnt at computer for openers today. Sac State was at +6 at the open. Game should be a PK at worst IMO. Game is in Sactown but NOT on campus. Gave Sac State a little boost (enough to make them a PK). People reading too much into the beatings they got from Colorado and Nebraska. It was 3 point game at the half in the Nebraska game and then Nebraska just blew them out.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TPowell
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-21-08
                                                                  • 18842

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Nevada on 17-6 to start 2H (still 13 mins left). Iona was up 10 at half and getting 12.5. Guess we'll be sweating out our "break-even" game for the night unfortunately
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TPowell
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-21-08
                                                                    • 18842

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I just can't put this shit into words anymore. Its like I'm getting better than even money on a confirmed legitimate coin and I just keep losing money somehow. Starting to think the best thing to do is to increase my wagers and let it go. I'm so positive that I'm right a ton more than I'm wrong despite the results. Take today for example.

                                                                    WINNERS

                                                                    APSU and Green Bay win SU as 5 and 4 point dogs. Green Bay won by a ton.
                                                                    UNC Wilmington is ahead by 5 or more the ENTIRE second half (I had -4.5)

                                                                    LOSERS

                                                                    Iona blows a ridiculously easy cover by losing the second half by 25 points (lose by 2.5 points on late FT's)
                                                                    FIU NEVER trails by more than 3 until 45 seconds left and they lose by 5 (I had +3)
                                                                    UTEP NEVER trails by more than 3 until 3 mins left and never trails by more than 5 until 23 secs left (I had +5.5)
                                                                    North Texas got blown the penetrate out. Bad bet


                                                                    ONE bad bet out of 7 plays and I'm left trying to figure out what went wrong and why I went 3-4
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TPowell
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-21-08
                                                                      • 18842

                                                                      #69
                                                                      ncaab: 37-44 -$253.80
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TPowell
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-21-08
                                                                        • 18842

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Should have hit OSU last night at -1.5. I made it -3 and Gilbert for UConn is out. Not sure why I didn't pull the trigger. Up to 4 now so too much to lay IMO. I think they could kill them though.
                                                                        Comment
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