My apologies to anyone who was expecting a pick in my Friday night TGTBT thread. I only post these for input and then if we find something we like I post the pick. I didn't want to force things because these TGTBT games don't seem to work with the small schools, because there's not enough money bet on them to trap (IMO).
I thought I would post some of the things I look for. Generally I look for 2 teams that are uneven in one area and look at the line to see if it's TGTBT for the team that has the better angle in that area. I then bet the other team because I think the linesmaker is setting a trap.
Things to look for:
1.) Good overall record vs. Bad overall record
If a team with a good record is playing a team with a bad record and the line looks too good for the good record team then consider betting on the bad record team.
2.) Good home record vs. Bad away record
If a team with a good home record is playing a team with a bad away record and the line looks too good for the good home record team then consider betting on the bad away record team.
Example: Utah beating USC in LA
3.) Good recent record vs. Bad recent record
I put a lot of emphasis on this. Use the same criteria as mentioned above. I put a lot more emphasis if the team has either won or lost a very public game. The Public will remember a big win and put too much importance on it as well as vice versa.
These are by no means the only criteria one should use.
Thanks to everyone who has contributed to this fun system. Now let's get the money!
I thought I would post some of the things I look for. Generally I look for 2 teams that are uneven in one area and look at the line to see if it's TGTBT for the team that has the better angle in that area. I then bet the other team because I think the linesmaker is setting a trap.
Things to look for:
1.) Good overall record vs. Bad overall record
If a team with a good record is playing a team with a bad record and the line looks too good for the good record team then consider betting on the bad record team.
2.) Good home record vs. Bad away record
If a team with a good home record is playing a team with a bad away record and the line looks too good for the good home record team then consider betting on the bad away record team.
Example: Utah beating USC in LA
3.) Good recent record vs. Bad recent record
I put a lot of emphasis on this. Use the same criteria as mentioned above. I put a lot more emphasis if the team has either won or lost a very public game. The Public will remember a big win and put too much importance on it as well as vice versa.
These are by no means the only criteria one should use.
Thanks to everyone who has contributed to this fun system. Now let's get the money!
