Okie St/Kansas total went from 143 1/2 to 135 1/2

funnyb25 · 02-15-16, 08:25 PM

Yes, the under got hit very hard

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 08:28 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

Yes, the under got hit very hard

The only thing I'm seeing is that both teams have been going under mostly.

funnyb25 · 02-15-16, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by QuantumLeap

The only thing I'm seeing is that both teams have been going under mostly.

Oddsmakers knew that before they released that 143.5 line though... i dunno man..

BigDofBA · 02-15-16, 08:57 PM

Someone will probably middle this.

I always like the over after it drops this much.

People that hit the under late when this happen always seem to lose.

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

Oddsmakers knew that before they released that 143.5 line though... i dunno man..

That's true. I was thinking that's why bettors are taking the under, causing the line to go down.

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 08:59 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Someone will probably middle this.

I always like the over after it drops this much.

People that hit the under late when this happen always seem to lose.

That's exactly what I was thinking.

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 09:03 PM

I just put some on the over 135 1/2 in a revenge game at home for Kansas.

stevenash · 02-15-16, 09:08 PM

Fairfield / Marist total in the game that just finished, same thing.
Marist high scorer, second in the MAAC in scoring was a 'late scratch'

No he wasn't, he's been hurt all week, any bozo who follows the MAAC knows there was no way he was going to start.
Yet that total got slammed before tip. Easy money there.

I got 138.5 in this Kansas game, still think it goes over 140, over for me.

stevenash · 02-15-16, 09:09 PM

Originally posted by QuantumLeap

That's exactly what I was thinking.

Yeah !

BigDofBA · 02-15-16, 09:14 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Fairfield / Marist total in the game that just finished, same thing.
Marist high scorer, second in the MAAC in scoring was a 'late scratch'

No he wasn't, he's been hurt all week, any bozo who follows the MAAC knows there was no way he was going to start.
Yet that total got slammed before tip. Easy money there.

I got 138.5 in this Kansas game, still think it goes over 140, over for me.

You get it.

I had Marist despite people pounding Fairfield and the under.

Early line moves are more important than line moves 10 minutes before the game.

Vegas knew he was doubtful when the line was set. The public found out when they were placing bets today and followed the sheep to he slaughter.

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 09:14 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Fairfield / Marist total in the game that just finished, same thing.
Marist high scorer, second in the MAAC in scoring was a 'late scratch'

No he wasn't, he's been hurt all week, any bozo who follows the MAAC knows there was no way he was going to start.
Yet that total got slammed before tip. Easy money there.

I got 138.5 in this Kansas game, still think it goes over 140, over for me.

149. Nice call!

Similarly in this game, Kansas' top 2 scorers are out but that's been known for awhile.

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 09:15 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Yeah !

Pace by Kansas is quick. Okie State hitting their 3's. I hope this keeps up.

stevenash · 02-15-16, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by QuantumLeap

149. Nice call!

Similarly in this game, Kansas' top 2 scorers are out but that's been known for awhile.

Thanks, I live within walking distance from the campus here in Fairfield Ct. I know this team, they can't cover big numbers as a fave, and they sure as hell can't cover big total spreads either.

Love Syd though, classy coach

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 09:24 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Thanks, I live within walking distance from the campus here in Fairfield Ct. I know this team, they can't cover big numbers as a fave, and they sure as hell can't cover big total spreads either.

Love Syd though, classy coach

Thanks for the tip. I put that in my notes.

stevenash · 02-15-16, 09:27 PM

^
Stags play a pretty good defense.
I almost crapped myself when I saw 157.5 was available at 5:00pm

BigDofBA · 02-15-16, 09:33 PM

Blistering pace...

stevenash · 02-15-16, 09:42 PM

Brent is on KU

BigDofBA · 02-15-16, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Brent is on KU

No doubt.

He seems more relaxed now that KU ha built a lead.

No coincidences · 02-15-16, 09:51 PM

If you faded this kind of line movement on a regular basis, you'd make a shit ton of money.

No coincidences · 02-15-16, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Blistering pace...

Completely predictable given the violent line movement.

drfunkmaster · 02-15-16, 09:52 PM

its going over.

BigDofBA · 02-15-16, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Completely predictable given the violent line movement.

I posted this on page one.

I took the first half over based on experience seeing this kind of thing. Had it lost, I would have chased second half.

There is such thing as too much movement.

This total moved too much. Watch the middle hit.

No coincidences · 02-15-16, 09:58 PM

Originally posted by drfunkmaster

its going over.

Ya think? LOL. Live O/U is 154.5.

stevenash · 02-15-16, 09:58 PM

81 first half.
I'll take that 8 days a week.

BigDofBA · 02-15-16, 09:59 PM

First half over cashes for me......by 18 points. Lol

Too bad I didn't bet more on this but hindsight is 20/20 in this hobby.

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 10:00 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

81 first half.
I'll take that 8 days a week.

Only 55 points needed in the 2nd. Let's get this one!

No coincidences · 02-15-16, 10:00 PM

Not to mention, both teams have gone under a ton this year.

Total no-brainer.

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

If you faded this kind of line movement on a regular basis, you'd make a shit ton of money.

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 10:04 PM

Anyone for over 74.5 for the 2nd half?

PorkChop · 02-15-16, 10:07 PM

And sitting now at a comfy 156.6

stevenash · 02-15-16, 10:18 PM

SBR board doing work tonight and sharp as a tack.
Everyone is on the same page.
Refreshing, refreshing indeed.

QuantumLeap · 02-15-16, 10:53 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

SBR board doing work tonight and sharp as a tack.
Everyone is on the same page.
Refreshing, refreshing indeed.

Yep. Thanks to everyone who contributed. Isn't this fun??? This is why we gamble. Sure beats watching some NatGeo show about humpback whales.

Thanks especially to BigDofBA for talking me into taking the over. It's nice to get confirmation that someone else is thinking the same thing I am. I may not have pulled the trigger.

See you guys tomorrow night. I have some homework on tomorrow's games to do.

BigDofBA · 02-16-16, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by QuantumLeap

Thanks especially to BigDofBA for talking me into taking the over. It's nice to get confirmation that someone else is thinking the same thing I am. I may not have pulled the trigger.

No problem man. This is what this board should be about. Instead there are a lot of losers and trolls that get off on people losing or there are people that post plays for no reason at all that lose consistently.

I've been doing this for about 8-9 years now. I'm not going to claim I'm great at sportsbetting but I've learned a thing or two from experience.

Sometimes it's not logical to play a side and your head tells you no. The best advice I can give you is to listen to your gut. When someone posts a "lock", fade it for one unit. When someone post "free money" plays, fade it for one unit....

When a line moves this much and everyone and their dog follows the movement, fade it for one unit based on principal. Its like the wolf leading the sheep to the slaughter.

Literally doing those three things on a consistent basis yields profit...I swear. My problem is I need action. I'm not trying to do this for a living so I don't mind the action.

brutalbeat · 02-16-16, 02:09 AM

Never had a chance to stay under. Dudes who pounded it lost their ass on that bet