I like a few different games tonight. Trying to figure out if I'm gonna do a chase or flat bet them..
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#50
2/18 Thurs
UConn -2, -120, 2u
William & Mary -3, -110, 1u
Comment
Louisvillekid1
SBR Aristocracy
10-17-07
52143
#51
Nice lines
get it
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#52
adding:
Wiscy/MSU Ov135, -120, 1u
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#53
Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
Nice lines
get it
Yeah, I jumped on W&M earlier this afternoon. Saw it had moved to -4 by time I posted but it looks like it's not gonna matter either way.
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#54
2/18 Thurs
UConn -2, -120, 2u
William & Mary -3, -110, 1u (W)
Wiscy/MSU Ov135, -120, 1u
D: 1-0 (+1.0u)
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#55
There's 3 more games that I'm looking at but I'm waiting to see what happens with UConn before I decide how I'm gonna play them.
Comment
Louisvillekid1
SBR Aristocracy
10-17-07
52143
#56
Originally posted by jandek
There's 3 more games that I'm looking at but I'm waiting to see what happens with UConn before I decide how I'm gonna play them.
dont understand this philosophy, but looks like you attack each night individually...
I can't relate cuz i make fun of touts that claim profit but minimize their plays, "yeah im 60% but i already hit my monthly limit...
but to each their own...
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#57
MSU is jumping all over Wiscy early.. Now I wish I woulda laid the -9.5.. Dammit. I love MSU but hate the premium you have to pay when you take them. I feel like MSU gets another 2 or 3 pts from Vegas on every line just because they're MSU. I hate playing teasers but MSU -5.5 with Over 131 woulda been sweet. Oh well. MSU should put at least 75 at Wiscy at home so I just need to pray that Wiscy finds a way to get 60.
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#58
Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
dont understand this philosophy, but looks like you attack each night individually...
I can't relate cuz i make fun of touts that claim profit but minimize their plays, "yeah im 60% but i already hit my monthly limit...
but to each their own...
That's exactly it. I just try and make at least 1u every single night.
For the longest time I used to flat bet 1-3% because that's what basic money management is all about. Even though I would still come out ahead on the season, I was making less and less money because my win percentage was decreasing every year. I barely break .500 anymore. So in order for me to continue making a profit, I started doing Martindale chases this season. I know it's dumb and incredibly risky, but so far it has worked better than I could have ever dreamed. I'm up 30+ units on the season and I'm barely above .500 winning percentage wise.
To be totally honest, if I was as good as you are at picking games, I would never do it this way. It can get scary in a hurry. Since I moved my season thread over here, I think the biggest bet I had to make was like 6.7u (I play $50 units). But before I moved the thread over here, I had several 10u+ bets because that's where the chase took me. Risking $500+ on a random NCAAB game is fukcing crazy for someone like me LOL.
I'm sticking with it though. It's working for me so far. I guess if I start winning games at a higher percentage again I'll go back to flat betting. I've been on a tear lately but I'm usually nowhere near this good.
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#59
Originally posted by jandek
2/18 Thurs
UConn -2, -120, 2u
William & Mary -3, -110, 1u (W)
Wiscy/MSU Ov135, -120, 1u
D: 1-0 (+1.0u)
This over looks like total garbage.. Really need UConn to pull ahead here. SMU has been neck and neck with them the entire time!
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#60
2/18 Thurs
UConn -2, -120, 2u (W)
William & Mary -3, -110, 1u (W)
Wiscy/MSU Ov135, -120, 1u
D: 2-0 (+3.0u)
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#61
adding:
Washington +2, -110, 0.5u
updated:
2/18 Thurs
UConn -2, -120, 2u (W)
William & Mary -3, -110, 1u (W)
Wiscy/MSU Ov135, -120, 1u
Washington +2, -110, 0.5u
D: 2-0 (+3.0u)
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#62
2/18 Thurs
UConn -2, -120, 2u (W)
William & Mary -3, -110, 1u (W)
Wiscy/MSU Ov135, -120, 1u (L)
Washington +2, -110, 0.5u
D: 2-1 (+1.8u)
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#63
Still can't believe that MSU game went under.. I just did not see Wiscy holding MSU to anything less than 75 points.. Crazy
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#64
2/18 Thurs
UConn -2, -120, 2u (W)
William & Mary -3, -110, 1u (W)
Wiscy/MSU Ov135, -120, 1u (L)
Washington +2, -110, 0.5u (L)
D: 2-2 (+1.25u)
YTD: 48-41-1 (+32.89u)
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#65
2/19 Fri
Princeton -2, -130, .5u
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#66
2/19 Fri
Princeton -2, -130, .5u (W)
D: 1-0 (+0.5u)
YTD: 49-41-1 (+33.39u)
Comment
jandek
SBR Sharp
01-24-16
253
#67
I have put together a 13-5-1 run since Feb 1. Over this run, we've gained +11.25u.
We gotta finish the month STRONG. Keep pushing. Appreciate everyone's feedback.