Lkid1's Plays

iloseagain · 05-25-16, 11:17 PM

Originally posted by SFGiants93

I got another tennis play for the morning. Lost the 1st one I posted but I keep trying.

Tennis - 8156 N. Almagro -1½ -130 for Game

all i can get is almagro -4.5 -105

what does this even mean?

funnyb25 · 05-25-16, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

all i can get is almagro -4.5 -105

what does this even mean?

total games won

SFGiants93 · 05-25-16, 11:36 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

all i can get is almagro -4.5 -105

what does this even mean?

You're looking at games. My bet is sets. So, it's Almagro -1.5 sets. The match is best 3 of 5 sets, so Almagro must win without losing more than 1 set.

funnyb25 · 05-25-16, 11:45 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

I now have officially 40 soccer plays posted in this thread....YTD: 26-13-1

Thursday 5/26: Spain - Segunda - Real Zaragoza vs. Huesca 2pm EST

I think we are getting a very favorable price here with the decent sized + money. Huesca has scored 8 goals in their last 4 matches and 6 goals in their last 2 home matches. Real Zaragoza has scored 5 goals in their last 4 games and 5 goals in their last 4 road matches.

H2H between these two have yielded 17 goals in their last 5 H2H matches = 3.4 goals per match past 5.

Must win attitude for Zaragoza as they need to move up the table with 3 matches to play to make the playoffs for La Liga. Huesca has won 4 of their last 5 moving them above relegation zone. I look for this to be a lot more offensive than the juice indicates.

Thursday 5/26 Play: Spain Segunda Division 2pm EST kickoff

Real Zaragoza vs. Huesca OVER 2.5 +125 $50 ---> $62.50 (half unit play)

BOL to anyone who tails....lets keep it rolling!

here is the wager....

STRAIGHT BET

05/26/2016 @ 11:00 AM

SOC

[29683] TOTAL o2.5 +125
(REAL ZARAGOZA vrs SD HUESCA)

50.00

62.50

Remember...the 11am start time is due to me being on the West Coast....2pm EST..

SFGiants93 · 05-25-16, 11:48 PM

I'm going to go a little safer with more juice.

Soccer - 16028 Huesca/Zaragoza over 2,2½ -111 for Game

iloseagain · 05-25-16, 11:51 PM

Originally posted by SFGiants93

You're looking at games. My bet is sets. So, it's Almagro -1.5 sets. The match is best 3 of 5 sets, so Almagro must win without losing more than 1 set.

gotcha.. would you take this play at -105? The -4.5

SFGiants93 · 05-25-16, 11:59 PM

Originally posted by iloseagain

gotcha.. would you take this play at -105? The -4.5

Almagro -4.5 games is not a bad bet but games are a little tricky cause sometimes 1 player loses a set badly like 6-1 and that's 5 games in 1 set. For example: Almagro wins 7-6,1-6,6-4,6-3 but he would lose the bet cause he only won by 1 game more than his opponent.

Or, he could win like this. 4-6,4-6,6-1,6-3,6-2. He could almost lose the match but come back and win the bet cause he won by 8 games in this scenario.

It's really hard to tell exactly how a match could go. My reason for betting Almagro is that he was a top 10 caliber player on clay a couple years ago before he got injured. It's taken him a long time but he is almost back to form now. He recently just won a clay court tournament and just beat Kohlschreiber who is ranked 26th in the world.

spicollifcfd · 05-26-16, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by SFGiants93

Almagro -4.5 games is not a bad bet but games are a little tricky cause sometimes 1 player loses a set badly like 6-1 and that's 5 games in 1 set. For example: Almagro wins 7-6,1-6,6-4,6-3 but he would lose the bet cause he only won by 1 game more than his opponent.

Or, he could win like this. 4-6,4-6,6-1,6-3,6-2. He could almost lose the match but come back and win the bet cause he won by 8 games in this scenario.

It's really hard to tell exactly how a match could go. My reason for betting Almagro is that he was a top 10 caliber player on clay a couple years ago before he got injured. It's taken him a long time but he is almost back to form now. He recently just won a clay court tournament and just beat Kohlschreiber who is ranked 26th in the world.

Almagro ml -225? Is the juice worth the squeeze? Thanks for any insight

iloseagain · 05-26-16, 12:20 AM

hmm ok thanks for the info.. i am going to do something stupid and take some random bets. Some dogs that may have a shot.. Here we go

Bedene +315
Tomic +345
Tomic +6.5 -130
Vesely +4.5 -125
Sousa -125

I have no idea what im doing. Prob a nice way to lose a few bucks. Ill wake up and find out how i did.

GL on your bet. I ended up taking the other guy, but we can both cash here. Thanks again for the info

SFGiants93 · 05-26-16, 12:23 AM

Originally posted by spicollifcfd

Almagro ml -225? Is the juice worth the squeeze? Thanks for any insight

Maybe I would use the play on a parlay. Not a big bet.

SFGiants93 · 05-26-16, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

hmm ok thanks for the info.. i am going to do something stupid and take some random bets. Some dogs that may have a shot.. Here we go

Bedene +315
Tomic +345
Tomic +6.5 -130
Vesely +4.5 -125
Sousa -125

I have no idea what im doing. Prob a nice way to lose a few bucks. Ill wake up and find out how i did.

GL on your bet. I ended up taking the other guy, but we can both cash here. Thanks again for the info

Reason Tomic is getting such great line is because his had some recent injuries and supposedly his not in form.
Vesely is playing Almagro.
Sousa is playing Gulbis who is a headcase. He could be really good at times and really bad at times.
Bedene, I don't know much about.

spicollifcfd · 05-26-16, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by SFGiants93

Maybe I would use the play on a parlay. Not a big bet.

I'm not touching now went to -360 in the time it took u to write back. GL I think your on the right side

iloseagain · 05-26-16, 12:34 AM

Originally posted by spicollifcfd

I'm not touching now went to -360 in the time it took u to write back. GL I think your on the right side

Almagro did? Im showing -240 which is what he was at before. Can you confirm this? I will take the -240 now if it really jumped that high in your book

SFGiants93 · 05-26-16, 12:38 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

Almagro did? Im showing -240 which is what he was at before. Can you confirm this? I will take the -240 now if it really jumped that high in your book

It's still -240 in my book. It's also -4, not -4.5 in my book.

iloseagain · 05-26-16, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by SFGiants93

It's still -240 in my book. It's also -4, not -4.5 in my book.

hmmm i wonder if im on the right side here... I took the other guy +4.5 because i was betting with the juice. It was -125. Whenever i bet agaist the juice, i seem to lose, so i might as well bet with the juice this time.

spicollifcfd · 05-26-16, 12:44 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

hmmm i wonder if im on the right side here... I took the other guy +4.5 because i was betting with the juice. It was -125. Whenever i bet agaist the juice, i seem to lose, so i might as well bet with the juice this time.

now it's back to -230 wtf

kinstigator · 05-26-16, 07:18 AM

Tsonga -7 (-105)
Zverev -5 (-104)
Ferrer/Monaco Under 35½ (-110)

100 to win 600

ATLIEN6 · 05-26-16, 08:23 AM

Stack you checked out these Denmark games at all?

iloseagain · 05-26-16, 09:47 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

hmm ok thanks for the info.. i am going to do something stupid and take some random bets. Some dogs that may have a shot.. Here we go

Bedene +315
Tomic +345
Tomic +6.5 -130
Vesely +4.5 -125
Sousa -125

I have no idea what im doing. Prob a nice way to lose a few bucks. Ill wake up and find out how i did.

GL on your bet. I ended up taking the other guy, but we can both cash here. Thanks again for the info

Wow i hit Bedene +315
tomic +6.5 cash
Tomic +345 lost
sousa lost
vesely still goin

LBallday · 05-26-16, 09:49 AM

If any of you Soccer Guru's are bored. Would appreciate some help with this UEFA EURO bracket

Swingman · 05-26-16, 09:52 AM

Talk to me boys.. been on the road, haven't had time to really cap anything last few days. Heading to the Bahamas this weekend, going to hit the tables, want some extra cash by the time I get there. What's on the slate for today?

ATLIEN6 · 05-26-16, 10:10 AM

As of right now, the only thing i have going is a Finland game that starts in 22 minutes. HJK/HIFK over 2.5 , that is a lean tho so i would not advise you to play it honestly. Could hit...could not? Besides that i have a Denmark Superliga around 2 pm Aalborg/Midtjylland o2.5 , same as bet before just a lean. Do your due diligence. I will say that in an hour or so i should have a really good fukkin tip on a game, i dont know what game it is yet because the guy is studying the numbers and watching the money come in but i will post it when i get it.

It will be anywhere from 5 to 30 minutes before the KO tho so stay tuned

iloseagain · 05-26-16, 10:14 AM

^^^ keep us updated i missed that last one alcorcon or whatever

survive · 05-26-16, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by LBallday

If any of you Soccer Guru's are bored. Would appreciate some help with this UEFA EURO bracket

Group A should be chalk. France is the heavy favorite to finish at the top with Switzerland advancing. Romania likely 3rd and Albania finishing last.

Group B is a bit more interesting. England should be the heavy favorite to finish at the top, no surprise. Russia on paper should advance but I really wouldn't be surprised if Wales or Slovakia pulled off the upset. This should be a competitive group IMO

Can get to the remaining 4 groups later if anyone is interested

ATLIEN6 · 05-26-16, 10:27 AM

The play is HJK ML in Finland

ATLIEN6 · 05-26-16, 10:28 AM

penetrate sorry, i just got that shit 2 minutes ago n had to plug it in to all my books, Line is juice as penetrate at -193

84.4% of bets were placed on HJK, 7.2 million apparently. Line shot up for me in the last hour i looked at the shit but didnt know thats what he was gonna play

hopefully some of you got it in time

ATLIEN6 · 05-26-16, 10:33 AM

Holy fukk, GOAL! 1-0 HJK 4' into match...i swear you can not make this shit up

iloseagain · 05-26-16, 10:35 AM

fukk man.. missed it

ATLIEN6 · 05-26-16, 10:36 AM

...

ATLIEN6 · 05-26-16, 10:40 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

fukk man.. missed it

its tied i would try to buy it live if possible

EDIT: NVM

2-1 HJK

bang that over

iloseagain · 05-26-16, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by ATLIEN6

its tied i would try to buy it live if possible

no live line for me.. no worries. jus tell that dude to post that shit earlier next time haha.. do you not want to post the link to his site so we can look for ourselves?

SFGiants93 · 05-26-16, 10:47 AM

Almagro wins in straight sets. Nice start to the day. Here are 2 plays I really like today. Looking to go 2-0 in the evening

Hockey - 50362 Pittsburgh Penguins (ALT) -1 -123 for Game

Basketball - 720 Golden State Warriors -7 -115 for Game

ATLIEN6 · 05-26-16, 10:49 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

no live line for me.. no worries. jus tell that dude to post that shit earlier next time haha.. do you not want to post the link to his site so we can look for ourselves?

Naw i dont give a fukk. Its on twitter. @mephobia8

He will only post like 10 minutes until game time, he follows the money and alot of times large amounts of cash will come in at the last minute giving an indicator to the right side. I can't really explain it just go look through his stuff n you will see

iloseagain · 05-26-16, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by ATLIEN6

Naw i dont give a fukk. Its on twitter. @mephobia8

He will only post like 10 minutes until game time, he follows the money and alot of times large amounts of cash will come in at the last minute giving an indicator to the right side. I can't really explain it just go look through his stuff n you will see

thanks.. looks like he at least tells you that he will have a play in 3-4 hours or whatever and says which game so you know what to look out for.. easy enough

ATLIEN6 · 05-26-16, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by iloseagain

thanks.. looks like he at least tells you that he will have a play in 3-4 hours or whatever and says which game so you know what to look out for.. easy enough

Turn on notifications and it will notify you instantly when he posts if you have iphone etc