NCAAB Computer Model Totals Experiment plays!

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  • jordanft19
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-12-15
    • 673

    #211
    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
    Good work man
    Thanks man!
    Comment
    • jordanft19
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-12-15
      • 673

      #212
      #TheQuestFor10-0 haha would be nice
      Comment
      • Louisvillekid1
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-17-07
        • 52143

        #213
        Care to pm about how your model is designed? It's just a model spitting out plays correct?

        Or are you capping the games also?

        Stop by my thread anytime
        Comment
        • jordanft19
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-12-15
          • 673

          #214
          I run data through the system such as turnovers, pace of play, FGA and % FG for and % FTA % FT for and % PPG e.t.c. and it gives me a total number, I just pick out the numbers that have the biggest discrepancies and they become my plays. It took quite a bit of time building it. Sure i'll check out your thread man, looks good!
          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
          Care to pm about how your model is designed? It's just a model spitting out plays correct?

          Or are you capping the games also?

          Stop by my thread anytime
          Comment
          • KingHawkins
            SBR MVP
            • 04-18-13
            • 1311

            #215
            Going to tail on Depaul, now at 140. Public is heavy on the over in this game, I will side with your model, and the books.

            I am a little torn on the Georgetown game. I'm undecided as to whether I am tailing that one too. Definitely not taking the over though.
            Comment
            • jordanft19
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-12-15
              • 673

              #216
              No early Wednesday games unfortunately.
              Comment
              • jordanft19
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-12-15
                • 673

                #217
                Well I do have one lean but i wouldn't advise you play on it unless you have other information that leads in the same direction. It would be Over 141 Ole Miss-Missouri
                Comment
                • intangible fate
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-27-08
                  • 193

                  #218
                  Originally posted by jordanft19
                  Well I do have one lean but i wouldn't advise you play on it unless you have other information that leads in the same direction. It would be Over 141 Ole Miss-Missouri
                  Just started following; Appreciate all the hard work!

                  Bama tends to speed it up on the road but the line is dropping (139.5 at some books).
                  Comment
                  • jordanft19
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-12-15
                    • 673

                    #219
                    71 first half points for Georgetown-Butler, can afford 74 or less. Not looking good but the streaks gotta end eventually, just hoping it wins!
                    Comment
                    • jordanft19
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-12-15
                      • 673

                      #220
                      8-0 run ends. Georgetown-Butler goes over the total unfortunately, still one more game
                      Comment
                      • jordanft19
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-12-15
                        • 673

                        #221
                        Alright 76 points at halftime, need at least 62 for a win (61 push). Looking very good right now!
                        Comment
                        • jordanft19
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-12-15
                          • 673

                          #222
                          1-1 Day

                          So the run ends at 8-0, a meh day overall, but hey it's only 2 picks. No plays tomorrow, but hopefully i'll get some more for early Thursday!

                          Record to date: 161-121-2 (57.09%)



                          Record on thread: 53-42-1 (55.79%)
                          Comment
                          • jordanft19
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-12-15
                            • 673

                            #223
                            Early Thursday plays:

                            1. Over 146 VMI-East tennessee State
                            2. Over 133 Tulsa-Temple


                            Also lean on the over 134.5 Fullerton UC Davis game
                            Comment
                            • jordanft19
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-12-15
                              • 673

                              #224
                              Surprised the line moved down for VMI-East Tennessee State, was expecting the exact opposite effect. Meh, doesn't always work my way lol
                              Comment
                              • jordanft19
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-12-15
                                • 673

                                #225
                                There may not be early Friday plays because the card looks very small, hopefully there's at least one
                                Comment
                                • jordanft19
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-12-15
                                  • 673

                                  #226
                                  Bit of a ballsy parlay I made today:

                                  Ticket#:3090911
                                  Mar 05 11:59 PM
                                  Feb 27 06:00 PM
                                  Feb 27 05:00 PM
                                  Feb 06 09:30 PM
                                  Feb 04 09:05 PM
                                  Feb 04 07:00 PM
                                  Feb 04 08:15 PM
                                  Feb 04 04:35 PM MU
                                  MU
                                  MU
                                  MU
                                  CBB
                                  CBB
                                  CBB
                                  PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
                                  [6742] CONOR MCGREGOR -120
                                  (RAFAEL DOS ANJOS vrs CONOR MCGREGOR)
                                  [5191] ANDERSON SILVA -320
                                  (ANDERSON SILVA vrs MICHAEL BISPING)
                                  [5034] TOM BREESE -1050
                                  (KEITA NAKAMURA vrs TOM BREESE)
                                  [5083] MISHA CIRKUNOV -920
                                  (MISHA CIRKUNOV vrs ALEX NICHOLSON)
                                  [766] UTEP +110
                                  [783] TOTAL o143½-110
                                  (EAST TENNESSEE STATE vrs VIRGINIA MILITARY)
                                  [756] ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK -1300
                                  138.00 / 1602.89
                                  Comment
                                  • jordanft19
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-12-15
                                    • 673

                                    #227
                                    Wouldn't put actual money on it because I don't expect it to hit which is why I only risked points lol
                                    Comment
                                    • jordanft19
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-12-15
                                      • 673

                                      #228
                                      Early Friday plays:

                                      1. Under 165.5 Fairfield-Monmouth

                                      2. Over 167.5 Iona-Canisius
                                      Comment
                                      • jordanft19
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-12-15
                                        • 673

                                        #229
                                        In case anyone is wondering about my stats for Individual overs and unders on this thread I am:

                                        19-9-1 (67.86%) on Overs

                                        34-33 (50.75%) on Unders

                                        So very good on Overs, and kinda crappy on Unders.
                                        Comment
                                        • jordanft19
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-12-15
                                          • 673

                                          #230
                                          I will also add this record in under my other two records, for those interested in stat tracking lol
                                          Comment
                                          • jordanft19
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-12-15
                                            • 673

                                            #231
                                            So sorry for short notice but there are two more plays today:

                                            3. Over 162.5 Northern Kentucky-Green Bay

                                            4. Under 130.5 Cincinnati-South Florida


                                            5.
                                            Comment
                                            • jordanft19
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-12-15
                                              • 673

                                              #232
                                              Sorry "5." shouldn't be there
                                              Comment
                                              • jordanft19
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-12-15
                                                • 673

                                                #233
                                                Dang wtf all these teams are ass, Temple tulsa go without a point in the last 1 min 50 seconds and VMI just shooting bricks things better turn around
                                                Comment
                                                • jordanft19
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 09-12-15
                                                  • 673

                                                  #234
                                                  Ahhh VMI doesn't cover there goesy parlay oh well lol
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jordanft19
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-12-15
                                                    • 673

                                                    #235
                                                    goes my*
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jordanft19
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-12-15
                                                      • 673

                                                      #236
                                                      2-2 Day,

                                                      Over's prediction record today: 2-1

                                                      Under's prediction record today: 0-1

                                                      Record to date: 163-123-2 (56.99%)


                                                      Record on thread: 55-44-1 (55.56%)

                                                      Thread Overs record: 21-10-1 (67.74%)

                                                      Thread Unders record: 34-34 (50%)


                                                      Maybe you guys should just follow my overs, I think that's where the money is at with my picks mostly lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jordanft19
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-12-15
                                                        • 673

                                                        #237
                                                        Early Sat plays:

                                                        1. Under 142 Texas A&M-South Carolina

                                                        2. Under 148 Butler-St Johns

                                                        3. Over 156 Green Bay-Wright State

                                                        4. Under 144.5 Milwaukee-Northern Kentucky

                                                        5. Over 146.5 Santa Clara-San Francisco

                                                        6. Over 138 VMI-Western Carolina

                                                        7. Under 169.5 Citadel-Mercer
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jordanft19
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-12-15
                                                          • 673

                                                          #238
                                                          I apologize for being late on getting -110 for Over 138 VMI-Western Carolina, this is a pretty strong play however, so id advise AH to Over 138.5 if you can. I'm hesitant to put 2 units on anything but its up to you. You can lay the juice if you want
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jordanft19
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-12-15
                                                            • 673

                                                            #239
                                                            1-1 Day,

                                                            Over's prediction record today: 0-1

                                                            Under's prediction record today: 1-0

                                                            Record to date: 164-124-2 (56.94%)


                                                            Record on thread: 56-45-1 (55.45%)

                                                            Thread Overs record: 21-11-1 (65.63%)

                                                            Thread Unders record: 35-34 (50.72%)


                                                            Another 50% day, but tomorrow is a big day so lets get a rebound!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jordanft19
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-12-15
                                                              • 673

                                                              #240
                                                              Early Sunday:

                                                              1. Under 137.5 SMU-South Florida

                                                              2. Over 145.5 Iona-Niagara

                                                              3. Under 149 Manhattan-Fairfield
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jordanft19
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-12-15
                                                                • 673

                                                                #241
                                                                Not a good day... one more play to go though
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jordanft19
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-12-15
                                                                  • 673

                                                                  #242
                                                                  3-4 Day,

                                                                  Unfortunately, not the day we were hoping for. Not much I can say except let's get winners for Sunday!

                                                                  Over's prediction record today: 1-2

                                                                  Under's prediction record today: 2-2

                                                                  Record to date: 167-128-2 (56.61%)


                                                                  Record on thread: 59-49-1 (54.63%)

                                                                  Thread Overs record: 22-13-1 (62.86%)

                                                                  Thread Unders record: 37-36 (50.68%)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jordanft19
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 09-12-15
                                                                    • 673

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Who fukkin fouls when they are down by 8 with only 9 seconds to go? You really think you're going to win Manhattan smh really? Stupid backdoor
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jordanft19
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-12-15
                                                                      • 673

                                                                      #244
                                                                      0-3 Day,

                                                                      Not a good day! Bull*hit backdoor at the end of the Manhattan game. Ill be back posting tomorrow late afternoonish Eastern Time.

                                                                      Over's prediction record today: 0-1

                                                                      Under's prediction record today: 0-2

                                                                      Record to date: 167-131-2 (56.04%)


                                                                      Record on thread: 59-52-1 (53.15%)

                                                                      Thread Overs record: 22-14-1 (61.11%)

                                                                      Thread Unders record: 37-38 (49.33%)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jordanft19
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 09-12-15
                                                                        • 673

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Monday picks:

                                                                        1. Under 176.5 Citadel-Samford

                                                                        2. Over 146.5 Duke-Louisville

                                                                        3. Over 136.5 VMI-Wofford


                                                                        I'll be back at the regular time for any early Tuesday picks
                                                                        Comment
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