NCAA Bracket Hedge Strategy

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  • Mongo927
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-30-12
    • 202

    #1
    NCAA Bracket Hedge Strategy
    Hey guys - haven't posted on here in a while, but I need some help and thought this would be the best place to come.

    I'm currently in a NCAA March Madness bracket pool and have a chance to win $2,500 on a $20 entry. In order to win, I would need the following:

    Duke over Michigan State
    Wisconsin over Kentucky
    Wisconsin over Duke

    If any other outcome occurs, I walk away with nothing, so I'm looking for a way to hedge. Ideally, I would like to guarantee myself around $1,000 if I get to final with both Duke and Wisconsin in it, which I would be able to do with a simple hedge bet on Duke (assuming they would be an underdog if Wisconsin knocks off Kentucky).

    However, I would like to guarantee some profit regardless of the Final Four outcomes, but I'm having some trouble thinking of what to do that would make the most sense. My biggest dilemma is obviously the Wisconsin-Kentucky game. My hedge is on Kentucky, but they're such a large favorite that I would have to risk a large amount on them.

    I'm open to any suggestions and appreciate any help. Thanks!
  • Mongo927
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-30-12
    • 202

    #2
    Anyone have any ideas?
    Comment
    • DOM_Toretto
      Restricted User
      • 01-28-13
      • 9035

      #3
      Odds of exact championship matchup:

      UK - Duke -110
      UK - MSU +300
      Wiscy - MSU +700
      Comment
      • DOM_Toretto
        Restricted User
        • 01-28-13
        • 9035

        #4
        Or maybe bet MSU ML against Duke, and also bet the UK-Duke matchup at -110.
        Comment
        • Mongo927
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-30-12
          • 202

          #5
          Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
          Or maybe bet MSU ML against Duke, and also bet the UK-Duke matchup at -110.
          This definitely isn't a bad idea. How much would you think I need to bet on each?
          Comment
          • Hu$tle
            SBR MVP
            • 03-31-15
            • 1365

            #6
            If I were you I would let the Duke ride. If that loses I believe your bet deserves to lose.

            Hedge: UK - Duke -110

            Comment
            • Luv2Play2
              SBR MVP
              • 12-24-10
              • 2461

              #7
              the bitch of it is as like many other hedges your stuck on ml dog.. sure the fav pays less to win, but the buy out to the dog + points is far cheaper.. fuc the dogs.. gl hope you win,,L2P2
              Comment
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