Early look @ 2/21 Super Saturday card

[DOM_Toretto]

Let's be honest, nobody should be betting this Friday night card in college hoops. Tomorrow has a deep slate of games with tournament implications.

I've been seeing good discussion lately between THam, LT, the Eddy's, leet, etc. Lines aren't out yet so let's start the discussion early, break down games without line bias, and react accordingly when lines are released later tonight.

This is the time of year where lines makers and I start seeing things differently.

Kansas should bounce back and roll past TCU. The rebounding advantage, home crowd, intensity could mean a 20pt+ blowout win. I'm thinking I'm verrry comfortable with Kansas up to -11.

Arizona doesn't truely convince me, but they do much more than UCLA does. Line belongs in the Arizona -8-11 range.

UNC-5 vs Ga Tech. GT plays close games but should be crippled by tar heels rebounding.

UNI -14 vs Bradley - or more?

Xavier should be a live dog at home vs ranked Butler. 2-4 seems about right.

St Johns should beat seton hall by 5 or 6... Does Gibbs' absence enlarge the spread?

ODU getting ~3 points feels like a live dog at home vs LTU.

Does UC Davis get revenge vs Hawaii? Are the 2 Rainbow starters healthy or no?

How big does Gonzaga win at SMC by - 7 or 8?

[rocky9995]

Xavier will b -4 at least tomorrow. And they should win easily. Maybe the best bet if the day. Seton hall likely will be plus 8-10. Gibbs is too good to play the hall without him. Don't underate tcu too much. They have a lot of size and depth

[chipshipley]

ESPN scoreboard has lines up so ill just go by them for early looks.
Syracuse -4 vs Pitt I like Cuse in this one. I wish they would have lost to Lou then the spread may have been a point or two lower I think this will be close through out though.
UNC is -13
Teaxas AM +3.5 @ SCar- Gotta like Texas am here getting 3.5
Xavier -4.5 - Id say the bookmakers tipped their hand on this one
UNI -18 is about right
UC Davis -6 is a no brainer
ORST -3 vs Colorado- Big game for these two if ORST can shoot more than 3% FG like they did against the Utes they should take this one they have a very good home court adv.

[DOM_Toretto]

Early lines are listed on SBR Odds page.

These ones seem pretty close to what I expected:
I like St Johns -7.5 vs Seton Hall
Potential in UNI -18 vs Bradley
I really like Gonzaga -7.5 @ SMC
Arizona -14 vs UCLA
Kansas -13 vs TCU

Xavier is actually -4.5 and ODU is -2.... Was hoping they'd be dogs but I like both to win and likely cover.

These ones seem pretty far off to me:
UNC -13 vs GTech
Wisconsin -14.5 vs Minnesota
OkState -3.5 vs west va
Think there's value in all three dogs there.

[drfunkmaster]

after the way hawaii played last night, UC davis is gonna roll.

[DOM_Toretto]

Chip I think you're right on oregon state being a good side.

UC Davis a 'no brainer' - do you know if those two Hawaii starters will be playing? Also kinda scared of those two 6'11" bigs they got, both named Stefan I think and both similar last names?

[DOM_Toretto]

Ok so far I've narrowed my Saturday leans down to 12 games:

Xavier -4
Minnesota +14.5
West Va +5.5
Villanova -10.5
ODU -1
UNI -17
KU -12
GW +5.5
EWU +2
UC Davis -5.5
Gonzaga -6
Oregon State -3.5

Any thoughts, insight, discussion welcome!

[mrlif1]

keep central michigan 1h on your radar. revenge, last team ball st beat was cmu jan 10th. i dont care about the kamink-whatever kid for ball st possibly coming back. -7 is what it will prob be, but if they fukk around with -6.5 to open, ill be on it.

[chipshipley]

Im not too high on Hawaii and UC Davis has been rolling lately. They also have a good home court if they shoot like they have been they should roll.Hawkins reminds me of Steph Curry when he was at Davidson kid is a stud. didn't see anything on Hawaii guys yet .

[mrlif1]

Teaxas AM +3.5 @ SCar- Gotta like Texas am here getting 3.5

if you were gonna bet it, hope you did. line moved two points already.

[chipshipley]

if you were gonna bet it, hope you did. line moved two points already.

Ive been using a local lines don't come out until 10 am that sucks i think TexAM should win though

[mrlif1]

10am?! you miss all the 9am games? preposterous.

[chipshipley]

no 9am games here I'm on the east coast..
During the haltime show of this Clev st game they are talking about a bunch of the games we brought up. Xavier, Pitt, TexAM on who needs to win tomorrow

[DOM_Toretto]

10am?! you miss all the 9am games? preposterous.

East coast - west coast confusion?

Here in Detroit games don't start til noon. But I like to get bets in as early as 8am or as late as 11am. I always gotta research on Fridays because when I wake up hungover Saturday not all of my brain cells are there.

[mrlif1]

ah east coast folk. sucks you guys gotta wait all day, but its also awesome youre in a bar at 1am and there is live sport on. i love breakfast and live college ball on saturdays.

[EDDIE MONEY LINE]

I'm cold as sin right now. Need as much guidance as possible. Like Oregon st even tho they fukd me hard last night. G tech. Minnesota a lot

[GoBlue77]

I'm cold as sin right now. Need as much guidance as possible. Like Oregon st even tho they fukd me hard last night. G tech. Minnesota a lot

then quit betting on garbage teams

[EDDIE MONEY LINE]

Ya that's been a problem. Luckily I haven't had a losing week in months. I've been just doubling up until I hit. Hahahaha just threw a missile on Utah Jazz that landed so I'm only down 272 for the week now. Got some work to do tomorrow. Who u looking at Blue?

[RavensFan2k3]

ah east coast folk. sucks you guys gotta wait all day, but its also awesome youre in a bar at 1am and there is live sport on. i love breakfast and live college ball on saturdays.

I always wondered what sport watching culture was like on the west coast...breakfast and college football nice lol