Lucky1's Hoops wk#15

[Lucky1g]

New week. Updated season numbers:

overall college hoops record: 176-162-3 52.1% (dime players $+2,900)

sides: 143-134-3 52%
totals: 33-28 54%

**top rated plays this season: 14-10-1 58% (count as double wagers)
**top rated plays since 2011 season: 64-37 63.4%

Be back in here late this afternoon. A month ago I was down about 20k on the season...going back 4+seasons with all top rated plays hitting better then 63% is really special. That's just not easy to do over the course of 100plays....the February conferance play system I use has been cranking them out now 12-1 92% run with them...to start my week 15 thread plus money is a great feeling. Let's see if I can keep the momentum going and the bankroll growing...
all the best

[Lucky1g]

Rest of card posted later...just locked this anticipating a move down to 3.

New Mexico+4

[2daBank]

damn, i was holding out hope it might get to 5 at some point. 4 outta work, just feels like a gm where every point worth 2, lol.

[southpaw74]

Rest of card posted later...just locked this anticipating a move down to 3.

New Mexico+4

Yup...already 3.5 at my book. Good luck today

[jihadvillager]

down to 2.5 most places. Appreciate the early post !

[2daBank]

down to 2.5 most places. Appreciate the early post !

that a huge move when you talking bout a gm that might not crack 100. like i said it almost as every point double the value it would be in a gm even played in the 120s. havnt even looked at total but im assuming it is south of 115.

[bestone109]

I agree at 4 was going to play new Mexico but it moved quickly so I laid off as I think it's right around 4

[tigertom]

111

[2daBank]

111

sounds bout right.. think kenpom has it less than 110, lol.. i honestly had a hard time figuring out how the hell lobos were gonna break 50, dont think it out of the question they could be held to 50 and cover, lol..

[2daBank]

I agree at 4 was going to play new Mexico but it moved quickly so I laid off as I think it's right around 4

i really wanted 5, i was telling someone early this morning i didnt trust them enough to take less than the number i had in mind. so if it never hits 5 it wont be on my card... helped me a great deal a few years back when i learned there nothing wrong with passing, well the actual passing wasnt what was hard initially, it was days after i passed on winners that took some disciplining of my mind to come to terms with that not being a bad thing.. obviously i pass on losers too but just like bad beats are easy to remember and lucky breaks easy to forget ya gotta keep reminding yourself, lol... ultimately tho ive learned that if i have doubts id rather pass and it cashing than playing a gm that i was totally confident in and losing when i knew i was ignoring the things i didnt like (really hope this one of those i passed on a winner, ill be happy for lucky and everyone else on it and wont think twice that i passed).. shit a process!

[LakeShow]

i really wanted 5, i was telling someone early this morning i didnt trust them enough to take less than the number i had in mind. so if it never hits 5 it wont be on my card... helped me a great deal a few years back when i learned there nothing wrong with passing, well the actual passing wasnt what was hard initially, it was days after i passed on winners that took some disciplining of my mind to come to terms with that not being a bad thing.. obviously i pass on losers too but just like bad beats are easy to remember and lucky breaks easy to forget ya gotta keep reminding yourself, lol... ultimately tho ive learned that if i have doubts id rather pass and it cashing than playing a gm that i was totally confident in and losing when i knew i was ignoring the things i didnt like (really hope this one of those i passed on a winner, ill be happy for lucky and everyone else on it and wont think twice that i passed).. shit a process!

you should keep track of your leans. not to tout or gloat, but to see if its worth in the long run to play them for .5 or 1 unit.

and you called the LM on the other game spot on, but what made you think this was going to move to 5? slight public money on them as is….

[2daBank]

you should keep track of your leans. not to tout or gloat, but to see if its worth in the long run to play them for .5 or 1 unit.

and you called the LM on the other game spot on, but what made you think this was going to move to 5? slight public money on them as is….

combination of where i put the number, the fact sdst is prob one of the more bet teams in that conf, and lobos recent struggles making sdst seem even more appealing. like i said other day im no line expert, prob right more than not bout moves but some really confuse me, this didnt surprise me really, i just didnt want to play it less than 5, i was pretty set with that number and didnt like them enough to take less. wasnt so much i was confident in it moving as i was content not playing if i didnt get what i wanted (im stubborn).. i have tracked before or bet them smaller, in the end it prob comes out a wash but ive just come to prefer this way..

[bradley121]

i really wanted 5, i was telling someone early this morning i didnt trust them enough to take less than the number i had in mind. so if it never hits 5 it wont be on my card... helped me a great deal a few years back when i learned there nothing wrong with passing, well the actual passing wasnt what was hard initially, it was days after i passed on winners that took some disciplining of my mind to come to terms with that not being a bad thing.. obviously i pass on losers too but just like bad beats are easy to remember and lucky breaks easy to forget ya gotta keep reminding yourself, lol... ultimately tho ive learned that if i have doubts id rather pass and it cashing than playing a gm that i was totally confident in and losing when i knew i was ignoring the things i didnt like (really hope this one of those i passed on a winner, ill be happy for lucky and everyone else on it and wont think twice that i passed).. shit a process!

THis right here, is one of the best advice you will ever read on a forum....

[Lucky1g]

LSU+2.5
LSU & Texas A&M OVER 133.5

[bestone109]

Do you got a top rated pick

[franklee168]

LSU+2.5
LSU & Texas A&M OVER 133.5

And back to our main feature!

[Lucky1g]

Kentucky & Tennessee UNDER 120


I'm still considering tex/ou game and nev/wy game...may play 1 or both, may not play either...will make my decision by 8:30

[Lucky1g]

Nevada+1

[eddycash]

any thoughts on under 51 1st h new mexico game?

[jihadvillager]

Total and side combos been brutal to us this entire cbb season

[alamo]

Yup. That looked good 12' out. LSU scored 12 pts in the final 12' to bury both sides of the bets

[eddycash]

under 51 cashed whew

[jihadvillager]

Yup. That looked good 12' out. LSU scored 12 pts in the final 12' to bury both sides of the bets

i don't have the exact numbers but if we had every game first half instead of full game this season i want to guess it would be a 15-20+ unit swing

[southpaw74]

i don't have the exact numbers but if we had every game first half instead of full game this season i want to guess it would be a 15-20+ unit swing

Agreed, the amount of teams that fall apart is staggering. It's like they have amnesia after 1h. Then Wyoming is held to 13 first half and scored 51 2h...it shouldn't be possible

[Lucky1g]

Awful start to new week going 1-4 last night. Breaking down card for tonight. Hoping to get back what I lost last night. That lsu side/total really hurt. Both looked like winners for 3/4 of the game. Then top it off by falling asleep with Nevada playing well up dd in second half...then checking the score this morning to find out they collapsed too and lost

been a really tough season. Updated season numbers:

overall college hoops record: 177-166-3 51.6% (dime players $-500)

sides: 143-137-3 51%
totals: 34-29 54%

**top rated plays this season: 14-10-1 58% (count as double wagers)
**top rated plays since 2011 season: 64-37 63.4%

[TakingVegasMoney]

Awful start to new week going 1-4 last night. Breaking down card for tonight. Hoping to get back what I lost last night. That lsu side/total really hurt. Both looked like winners for 3/4 of the game. Then top it off by falling asleep with Nevada playing well up dd in second half...then checking the score this morning to find out they collapsed too and lost

been a really tough season. Updated season numbers:

overall college hoops record: 177-166-3 51.6% (dime players $-500)

sides: 143-137-3 51%
totals: 34-29 54%

**top rated plays this season: 14-10-1 58% (count as double wagers)
**top rated plays since 2011 season: 64-37 63.4%

Stick w it lucky. We've all seen how skillful you are at this! It'll all even itself out at the end my friend. BOL of on your plays tonight. Looking forward to them

[Lucky1g]

Missouri State+2
Wright State+4.5

[Lucky1g]

Towson+5
DePaul+3***top rated***
Missouri+16.5


final. BOL tonight

[TakingVegasMoney]

I'm tailing. Let's get a sweep tonight lucky!!

[BobbyD914]

DePaul jumped to 4.5. Anyone got any info on that game?

[iloseagain]

Depaul to 5 jeez

[jihadvillager]

not a good sign but then again look at new mexico line movement yesterday.

[iloseagain]

not a good sign but then again look at new mexico line movement yesterday.

Yea doesnt seem good but you are exactly right.. We'll see what happens

[iloseagain]

Duke game might hit 200 lol.. Oh well

[Fernburn74]

Wow DePaul. Top rated bull crap !