LT little input. I got to close out 4 game tease ... getting +5.5 ... have any idea on who i should close with today in ncaab?
Tailing depaul +4
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James Marques
SBR MVP
03-04-14
1605
#3
I'd tease Wake to +6.5 at home personally
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DOM_Toretto
Restricted User
01-28-13
9035
#4
Care to talk about DePaul?
I know they have been cover machines this year as I've been taking them as bigger dogs and covering, with the occasional win SU. But seton hall outplayed DePaul for the majority of the last game, then seemingly gave up and lost a close one. Now they got whitehead back which is a HUGE help since Gibbs is the only other guard that can score. Hall got the length to compare against DePaul. DePaul home court is weak, barely anyone will be at the game tonight. Hall's back is getting close to the wall and it seems like they need this win more.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#5
Originally posted by DOM_Toretto
Care to talk about DePaul?
I know they have been cover machines this year as I've been taking them as bigger dogs and covering, with the occasional win SU. But seton hall outplayed DePaul for the majority of the last game, then seemingly gave up and lost a close one. Now they got whitehead back which is a HUGE help since Gibbs is the only other guard that can score. Hall got the length to compare against DePaul. DePaul home court is weak, barely anyone will be at the game tonight. Hall's back is getting close to the wall and it seems like they need this win more.
Interesting matchup with the #1 three-point offense in the Big East (DePaul) facing the #1 three-point defense in the entire country (Hall). I almost always favor defense in these kinds of matchups, but this is a unique case because even the DePaul big men can shoot threes. Hell, their 6-foot-11 starting center Hamilton is even 16-for-36, 44.4% from downtown. So the Blue Demons could literally shoot over the great Seton Hall perimeter defense, and when DePaul gets inside, Hall is 165th in the country in two-point defense and dead last inside the Big East (53.5%)!
And look at what this line has done since this morning, now a consensus +2.5 with even some +2 out there.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#6
Originally posted by PolackDave
LT little input. I got to close out 4 game tease ... getting +5.5 ... have any idea on who i should close with today in ncaab?
Tailing depaul +4
Arkansas -1.5 seems tempting.
With that said, I don't do basketball teasers, it never seems worth it mathematically.
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DOM_Toretto
Restricted User
01-28-13
9035
#7
Originally posted by LT Profits
Interesting matchup with the #1 three-point offense in the Big East (DePaul) facing the #1 three-point defense in the entire country (Hall). I almost always favor defense in these kinds of matchups, but this is a unique case because even the DePaul big men can shoot threes. Hell, their 6-foot-11 starting center Hamilton is even 16-for-36, 44.4% from downtown. So the Blue Demons could literally shoot over the great Seton Hall perimeter defense, and when DePaul gets inside, Hall is 165th in the country in two-point defense and dead last inside the Big East (53.5%)!
And look at what this line has done since this morning, now a consensus +2.5 with even some +2 out there.
I think you're stretching these numbers a bit here. Hamilton is averaging less than 1 made 3 per game, didn't even attempt one vs seton hall, and DePaul shot 3/17 (18%) from 3 against the Hall two weeks ago. So they clearly weren't 'shooting over the great SH perimeter d'.
When you're analyzing those stats, remember those numbers are for the whole season, including SH's 181st non-conf SOS and depauls 312th NCSOS.
DePaul is also top 15 in terms of most fouls committed, and bringing whitehead back for seton hall helps in terms of FT% as well as 3pt% (they went 1/16 from 3 vs DePaul w/o him).
I'm gonna buy the hook here and take Seton Hall -2.