12/30 ncaa hoops

[2daBank]

ok i got 120. i think i got "dual lined" on a site which is why i saw 118 for a second.

na, they just move a lot and fast..

[southpaw74]

jumping all over the place..

Yeah. If half gets to 56 I'll take it

[jonal]

na, they just move a lot and fast..

ok thanks

[2daBank]

cincy/ncst un 124.5

[2daBank]

shoulda bet oral roberts at +5 i guess..barely liked it there tho so not playing them +4.. well, like i said earlier. prob a pass.. got a good number on umass it looks like,,

[No coincidences]

I'd really like to degen up and get into this card, but I'm not seeing much this afternoon. Lean Charlotte and UCSB later.

I don't understand the MSU/Maryland line at all. Figure at some point, the books are going to get tired of giving away free money on these ranked road dogs. Maybe not.

[2daBank]

I'd really like to degen up and get into this card, but I'm not seeing much this afternoon. Lean Charlotte and UCSB later.

I don't understand the MSU/Maryland line at all. Figure at some point, the books are going to get tired of giving away free money on these ranked road dogs. Maybe not.

probably but how the hell can i pass on it? not like if maryland goes down ill be down by betting against these goofy lines.. i just wish they would stop putting out a top 25 then i wouldnt have to worry bout who ranked or not cause other ppl simply wanna bet the team with a number next to them..

[Snowball]

Northwestern good chance they will be too much for Rutgers.
No injury problems. +125. half hour tip espnu

[DOM_Toretto]

Northwestern good chance they will be too much for Rutgers.
No injury problems. +125. half hour tip espnu

Was learning N'Western too. Rutgers is awful, won't win more than 3 or 4 Big Ten games... Is this one of em?

[No coincidences]

Why did the NW/Rutgers 1H total open at 50.5?

[2daBank]

Why did the NW/Rutgers 1H total open at 50.5?

i think it was a fukk up..

[Snowball]

line went from 125 to 140 back to 130
lets go Wildcats.

[GT21Megatron]

line went from 125 to 140 back to 130
lets go Wildcats.

How bout those Lobos the other night?

[THam12]

NW -Rutgers 1H under is one i like as well... early start and both teams average about 18 secs per possession on offense and defense.

18 secs would give them about 60 possessions in 1st half. Say that shoot 40% (easily could happen early in day, 1st half of 1st conference game).. thats 24 possessions they score on. Both teams average around 52% of scoring on 2 pters.
Thats 12.48 possessions of 2s... 24.96 pts.
Avg about 27% of their scoring on 3s. So 6.48 possessions of 3s... 19.48 pts.
That leaves 21% FTS... 5.04 possessions... 10 pts?
So thats around 55 pts...

Not factoring in defense which neither team allows a super high % shooting of eitger FTs or 2s. With both defenses in top 100 in 2p% allowed and block%. Rutgers is top 100 in 3p% allowed.
NW is bottom of country in 3p% allowed but that shouldnt hurt them as rutgers cant shoot 3s... 30% from there.. 281st in country...

So basically anything around 60.. im hitting the under.

All stats courtesy of kenpom.

[leetreaper]

[THam12]

Umass/iona ov 167.5 looka tempting... both teams should hit 80s..

[blackeyeshamus]

Holy fxck that 1h UNDER was a sharp as a razor good call y'all's I'm mad impressed best of luck all day yo the thread is money! coffee cans full of cash money!

[THam12]

NW -Rutgers 1H under is one i like as well... early start and both teams average about 18 secs per possession on offense and defense.

18 secs would give them about 60 possessions in 1st half. Say that shoot 40% (easily could happen early in day, 1st half of 1st conference game).. thats 24 possessions they score on. Both teams average around 52% of scoring on 2 pters.
Thats 12.48 possessions of 2s... 24.96 pts.
Avg about 27% of their scoring on 3s. So 6.48 possessions of 3s... 19.48 pts.
That leaves 21% FTS... 5.04 possessions... 10 pts?
So thats around 55 pts...

Not factoring in defense which neither team allows a super high % shooting of eitger FTs or 2s. With both defenses in top 100 in 2p% allowed and block%. Rutgers is top 100 in 3p% allowed.
NW is bottom of country in 3p% allowed but that shouldnt hurt them as rutgers cant shoot 3s... 30% from there.. 281st in country...

So basically anything around 60.. im hitting the under.

All stats courtesy of kenpom.

Actual numbers-
10 2pters
8 3pters
5 FT....

Pretty spot on.

[jmbrandt87]

thanks for the excellent insight tham

[THam12]

thanks for the excellent insight tham

No problem sir

[THam12]

Da fukk is ohio state doing

[THam12]

Iowa really likes to blow games.... lets see this 2H line.

[GT21Megatron]

Iowa really likes to blow games.... lets see this 2H line.

On it -7

[No coincidences]

Ohio State is fvcking terrible. Good lord.

[Snowball]

How bout those Lobos the other night?

uh huh good thing i took that ml
always tough to win on the road

[GT21Megatron]

Banker.....

You look at Dayton -6

[THam12]

Banker.....

You look at Dayton -6

I kinda like ole miss.

[jtoler]

Seems they had clock running during commercials in Mich. Game half going by fast.

[jtoler]

Dumped on blue ml.

[GT21Megatron]

I kinda like ole miss.

Did you watch those guys play TCU?

[THam12]

Did you watch those guys play TCU?

Nope. ..

[chalk46]

UF laying at FSU? Kinda like the Gators

[GT21Megatron]

Nope. ..

It was bad. Turnovers galore and there bigs are awful

[chalk46]

It was bad. Turnovers galore and there bigs are awful

Or how bout the WKU debacle. Up 15-17 under the 10 min mark and lost.

[THam12]

It was bad. Turnovers galore and there bigs are awful

Hmmm... so dayton defense should cause them trouble?