12/29 ncaa hoops discussion

[2daBank]

i didnt see a whole lot i liked on this card, couple decent dogs imo.



portland +10... who the hell is byu to be laying this number? outside a undersized eku team and a hawaii team that has been known to struggle off the island, cougs havnt beaten anyone of note by this type of margin.. pilots present some size and experience mismatches for byu down low, if van der mars and gerun can attack the frosh kaufusi and draw some fouls which he prone to do cougs will have some real problems handling the pilots bigs.. of course byu can pack it in with a zone but port shoots it well from the outside.. these 2 played a really good triple ot gm that port won at home last season, then byu did bounce back and get the home W and it was by dd. obviously not a easy venue for the road team but i feel like this too many points for a decent port squad that is pretty solid all around.


San Diego+10.5.. another very solid squad catching a fistful of points. these guys gave the zags everything they wanted twice last season, splitting the series with both gms being decided by 3 points. granted the zags are a better team than last season but this a toreros team that has grown another year together and have a guard in johnny dee who been taking it to the zags for several years. sure they out-manned against the zags but this squad has a history of playing them tough and i dont expect that to change tonight.. you have to go back 4 years to find a gm the zags covered this number on toreros home court and this is the best group in that time so i just dont see it happening..


that is all i have. as always look forward to hearing what everyone else sees in this card..

[bosigga]

I was looking at ML parlay of

Oregon
Gonzaga
BYU
Texas Tech

But payout not that great

[GT21Megatron]

I like Toledo

[blackeyeshamus]

Mtsu?

[2daBank]

Mtsu?

i looked pretty hard at that gm and ultimately couldnt bring myself to make a play on them. mtsu ats track record in road gms is pretty abysmal, something like 8-24 their last 32 (yuk), and 0-5 ats against sec competition in such situations...

[innovation]

Why is St Josephs catching 5 points at Denver.

Makes no sense. I have Josephs -4 at Denver.

only thing I see is St Joes has only played 2 games in the last 20 days.

i would think they are chomping at the bit.

WTF

[JamesBrown]

I like Toledo

I think Toledo 1H is a solid bet today.

[leetreaper]

Hows noone talking about San Fran? Isn't it a best bet for tonight? They are a whopping 26-12 ATS vs conference last 3 years, 9-7 ATS at St Marys, 26-16 ATS vs teams with a winning record and 17-7 ATS vs very good teams aka Marys this season(win pc% 60-80). Gl all tonight.

[leetreaper]

Why is St Josephs catching 5 points at Denver.

Makes no sense. I have Josephs -4 at Denver.

only thing I see is St Joes has only played 2 games in the last 20 days.

i would think they are chomping at the bit.

WTF

Same here

[leetreaper]

i looked pretty hard at that gm and ultimately couldnt bring myself to make a play on them. mtsu ats track record in road gms is pretty abysmal, something like 8-24 their last 32 (yuk), and 0-5 ats against sec competition in such situations...

yeah they are pretty bad, not worth it.

[leetreaper]

i didnt see a whole lot i liked on this card, couple decent dogs imo.



portland +10... who the hell is byu to be laying this number? outside a undersized eku team and a hawaii team that has been known to struggle off the island, cougs havnt beaten anyone of note by this type of margin.. pilots present some size and experience mismatches for byu down low, if van der mars and gerun can attack the frosh kaufusi and draw some fouls which he prone to do cougs will have some real problems handling the pilots bigs.. of course byu can pack it in with a zone but port shoots it well from the outside.. these 2 played a really good triple ot gm that port won at home last season, then byu did bounce back and get the home W and it was by dd. obviously not a easy venue for the road team but i feel like this too many points for a decent port squad that is pretty solid all around.


San Diego+10.5.. another very solid squad catching a fistful of points. these guys gave the zags everything they wanted twice last season, splitting the series with both gms being decided by 3 points. granted the zags are a better team than last season but this a toreros team that has grown another year together and have a guard in johnny dee who been taking it to the zags for several years. sure they out-manned against the zags but this squad has a history of playing them tough and i dont expect that to change tonight.. you have to go back 4 years to find a gm the zags covered this number on toreros home court and this is the best group in that time so i just dont see it happening..


that is all i have. as always look forward to hearing what everyone else sees in this card..

Zags are rolling, I wouldn't touch it. Portland seems fine.

[2daBank]

Why is St Josephs catching 5 points at Denver.

Makes no sense. I have Josephs -4 at Denver.

only thing I see is St Joes has only played 2 games in the last 20 days.

i would think they are chomping at the bit.

WTF

used to be a time that i wouldnt go against denver at home, that time has certainly passed. joe's or nothing, it just painful to watch their offense at times.

[2daBank]

Hows noone talking about San Fran? Isn't it a best bet for tonight? They are a whopping 26-12 ATS vs conference last 3 years, 9-7 ATS at St Marys, 26-16 ATS vs teams with a winning record and 17-7 ATS vs very good teams aka Marys this season(win pc% 60-80). Gl all tonight.

im all about fading st marys but sf just hasnt looked good at all to me..hard to say Dons have improved since last season, id argue they worse and they got beat at st marys by 15..pass for me..

[2daBank]

Zags are rolling, I wouldn't touch it. Portland seems fine.

ive had a pretty good deal of success with and against zags this season (well besides taking ucla) and i have no problem backing sd with double digits..

[GT21Megatron]

Toledo

[2daBank]

Toledo

nice one

[EDDIE MONEY LINE]

I like San Diego as well

[2daBank]

Why is St Josephs catching 5 points at Denver.

Makes no sense. I have Josephs -4 at Denver.

only thing I see is St Joes has only played 2 games in the last 20 days.

i would think they are chomping at the bit.

WTF

broke down and decided was gonna join you but missed damn tip, lol... hope it cashes buddy.. kinda hoping there still a opportunity at half but not sure there will be..gl

[2daBank]

I like San Diego as well

seems like absolutely the right side.. hopefully we get treated to another good 1 in this series..

[survive]

seems like absolutely the right side.. hopefully we get treated to another good 1 in this series..

Thinking San Diego keeps this single digits too

[2daBank]

gonna make a small 2nd half play here..

st marys-2.. sf has just not impressed me at all this season after i thought they would be pretty good coming in..the gms ive seen they even been worse in the 2nd halves so even tho getting a little worse line than closer think it worth a small shot..

[THam12]

Shall we hit san diego??? Seems like zags are next level this year....

[leetreaper]

gonna make a small 2nd half play here..

st marys-2.. sf has just not impressed me at all this season after i thought they would be pretty good coming in..the gms ive seen they even been worse in the 2nd halves so even tho getting a little worse line than closer think it worth a small shot..

good call

[leetreaper]

Shall we hit san diego??? Seems like zags are next level this year....

Agreed, tough one. The line says it all. Zags by 14.

[KRIT]

Shall we hit san diego??? Seems like zags are next level this year....

They're very good. But they just played a tough game a couple nights ago against BYU, I think SDST with the points or pass.

[THam12]

gonna make a small 2nd half play here..

st marys-2.. sf has just not impressed me at all this season after i thought they would be pretty good coming in..the gms ive seen they even been worse in the 2nd halves so even tho getting a little worse line than closer think it worth a small shot..

Fell asleep for that lol literally

[THam12]

They're very good. But they just played a tough game a couple nights ago against BYU, I think SDST with the points or pass.

Its not state

[2daBank]

Agreed, tough one. The line says it all. Zags by 14.

line says ppl love this zags team (for good reason) so they gonna inflate their lines a couple points.. so if you pick your spots you can get value against them.. that what the line says to me. the time to play zags was last gm but we shall see..i could be wrong, i already passed on a couple winners today..

[leetreaper]

line says ppl love this zags team (for good reason) so they gonna inflate their lines a couple points.. so if you pick your spots you can get value against them.. that what the line says to me. the time to play zags was last gm but we shall see..i could be wrong, i already passed on a couple winners today..

SD is doing well, don't see a reason why the line would be inflated.

[KRIT]

Its not state

my bad, obviously meant SD.

[2daBank]

SD is doing well, don't see a reason why the line would be inflated.

brand name..not that it means much to me but i see 65%ish of bets on zags. they can put the line wherever with this team and they will still take in plenty of zags money against a relatively unknown like sd.. no way this should be dd imo but they can put it there and expect pretty balanced money id assume..

[THam12]

Pacific 2H may be a play

[2daBank]

good call

thanx.. i dunno wtf happened to that Dons team? i thought like many coming into the season they were poised to be a solid team. they just havnt delivered at all. im the kinda guy that doesnt mind being wrong and bailing on a team, and their performance against fla golf coast was enough for me to reevaluate that team in a hurry..

[2daBank]

Pacific 2H may be a play

i leaned clara before hand so most likely a stay away for me..

[2daBank]

i looked pretty hard at that gm and ultimately couldnt bring myself to make a play on them. mtsu ats track record in road gms is pretty abysmal, something like 8-24 their last 32 (yuk), and 0-5 ats against sec competition in such situations...

shoulda listened to myself and got some of that good aub money.. feel like ive passed on far to many correct leans tonight. blah