2014-15 NCAA hoop plays

[t-bone]

Illinois State +250 (2U to win 5)
Providence +150 (2U to win 3)
Boston College +2 (2.2U to win 2)

Love it NC...good luck

[2daBank]

Illinois State +250 (2U to win 5)
Providence +150 (2U to win 3)

i got a handful of ml doggies tonight,, these 2 included.. well you saw my card, all those mls with exception of indy st

[KRIT]

Hopefully doggies bark tonight. On quite a few myself. I'm feelin Providence quite a bit, they almost always play Nova tough at home.

[leetreaper]

ML's gallore
This time on a plus side, gl

[red12sox]

Ugh how bad is penn state?!

[Lincoln Scofield]

Better question is how bad is Illinois state

[crbravens23]

damn uni is on fire.

[2daBank]

damn uni is on fire.

only 2nd time ive bet against them, same team both gms. guess im gonna split cause pretty sure i got 1.5 or 2 when they played at illi st.. they really good..

[crbravens23]

only 2nd time ive bet against them, same team both gms. guess im gonna split cause pretty sure i got 1.5 or 2 when they played at illi st.. they really good..

I never call a game this early but this is over. This one stings. Damn, loved this game. Oh well. Go PC!

[2daBank]

I never call a game this early but this is over. This one stings. Damn, loved this game. Oh well. Go PC!

i played illi st-1 2nd half, lol.. didnt watch any so prob not smart. i know this conf and dont believe they will lay down and die. that said uni did this to shockers then stepped on their throats in the 2nd. i was on right side in that one, which is becoming clear is always uni's side!

[crbravens23]

Tuttle can't miss

[2daBank]

Tuttle can't miss

team is awesome.. no biggie, uga spread and ml in the books, lasalle outta stop letting vcu force ot after ot, be nice to cash their ml but ill take the spread. actually i deserve the ml since i had small play on the under and it took 3 fukin ot's to beat me out of that! ncst hanging tough as well,, provo going to shit which gonna screw up a sweet ml parlay if the others hit.

[crbravens23]

F&ck Provo. I

[GT21Megatron]

Providence sucks man

[eddycash]

not as bad as sdsu

[KRIT]

Providence sucks man

These fukker teased us all game long. Of course they cut it to 6 and have a chance to hit the backdoor and they clank it.

[jameski999]

[No coincidences]

Just had a chance to check last night's scores.

Holy burial.

[crbravens23]

Just had a chance to check last night's scores.

Holy burial.

almost threw my phone against the wall.

[Capybara]

Thank god for NBA lately. At least the Cavs and Thunder have been reliable, otherwise NCAA would have buried me.

Hmm, Stanford +11 tonight? Iowa -6.5? Not seeing much else I like yet.

[crbravens23]

I want to throw something out here. I've been beating the NCAA bball line by a 0.5- 1.5 points the past 2 wks with the majority of my picks and I'm getting murdered in college ball. However, NBA, I have had some decent closling line value and it is keeping my head above water. Any opinions on this? Closing line value is contraversal but professionals not 100 dollar bets are moving the line unless its a large public fav in a primetime spot IMO.

[Capybara]

Ravens, can you clarify what u mean by closing line value? Give us examples of what u mean and then I can answer u.

[eddycash]

I want to throw something out here. I've been beating the NCAA bball line by a 0.5- 1.5 points the past 2 wks with the majority of my picks and I'm getting murdered in college ball. However, NBA, I have had some decent closling line value and it is keeping my head above water. Any opinions on this? Closing line value is contraversal but professionals not 100 dollar bets are moving the line unless its a large public fav in a primetime spot IMO.

what?? you've been beating the ncabb lines the past 2 weeks but getting murdered in college bball at the same time? lol

[crbravens23]

@eddycash... i'll try to explain more clearly.

nebraska bet at 8.5, closed at 7.5 loser
Illinois st bet at 7.5, closed at 6, loser
providence bet at 4.5, closed at 4 loser



these are just a few examples off top of my head. my point is, the times that i have beaten the line, are the games that im losing whereas, nba, is just the opposite. Seems like this has been happening for past 2, 2.5 wks in college bball.

[eddycash]

ah i can see now, thanks

[crbravens23]

what are everyone's opinions on closing line value? market efficient or not so much?

[KRIT]

Beating the closer in hoops doesn't mean a whole lot imo. Obviously we feel a lot better when we get the best # on a game, but truth is it doesn't matter as much as most ppl think. To get an idea of where a line is going use pinny as a reference, their lines typically dictate the market. You can usually see which way a line will move based on pinny's juice.

I would worry more about being on the right side of a game than getting the best # available. Sometimes trying to predict where a line will go will drive you crazy.

[2daBank]

Beating the closer in hoops doesn't mean a whole lot imo. Obviously we feel a lot better when we get the best # on a game, but truth is it doesn't matter as much as most ppl think. To get an idea of where a line is going use pinny as a reference, their lines typically dictate the market. You can usually see which way a line will move based on pinny's juice.

I would worry more about being on the right side of a game than getting the best # available. Sometimes trying to predict where a line will go will drive you crazy.

sure it meaningless far as predicting a side. it incredibly important to your winning percentage over time tho. if you play a lot of opens and are on the right side of more moves than not. over time you will win your fair share of gms where you would have lost playing it at a shittier number..

[BigDofBA]

Beating the closer in hoops doesn't mean a whole lot imo. Obviously we feel a lot better when we get the best # on a game, but truth is it doesn't matter as much as most ppl think. To get an idea of where a line is going use pinny as a reference, their lines typically dictate the market. You can usually see which way a line will move based on pinny's juice.

I would worry more about being on the right side of a game than getting the best # available. Sometimes trying to predict where a line will go will drive you crazy.

This is a great post. It doesn't matter.

If it was a matter of reading lines we would all be rich.

I just had my best month ever and didn't really pay attention that much. Even when lines went against me I would still hit the side if I liked it. I did way better that way when I didn't second guess myself.

Also, I cut down on plays and went bigger on games I liked. It worked great.

The opener tells me more than the closer.

Line moves are only right half the time then people freak out when an inferior team doesn't cover.

Obviously you want the best number but you shouldn't base plays off of movement alone.

Line movement is a small variable. Familiarity with teams and situations is way more important.

[crbravens23]

@bigdof...your using last month as an example...too small of a sample. But I agree to certain extent that game needs to b capped regardless of predicted line movement.

[No coincidences]

Iowa PK live +110 (4U to win 4.4)

[No coincidences]

South Carolina +17.5 (3.15U to win 3)
George Washington PK (2.12U to win 2)

Line movement says Pitt, but no thanks.

[leetreaper]

Check out OSU, TCU hasn't beaten any top team at home in AGES.

[No coincidences]

Check out OSU, TCU hasn't beaten any top team at home in AGES.

Will do.

La Salle -130 (3.9U to win 3)

Adding two more units to G-Dub as well.

[caddy42]

Why are you so confident in George Washington?