Snevens' Saturday Selections

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 08:46 AM

Might just be me thinkin this way, but i feel as tho with the tournament action heatin up so much and most bettors really choosin to play NCAA over the NBA i think inadvertently the NBA lines are gonna be a bit softer for the next week or two and have been because Vegas linesmakers have to be putting in a bit more effort with the college lines with all the action.

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 08:47 AM

so dont hate me if u continue to see NBA selections posted in a CBB thread. just tryin to make the best selections possible on any given night

italiano22 · 03-28-09, 08:59 AM

Snevens i like to check out most of your picks because you always have a reason for taking that team. Any thoughts on Missouri +5.5

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 09:08 AM

i really havent looked too far into this game yet, but my initial thoughts were just tellin me to stay away from the game all together. Uconn has all the pieces, theyve been the most consistent team all season long and have had a phenomenal tourney thus far, despite any offcourt inclinations. My thoughts on missouri tho seem to be pretty erratic. one minute theyre kings of the world and everyones on the wagon, the next minute tho they lose a nail biter by 2 points in a low scoring game and u question how potent their offense really is.

I just feel that uconns kinda had everythin handed to them so far in the tourney. Purdue is entirely a half court offense and it made it really easy on uconn cause they match up so well with purdue and they just knew they could beat them at their own game. Missouri on the other hand tho is a completely different type of team that could pose a serious threat to uconns stability. I think uconn might be a bit more familiar with big east play as opposed to outta conference teams where the element of surprise and tactical strategy really play a larger role.

I think the key matchup is goin to be thabeet v carrol and im really anxious to see whos gonna have the better game. I wouldnt be surprised to see uconn tryin to slow the tempo of the game down, maybe get into some zone, and try and force missouri to shoot their way to a win. everyone knows how dangerous they are off the dribble, and i think if uconn can do a decent enough job on defense, i can see them winning somewhere like 71-61 with foul shots sealin the deal at the end

Ha, and after all that im just as torn as i was before talkin it out. Like i said, probably a no play for me but if u had to ask which way i was leaning id probably have to say uconn, layin the wood. really interested to see where the lines at come gametime. we'll see. BOL tho mi amigo

italiano22 · 03-28-09, 09:13 AM

Alright thanks man..... You make any plays on the pitt villnova game or still havent looked into anything on that?

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 02:10 PM

sorry its taken me a minute to get back to the thread, but ive decided a couple things about tonights tournament games its just a question of where i really wanna pull the trigger. That bein said im pretty confident that pitt is gonna take care of nova pretty handedly but for some reason i cant tell myself to pull the trigger on that game. Despite almost 60% action and 80% of the money on villanova right now, the line shows no movement as of yet that would really indicate vegas believing this game should be more like a pick-em. I just dont know about this game to be frank just cant put my finger on it. probably a no play for me

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 02:18 PM

Play number 1

ha as a bunch of u took notice last night, the only loss ive had in a couple days now was the Charlotte under last night. call me stupid but my first selection for tonight is gonna be

Charlotte-NY Under 206 WIN

5 units to win 4.5

I know its a bit of an abscure play but i really saw some stuff that i like about this play. Both teams played tough hard fought games just last night, and both teams have had 4 unders in their last 5 games, so im hopin that trend continues here tonight. 65% of the public on the over...yet the line is goin down by the hour?? If nate robinson remains questionable for gametime and hopefully sits this one out, i like my $ on the under

CashIn · 03-28-09, 02:33 PM

im with you

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 02:39 PM

glad to hear were on the same page, lets make like ur name, and cash it in lol

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 03:37 PM

Play number 2

After some extensive research and much teetering over which tourney game i wanted to play tonight and which angle too approach it at, my only tourney selection for tonight is gonna be

Uconn - 3 WIN

8 units to win 5 (buy 2.5 pts)

CashIn · 03-28-09, 03:40 PM

I'm on the o152 and UConn -3 1h. Lets Cash this In.

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 03:43 PM

ha indeed cash in

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 03:44 PM

tryin to see if i like anythin else in the league tonight considering how much heavier that card is than the tourneys tonight. any thoughts?

CashIn · 03-28-09, 03:46 PM

1Q Wins By Percent
Charlotte -1.5 56%
New York 43%

Houston -2.5 65%
L.A.C 39%

Denver -1.5 54%
Golden State 37%

Portland -2 47%
Memphis 34%

Also leaning Utah, but it seems to be a toss-up Utah with 56%, Phoenix 51%.

Snevens88 · 03-28-09, 04:09 PM

i really just dont see anythin else tonight im feelin that comfortable with pullin the trigger over.

BOL to all of you

CashIn · 03-28-09, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by CashIn

I'm on the o152 and UConn -3 1h. Lets Cash this In.

Snevens88 · 03-29-09, 10:39 AM

ha nice work cash in...glad we were both able to make like ur name and do exactly that. The recorded selections are now 10-1 + 42.5 units since wednesday 3/25. Got some good feelings about tonights card and am hoping for yet another strong night

BOL to all of you and keep an eye out for Sunday's selections