RollinDo's Saturday Slippers

RollinDo · 03-30-14, 05:29 AM

+2.5 units won yesterday with my 2nd big play teaser of the tourney...Both with Dayton.

My play for today to consider:

Michigan +7 / UConn +10
Not sure if either of these teams wins, but I don't see a large margin of victory in either game. Remember that Michigan reached the title game last year and know how to win. They pretty much handled Ohio St. and UT before letting large leads slip to narrow wins. They were the most consistent B-10 team this year. I know UK has been the thorn in my side this tourney, but Michigan has been $$ for me last 2 years in post-season.
UConn is riding high now and great at covering in last 10 games as dogs. I don't see how they don't make this ultra - competitive vs Sparty. I have liked Mich St to rode all the way to championship game and I still think they do, but gonna be another grind I think...want to take ML, but way too juicey. Instead I like +5.5, but cushion of 10 should be more than enough in front of crowd and arena that favors UConn.
Provided UConn covers, will hedge with UK ML so that I can win both ways, or lose a little if Michigan doesn't happen to cover.
I have only seen 2 games this tourney, so at a bit of a disadvantage with the eye test. I think the pressure is on Mich State and Michigan, though Mich again is in Indy, where they've played 5 of last 7 games.
Thoughts?

Skin24 · 03-30-14, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

+2.5 units won yesterday with my 2nd big play teaser of the tourney...Both with Dayton.

My play for today to consider:

Michigan +7 / UConn +10
Not sure if either of these teams wins, but I don't see a large margin of victory in either game. Remember that Michigan reached the title game last year and know how to win. They pretty much handled Ohio St. and UT before letting large leads slip to narrow wins. They were the most consistent B-10 team this year. I know UK has been the thorn in my side this tourney, but Michigan has been $$ for me last 2 years in post-season.
UConn is riding high now and great at covering in last 10 games as dogs. I don't see how they don't make this ultra - competitive vs Sparty. I have liked Mich St to rode all the way to championship game and I still think they do, but gonna be another grind I think...want to take ML, but way too juicey. Instead I like +5.5, but cushion of 10 should be more than enough in front of crowd and arena that favors UConn.
Provided UConn covers, will hedge with UK ML so that I can win both ways, or lose a little if Michigan doesn't happen to cover.
I have only seen 2 games this tourney, so at a bit of a disadvantage with the eye test. I think the pressure is on Mich State and Michigan, though Mich again is in Indy, where they've played 5 of last 7 games.
Thoughts?

You did good yesterday now your going to piss it all away on picks today. Michigan gets blown out please don't make that bet!!!!!!!

RollinDo · 03-30-14, 09:53 AM

I'm laying 1 unit...not a big deal.

Skin24 · 03-30-14, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

I'm laying 1 unit...not a big deal.

I hope your only laying 1 unit on Michigan. Teasers are always a bad bet in long run. Someone always blows it up a reason why books over them. Odds suck and you have zero chance to make money in long run. Anyone will tell you that and I'm not trying to bash just hate seeing you throw money away.

RollinDo · 03-31-14, 12:17 AM

Well guys.
If I hadn't gotten greedy and played Mich St / UK ML, would have had a nice winning on Sunday. I hate when I get that feeling after I lock in a wager...that was what happened like seconds afterwards.
My initial plan, which I hope somebody did, was the teaser above (which I changed to UCONN +9 / Michigan +6), and if UConn hit, I'd play the UK moneyline (for about .7 units). But since I had already lost the Mich St parlay, not much value in taking UK.
Well +1/2 unit on the day to finish a decent 4 - day stretch.

RollinDo · 03-31-14, 12:27 AM

I seem to make 1 bonehead decision every 3-4 days that is a lesson I thought I already learned. Yesterday it was kind of a "safety" play to do a Mich St ML Parlay in case UConn didn't cover 9, when I even posted that UConn should cover 5.5, and the Mich St. ML is too risky.
Oh well...trying to cut down on same patterns of bad decisions that I made in 1st year of sports betting...it's a marathon, and hope to keep getting better across all sports as I've had at least 1 go - around for each now.

RollinDo · 03-31-14, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by Skin24

I hope your only laying 1 unit on Michigan. Teasers are always a bad bet in long run. Someone always blows it up a reason why books over them. Odds suck and you have zero chance to make money in long run.

Stick to what works best for ya. I hit on about 65% of teasers in college hoops, so I think that kinda bucks your zero chance thinking...and I'll take the 1:1 odds.
Nice one trying to warn me against my play today that hit a lot easier than yours...was trying not to respond to you, but yet another ignorant post of yours I just can't pass up. That's 2 straight times you've called for blowouts when it was actually YOUR teams getting blown out during the game.
I don't know how you are getting so lucky lately. Had you lost today, I was not going to shove it in your face, but seems you like to do that to others...just helping you grow up a little, as there's reason you're not liked by most posters other than ones on your tail who can't make plays for themselves.